Surprising Effects: Glacier Melt, Mayhem Down Under, Argentina Heat, Tasmanian Fires, Land vs. Water Temps

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Non-Intuitive Consequences of Rapid Melt in Greenland and Antarctica: 1 of 2 // Feb 8, 2019

Glaciers on Greenland and Antarctica are rapidly melting due to Abrupt Climate Change, and melt rates are doubling with a period of roughly 7 years.  This is exponential, after:

  • 7 years melt rates are double (2x), after 14 years rates are 4x, after 21 years rates are 8x, etc.

In this video and the next I, discuss consequences that are rarely considered, like

  • reduced gravitational pull near the glaciers, isostatic rebound, and
  • reduction of vertical ocean mixing from surface freshwater lensing effects, leading to: increased basal ice sheet melting.

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Surprising Effects from Rapid Glacier Melt in Greenland and Antarctica: 2 of 2 // Feb 9, 2019

Ref:  Global environmental consequences of twenty-first-century ice-sheet melt: Golledge, Keller, Gomez, Naughten, Bernales, Trusel, Edwards.  Nature Volume 566, pages 65–72, 2019. Published: 06 February 2019.

Government policies currently commit us to surface warming of three to four degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by 2100, which will lead to enhanced ice-sheet melt. … Here we show, using simulations of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets constrained by satellite-based measurements of recent changes in ice mass, that increasing meltwater from Greenland will lead to substantial slowing of the Atlantic overturning circulation, and that meltwater from Antarctica will trap warm water below the sea surface, creating a positive feedback that increases Antarctic ice loss.’
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Mayhem Down Under: Atacama Desert Waterfall; Argentinian Heatwaves; Tasmanian Dry Lightning Fires // Feb 7, 2019

Climate Mayhem is hitting many regions in the Southern Hemisphere. A misconception is that the bottom of the planet is more immune from rapid climate disruption due to its remoteness from the Arctic.

Even many 1 Percenters and 0.1 Percenters are confused, and preparing Bug-Out places in New Zealand; they are sadly mistaken.  I discuss:

  • torrential rains and waterfalls in the Atacama Desert in Chile (driest Desert in world);
  • heatwaves at the Southern tip of Argentina, and
  • unprecedented wildfires from “dry lightning” in old-growth pristine forests in Tasmania.

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Global Average Temperature Rising About 3x Faster Over Land Than Water // Feb 7, 2019

Last year (2018) was the 4th warmest year, following behind El Niño influenced years 2015 (3rd), 2016 (1st), and 2017 (2nd). An El Niño may develop this year (65% chance) but is not likely to be super-strong, like that in 2015 and 1998.

Since 1970, average global temperatures are rising an average 0.17 degrees C per decade, but that slope is increasing. Rise over the land (0.27 C per decade) is almost 3X faster than that over the ocean (0.10 C per decade).  Land at high latitudes gets a double whammy, due to polar temperature amplification.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Antarctica Needs a Dentist

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Thwaites Glacier. Credit: NASA/OIB/Jeremy Harbeck

Huge Cavity Melted Out in Antarctic Glacier: Part 1 of 2 // Feb 4, 2019

A huge cavity–4 km wide by 10 km long by 300 meters high–has melted at the glacier base in only 3-5 years.  Total melt of west Antarctic glaciers:

  • Would raise global sea levels about 5 meters;
  • Greenland glacier melt would add 7 meters;
  • East Antarctic plus mountain glacier melt would add 60 meters (total about 72 meters = 238 feet).

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I discuss how melt rates of Antarctica glaciers are rapidly increasing due to warm salty ocean water incursions under the ice; in fact under Thwaites Glacier in west Antarctica an enormous hole— 4 km w x 10 km L x 300 meter H–has appeared in only a few years.

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Ref:  Huge cavity in Antarctic glacier signals rapid decayA gigantic cavity – two-thirds the area of Manhattan and almost 1,000 feet (300 meters) tall – growing at the bottom of Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica is one of several disturbing discoveries reported in a new NASA-led study of the disintegrating glacier. The findings highlight the need for detailed observations of Antarctic glaciers’ undersides in calculating how fast global sea levels will rise in response to climate change.

Researchers expected to find some gaps between ice and bedrock at Thwaites’ bottom where ocean water could flow in and melt the glacier from below. The size and explosive growth rate of the newfound hole, however, surprised them. It’s big enough to have contained 14 billion tons of ice, and most of that ice melted over the last three years’.
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Huge Cavity Melted Out in Antarctic Glacier: Part 2 of 2 // Feb 4, 2019

Second video, continues from first.  Please consider supporting or continuing to support my independent climate system science research and videos, by donating to my website efforts.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Polar Vortex and Australia Scorched: Three Videos, Risks, Gists, Mayhem

   

Chat on Enormous Risks of Rapid Climate Disruption: 1 of 3 // Jan 25, 2019

Ongoing 2019 climate disruption is fast and furious. Abrupt climate system change cares not about human affairs, structures, politics, our livelihoods, and our precious but precarious civilizations. Disruption accelerates at ever faster rates wreaking havoc on our lives, with huge consequences. Media coverage on climate disruption, weather extremes, etc. in the main-stream is better, but often inaccurate; while risks and consequences are significantly downplayed.
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The Gist of Rapid Climate Disruption: 2 of 3 // Jan 26, 2019

This is the second of three videos, continuing on the same subject.

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Abrupt Climate Mayhem Mash: 3 of 3 // Jan 27, 2019

Quote from Carl Sagan’s The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark

I have a foreboding of an America in my children’s or grandchildren’s time — when the United States is a service and information economy; when nearly all the manufacturing industries have slipped away to other countries; when awesome technological powers are in the hands of a very few, and no one representing the public interest can even grasp the issues; when the people have lost the ability to set their own agendas or knowledgeably question those in authority; when, clutching our crystals and nervously consulting our horoscopes, our critical faculties in decline, unable to distinguish between what feels good and what’s true, we slide, almost without noticing, back into superstition and darkness…

The dumbing down of American is most evident in the slow decay of substantive content in the enormously influential media, the 30 second sound bites (now down to 10 seconds or less), lowest common denominator programming, credulous presentations on pseudoscience and superstition, but especially a kind of celebration of ignorance.


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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Climate Change Disruption, Ratio of Male-Female Babies

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Climate Change Disruption of Baby Male-Female Ratio // Jan 23, 2019

Two truisms on rapid climate change are that a) it affects just about everything, and b) it is happening much faster than expected.

With a) in mind, it is no surprise that climate change is affecting the ratio of male-to-female newborn babies. With temperature rise, there are more male babies born. However with acute stress to pregnant woman from weather extremes like floods, droughts, hurricanes, tornadoes, torrential rains as well as from other external events like earthquakes, tsunamis, and war, there are fewer male babies born. I chat on this.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Status Report On Our Abruptly Changing Climate, Two Videos

Status Report on our Abruptly Changing Climate: 1 of 2 // Jan 18, 2019

Here is an overdue chat on our abruptly changing climate. After a hiatus for chess study and competition and to recharge my internal batteries, I am refreshed and chomping at the bit, like the proverbial Energizer Bunny:)

I join-the-dots on extreme events like Australia’s heat waves (50 C; 122 F), eastern North America and European deep freezes, torrential rains in Europe and California, accelerating ice melt from Greenland and Antarctica releasing methane, and huge insect kills in near-equator rainforests.
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Status Report on our Abruptly Changing Climate: 2 of 2 // Jan 18, 2019

Second video, same introductory text.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Jubilee Video, Donation Drive, Searchable Index, Joining Dots: You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet

My 500th Video & Searchable Index: Joining Dots on Abrupt Climate System Change: Last Chance to Donate in 2018:) // Dec 31, 2018

Recently released by NOAA, the Arctic Report Card 2018 details profound changes underway in the Arctic from rapid temperature increases.

What happens in the Arctic does not stay in the Arctic.” Quote: Beckwith, 2009

Abrupt Climate Change; “you ain’t seen nothing yet”.  As Arctic sea-ice hurtles to oblivion, Greenland becomes exposed as the last bastion of coldness in the vast Arctic region. Shortly thereafter, around the world, “the coast is toast”, or rather submerged. Jet streams Kaput
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Arctic Darkening from Spring Snow Cover Loss Exceeds Sea-Ice Loss Effect: Part 4 // Dec 30, 2018

Many people know that accelerating sea-ice loss (12-13% per decade in September’s) is darkening the region leading to Temperature Amplification. However, darkening from loss of terrestrial snow cover in Spring (23% per decade in June) is an even larger effect, and is rapidly accelerating.
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Over several months, we have been laying the ground work, with a view to not only our ‘500th Jubilee Video‘, but having already begun–draft–the large and arduous effort of redoing our useful and valuable but nevertheless ponderous tags, but have also begun to elaborate a database comprised of all of the videos. This is step one of about twenty.

We have maximally provided links, descriptions, and major categories.  This is part of an ongoing evaluation, learning, and exploration process.  A careful collaborative decision was made to take some part of the donations and allocate resources to this concentrated work by both Paul and David–time, effort, and expertise by Paul and material work in preparing and supporting the framework by David.  Viewable sheet in navigable window, here:

This is a read only version, in Google Sheets, which is nevertheless searchable. Link to actual sheet, Paul 5 dBase Dec, End of 2018 here.  Does NOT need a google account to access.

Like in Excel, Word, and Google Sheets, just enter ‘CntL-H‘ to get a query or dialogue box, then simply type a word phrase, to search for information. Of course, hard as we tried to move the ball up near the goal line for the New Year, we are not finished and certainly will be sharing more polished versions. It’s still a good start and fitting after so many video’s, posts here, tweets, and events–dk.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Arctic Summer Temperatures Set to Skyrocket Like “Bat Out of Hell”

Arctic Summer Temperatures to Skyrocket like a “Bat out of Hell”: Part 3 // Dec 29, 2018

Recently released by NOAA, the Arctic Report Card 2018 details profound changes underway in the Arctic from rapid temperature increases.

What happens in the Arctic does not stay in the Arctic.” Quote: Beckwith, 2009

Incredibly fast Arctic warming dwarfs the global average and is accelerating:

  • Winter temperature anomalies are highest, followed by Autumn and Spring.
  • Arctic Sea-Ice melt keeps Summer anomalies low;
  • When Sea-Ice vanishes Summer warming will skyrocket like a “bat out of hell”.

Your considering to please support–or continuing to support–my videos with a new–or renewed–donation, with a view to a present for my recent Dec 26th Birthday, will be much appreciated.

Soon we will have a navigable video index in Excel/Google Sheets as Paul rapidly approaches his 500th video–ushering the end of a most dramatic 2018, are well underway with a much needed complete rework of categories and tags, and we appreciate all your generous support, comments, donations, and good words.

2,847,540 video views, 14,046 subscribers, and 415,109 site views from 186,576 unique visitors has been a true team effort, with Paul, of course, front and center (dk).  Paul busts his hump with unrelenting, single minded passion, so that you, the reader, can more quickly assimilated the flood of news as we reach or exceed unprecedented tipping points.
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Why Santa Must Move to Antarctica: Part 2 /// Dec 27, 2018

Santa must move to Antarctica. The Arctic is too warm, and Rudolph and his pals are going extinct. Penguins can pull the sleigh. They can’t fly, but neither can reindeer, red noses or not. At least penguins are birds with wings. Santa must do this soon, before Arctic sea ice vanishes.

     

Link to 2018 Report Card is currently not working, due to US Government shutdown.  Once it is active, click here.
 

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Profound Consequences of Arctic Warming: Part 1 /// Dec 27, 2018

The report gets many things right about vitally important changes underway, but is way too conservative in a number of topics, and fails to make predictions/projections about what will happen next, and how soon.

As I chat with you, I endeavour to fill in these gaping oversights.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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