Coronavirus Effect on Global Warming and Global Warming Impact on Pandemic Risks

Coronavirus Effect on Global Warming and Global Warming Impact on Pandemic Risks: Part 1 of 3 // Feb 28, 2020

The Coronavirus has shuttered about 25% of Chinese industrial production for weeks on end. Since Chinese production and industrial activist accounts for about 1/4 of global production, 1/4 x 1/4 = 1/16 or about 6% of global production has been halted. Thus, my back of the envelope best guess has global CO2 emissions down about 6%, and globally produced aerosols down about 6% as well.

Since global dimming from aerosols is thought to be between 0.25 to 1.1 C, if we take the 1 C number as an upper limit, then the Coronavirus has resulted in global warming of about 0.06 C; with regional warming over China of about 0.25 C.
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Coronavirus and Climate Change: Intimate Connections: Part 2 of 3 // Feb 28, 2020

It is well known that as our planet rapidly warms, there are more disease vectors that affect human health. Diseases such as Zika Virus, West Nile Disease, Ebola, Malaria, etc. propagate faster and more severely in warmer regions.

Looking at history, when Europeans went to warmer lands of long established civilizations (Incas, Aztecs, and Mayans) it was their diseases that wiped out these Indigenous populations. Immune systems of higher latitude nations (Europeans) were stronger than those of people in lower latitude regions, the latter had no immunity to diseases the invaders inadvertently brought in.
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Habitat Stress Forcing Poleward Animal Migration Increases Risk of New Virus Generation: Part 3 of 3 // Feb 28, 2020

It is thought that the coronavirus originated in Wuhan’s wild animal market, perhaps moving first from bats to a small mammal and then to humans. We know that as the globe rapidly warms, many animal species are forced to migrate towards the poles in search of more optimal habitats as their existing regions become too warm and dry to continue to sustain them.

This migration causes these animals to interact more with other species, and become more stressed, weakening their immune systems and increasing the probability of them becoming virus carriers and propagators.

Ref:  ^DJI, aka Dow or “Dow Jones Industrial Average“.


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Skating with the Wolves (and Ranting about Climate Coronavirus Connections) // Mar 1, 2020

Nothing beats an early morning vigorous skate through the Quebec snow covered forests with the wolves. The ice was perfectly flat and nearly pristine along this 3 km loop in the woods at Lac-des-Loups, and the path was almost deserted. Essentially, this was the perfect place for me to film a rant video while skating, to summarize some of the key connections between abrupt climate system change and the Coronavirus, and vice-versa.

It is very clear to me that climate change increases the risk of viral and bacterial disease outbreaks around the planet, and when these outbreaks are large enough to become global pandemics they significantly affect climate. If you like my videos, please donate at http://paulbeckwith.net and Thanks for Watching!!
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Skating Seven Miles Through the Beautiful Winter Forest in Lac-des-Loups (Lake of Wolves) Quebec!) // Mar 1, 2020

Last video focused on the connections between abrupt climate system change and the connections to the coronavirus. Some people rightly complained that as I skated in a beautiful forest landscape in Quebec they just saw my face and not enough of the scenery; this video is for those people.

   

Here I focus on the skating path and the wonderful snow laden trees bordering the path as I navigate through the forest. As I post this video, I am resting from my hour long skate covering over 7 miles (12 km), which is 4 complete loops) through the forest , according to my Garmin Fenix watch, which tells me everything about my body; in fact more than anybody would ever want to know!!
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Climate Catastrophe Warning in J.P.Morgan’s, Risky Business – Climate and Macroeconomy

Climate Catastrophe Warning in J.P.Morgan’s: Risky Business: the Climate and The Macroeconomy: 1 of 2 // Feb 24, 2020

…it is clear that the Earth is on an unsustainable trajectory. Something will have to change at some point if the human race is going to survive.

Economic Research Report: J.P.Morgan, Jan 14, 2020 titled “Risky Business: the climate and the macroeconomy” (Google it!)’.

The New York bank (J.P.Morgan) is one of 33 powerful financial institutions to have provided an estimated total of $1.9 Trillion to the fossil fuel sector between 2016 and 2018”:  Guardian Oct 2019, ‘Top investment banks provide billions to expand fossil fuel industry‘.

Clearly, the money and power in society is pushing us at ever faster rates towards a barren Earth
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Forward J.P.Morgan’s report: “Risky business: The Climate and the Macroeconomy” to Climate Deniers // Feb 24, 2020

I continue to chat about the J.P.Morgan Special Report, referenced above.

It is one thing for a tree-hugger or climate scientist to talk about our impending climate catastrophe, but another thing entirely for the largest investment bank funding fossil fuels to report using these dire terms.

Thus, I highly recommend you forward this video and link to politicians and your climate denier friends.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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West Antarctic Ice Sheet Melt Expected to Greatly Accelerate as Southern Ocean Warms

West Antarctic Ice Sheet Melt Expected to Greatly Accelerate as Southern Ocean Warms: Part 1 of 3 // Feb 19, 2020

An island off the northernmost tip of Antarctica reached a record breaking temperature of 20.75 C (69.35 F) for the first time, after setting a record the previous week of 18.3 C (65 F), besting the previous record of 17.5 C (63.5 F) in March 2015.

I show on Earth Nullschool how:

  • a dip in the Southern Hemisphere jet stream let warm air penetrate the Antarctica Peninsula;
  • temperatures over this region in the last 50 years have increased by 3 C (5.4 F),
  • which is 4 to 5 times the global average rise.

However it is the temperature rise in the Southern Oceans that greatly accelerates West Antarctic Ice Sheet melt.

Ref:  ‘Ancient Antarctic ice melt increased sea levels by 3+ metres – and it could happen again’, by Sherry Landow, 12 Feb, 2020, from unsw.edu.au.
Ref2: Seymour Island.
Ref3: Antarctic island hits record temperature of 20.75C, 14 Feb 2020 BBC.
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How Southern Ocean Warming Drives Substantial Ice Mass Loss from Antarctica; Part 2 of 3 // Feb 20, 2020

I continue to discuss a new paper that examines:

  • how southern ocean warming drove substantial ice mass loss from Antarctica early in the last interglacial period (129 to 116 thousand years ago),
  • and the implications of this today.

Back then, with warmer polar temperatures, global mean sea level was +6 to 9 m (roughly 20 to 30 feet) higher than today. With Greenland ice sheet melt contributing about 2 m, and ocean thermal expansion and melting mountain glaciers contributing about 1 m; that means Antarctica would have contributed between 3 to 6 m, mostly from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS).

 

Ref:  Eemian.

Ref2: ‘Early Last Interglacial ocean warming drove substantial ice mass loss from Antarctica‘, from Pnas, 11 Feb, 2020.
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How close are Southern Ocean Temperatures to a West Antarctic Ice Sheet Tipping Point? Part 3 of 3 // Feb 20, 2020

I continue chatting on the new paper examining how southern ocean warming drove substantial ice mass loss from Antarctica early in the last interglacial period (129 to 116 thousand years ago), and the implications for us today of accelerated melt and sea level rise.

According to the paper, an early last-interglacial warning of Sea-Surface Temperature (SST) of 1.6 C relative to present day occurred; meanwhile SST temperatures bracketing coastlines of the most vulnerable West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) increased as much as 1 C between 1981 and 2010. Not good; we may be very close to a tipping point.
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And, just in case you missed this recent prior series, from 11 Feb: ‘Sex-Crazed Grasshopper (Locust) Swarms Amplified by Climate Change Caused Extreme Desert Rainfall‘ and ‘Climate Induced Frenzy: Grasshopper Metamorphosis from Loner to Ravenous Super-Swarm Munchers‘.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Threat to Arctic Warming and Sea-Ice Loss is Ongoing

HELP!
Sub-title: I am stuck in Arctic Sea-Ice

Trace Halocarbon GHG Threat to Arctic Warming and Sea-Ice Loss is Ongoing: Part 2 of 2 // ggg

Continues where previous video from yesterday ‘New Paper: Banned Halocarbons Still Responsible for HALF of Arctic Warming and Sea-Ice Loss: 1 of 2‘, left off:

If this study is confirmed by many others, then between 1955 and 2005 about half of the surface warming in the Arctic, and about half of the Arctic sea-ice extent loss was actually due to the GHG (Green House Gases) effect from ODS (Ozone Depleting Substances), and not due to ozone changes.

After stabilizing for many years after the 1987 Montreal Protocol, the ODS CFC-11 (trichlorofluoromethane has been rising since 2013 or so from illicit production in China, according a separate paper. Our societies cannot afford to let these trace, long lived, huge GWP (Global Warming Potential) gases to rise in concentration in our atmosphere.

Ref:  HFC (Hydrofluorocarbons).

Ref:  ‘Substantial Twentieth -Century Arctic Warming, Caused by Ozone-Depleting Substances‘, 20 Jan, 2020–Nature by Polvani, Previdi, England, Chiodo, and Smith
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In case you missed it, here are three videos on arctic sea ice, starting with:  ‘When will Arctic Sea-Ice Vanish in the summer?‘, continues with ‘Going, Going…‘, and concludes with ‘Arctic Transition…

And if those were not enough, two videos, starting with ‘Incredibly Warm Weather in Europe…‘, and continues with ‘Our Abrupt Climate Disruption Bus…

That’s eight new videos, so that your job to take in a markedly wide view on weather and climate, is THAT much easier.  Donations to Paul, were and are, continue to be appreciated.  PayPal account is not required, just normal credit card.

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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Live Interviews on Mainstream Canadian National TV Programs: CTV and CBC News

Beckwith’s Live Interviews on Mainstream Canadian National TV Programs: CTV and CBC News: 1 of 3 // Feb 2, 2020

When you start to wonder why I’ve had a video hiatus for a week or so, please rest assured that

  • I am on a massive learning quest (or succumbing to my chess addiction),
  • Reading huge numbers of books on all different topics: i.e. philosophy, to build better coping skills to deal with our existential crisis;
  • But most books are technical in various fields of endeavor.

    

I fortuitously bought “Pandemic 1918: Eyewitness Accounts from the Greatest Medical Holocaust in Modern History” by Catharine Arnold a few months ago (a premonition??). Given the new coronavirus emergency it was very prudent to read it immediately.
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Beckwith’s Live Mainstream National Media (CTV TV and CBC TV) Interviews: Aussie Wildfires: 2 of 3 // Feb 2, 2020

Back in September, 2019 (oh so long ago, in abrupt climate system change time) I did a video on the record setting Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) over Antarctica and explained how it would deflect the jet streams (and this rain bearing storms) away from Australia in their summer (Canada’s northern hemisphere winter).

The rest is history, as they say.

  • Australia has been hit by extreme heat and dryness, and thus ongoing apocalyptic wildfires.
  • As the SSW subsided, heavy rain and golf-ball” sized hailstorms hit,
  • Then back to drought and massive dust storms.

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Beckwith’s Interviews Live On-Air with Canada’s National TV Broadcasters: Aussie Wildfires: 3 of 3 // Feb 2, 2020

Over the last month I have had six or seven on-air TV interviews with Canada’s largest private broadcaster (CTV News) and another with Canada’s largest public broadcasters (CBC News). In this final video of my three part video series I continue to play the recorded TV news clips, and discuss:

 

  • The keystone role that abrupt climate system change has in driving Australia’s catastrophic wildfires.
  • I also discuss the jaw-dropping ineptitude of governments to respond to our ongoing climate casino reality.

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Ice Carving Competition at Ottawa’s Yearly
WinterLude Festival (soon to be WaterLude?).

Bench is made of ice (I was on the cold seat!)

 

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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Climate System Change Update Live from Canadian University Chess Championship Skittles Room

Climate System Change Update Live from Canadian University Chess Championship Skittles Room

Live climate change reporting from the skittles room before the final round of the Canadian University Chess Championship team tournament at beautiful Wilfred Laurier University in snowy Kitchener, Ontario.

  

We got 20-30 cm of snow; eastern Newfoundland received almost a meter of snow; snowfall rates of 10 cm per hour; winds up to 157 km/h (Cat. 2 hurricane wind equivalent).

Needless to say, snowdrifts covered many cars and even some houses, and many people had to literally dig themselves out. Check out the online photos. Australia is finally catching a break from the wildfires and heat.

The Sudden Stratospheric Warming that switched on in September just switched off, so jet streams could bring moisture and rainfall over Australia to put out fires.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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How Arctic Ocean Blue Ocean State Will Crush Humanity Like a Bug


How Arctic Ocean Blue Ocean State Will Crush Humanity Like a Bug: Part 1 of 3 // Jan 10, 2020

In my previous two videos I discussed how the reflectivity of the Arctic region reduced from 52% to 48% between 1979 and 2011, with global average warning 0.21 W/m2 (1/4 that of CO2).

Now I explain the newest science from 2019 on how a Blue-Ocean State (zero Arctic sea ice) in summer would heat the overall planet 0.71 W/m2 with expected cloud invariance (or 2.24 W/m2 with clear skies, or 0.37 W/m2 if overcast). This equals 1 trillion tons of CO2 or 25 years of warming. i.e. global food shortage chaos.
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‪Another TV interview from Monday the 6th:  I chatted earlier today on CTVNews about the horrible fires, and we covered impacts to First Nations people.
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Here on Extinction Radio again, Episode 102 – 10th December 2019 – Paul Beckwith live from CoP 25 in Madrid.  The interview with founder and creator, Mike Ferrigan, has downloadable versions in both video and audio for this episode.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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