Why is the North Pacific Ocean like a sauna? // Published on Aug 5, 2015
‘The El Niño has greatly warmed the equatorial Pacific Ocean, and will continue to build up until Christmas. However, the North Pacific water temperatures are way warmer than normal, and have been that way well before the El Niño appeared. I propose that the Pacific Meridional Overturning Circulation (PMOC) has greatly slowed or shut down, and wonder why Hansen never discussed this. Algae blooms are enormous, and marine life is collapsing in the North Pacific Ocean.’
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Revisited: Can global sea level rise 7 meters by 2070? // Published on Jul 20, 2015
It was late at night, and I was walking home from the lab when I got the urge to shoot a selfio. Luckily, I have a fairly steady hand that allows me to “talk the walk” to my camera held up in front of me. There are some downsides to this type of filming, such as tripping on curbs and being honked at by drivers who wonder WTF this crazy person is doing at 2 in the morning. No worries, just some climate science dude cutting some videos.
‘About a year ago I suggested the answer was YES. I revisit the question in light of the latest science.’
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The older video, which I mention at the beginning of the above ‘revisited’ is here:
Can global sea-level rise 7 meters by 2070? // Published on Apr 15, 2014
In old-Ottawa South, there is a region near the Ottawa River that often floods in the spring when the snow melts in the watershed and the elevated river levels overtop the banks. I knew that this was happening, and thought that the flooded streets would make a great backdrop for my video on global sea level rise. Lots of fun doing this.
‘Global sea levels rose about 2 mm per year over the last century, but this rate increased to 3.4 mm/yr over the last decade. As Greenland and Antarctic ice cap melt rates accelerate, they open up the likely scenario of a global sea level rise of 7 meters (21 feet) by 2070.’
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Climate Mayhem Update Part 1 // Published on Jul 17, 2015
Words are like arrows. Choosing language is much more important than a lot of people realize. Climate change does not reflect the severity of the situation. Climate Catastrophe. Climate Casino. Climate Mayhem. Climate System Mayhem sounds much more accurate.
‘Sea ice status now; projection for rest of melt season, implications to extreme weather events and global food supply.’
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Climate Mayhem Update Part 2 // Published on Jul 17, 2015
‘Arctic sea ice destruction; blue ocean event and global food supply threat.’
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This will take you back to, my Special Videos, here.
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[ MOVED FROM ‘RECENT VIDEOS’, Fri_15-Jan-2016, dk ]
Wet-bulb temperature limit for human body // Published on Jul 5, 2015
‘When the wet-bulb temperature reaches 35 degrees Celsius the human body can not remove heat sufficiently so undergoes thermal runaway of core body temperature leading to rapid death. Near coastlines where water temperature has recently reached 33 degrees Celsius we are nearing this drop-dead condition.’
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Tired of your screens? // Published on Jul 24, 2015
‘Need a break from iPhones, computers, Twitter, Facebook,…?
Just toss it in the lake!’
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Removing CO2 from atmosphere and oceans // Published on Jul 5, 2015
‘I discuss the technology of buoyant nutrient flakes to regenerate the phytoplankton at the base of the marine food chain. This has great potential to lower atmospheric CO2 levels (reducing warming) and dissolved CO2 levels (reducing ocean acidification).’
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Climate System Disruption March 24, 2015 // Published on Mar 24, 2015
‘Summary of ocean current slowdowns, rapid sea level rise of east coast of North America, wavy jet streams and extreme weather events, Arctic and Antarctica connections and declining carbon sink in Amazon rainforests. All recent developments from last two week.’
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Abrupt climate change is underway already. // Published on Jul 17, 2015
‘Many paleorecords record global temperature rises of 5 to 6 degrees Celsius in a decade or two, and I give some examples. Can this happen now, in the next few decades? I think that it can, and explain what some of the strong feedback mechanisms are. I also discuss some recent worrying occurrences such as enormous North Pacific Ocean warmth and a cool blob in the North Atlantic Ocean cutting of the Gulf Stream.’
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A little chat about methane // Published on Oct 7, 2014
‘For about 3 years AMEG (Arctic Methane Emergency Group), to which I belong, has been doing the sandwich board, sky-is-falling routine about the enormous risk of large methane releases from the greatly warming Arctic. Support has come from prominent Russian scientists who have been leading teams of international researchers in observing the methane emissions for years, most noticeably on the ESAS (Eastern Siberian Arctic Shelf) and in Siberian permafrost.
‘And now, it turns out that AMEG views on the risk are supported also by a 2012 paper looking at methane mitigation and risks in the Arctic from (drumroll please)…the LLNL (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory). Yes, the US government lab that developed the A-bomb. Meanwhile, “methane-deniers” were out in full force at the recent UK Royal Society meeting, which made fun of Peter Wadhams talk, and criticized the Russian work (they were not even invited to speak, and -30 sent a scathing rebuttal to the organizers). The plot thickens…’
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On necessity of geoengineering to cool Arctic // Published on Mar 7, 2015
‘What we must do to have a decent future.’
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Abrupt climate system change is underway. // Published on Feb 27, 2015
‘An elevator pitch of my Ph.D research on “Abrupt Climate Change”.’
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Global Chorus: 365 voices on the future of the planet. // Published on Jan 29, 2015
‘I do a reading from my contribution to this anthology, in which I was the October 7th human…’
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Misplaced fear. Terrorism vs climate change. // Published on Oct 23, 2014
‘The very word “terrorism” arouses fear and anxiety in most people. The incidents in the last few days in Montreal and at Ottawa’s War Memorial and Parliament Hill will no doubt shock many Canadian’s and dominate the mainstream media for many days. Not so for me.’
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This will take you back to, my Special Videos, here.
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[Some additional videos below. dk Wed_25-Nov-2015]
Abrupt climate change rant // Published on Mar 24, 2014
Kkkk
Extreme weather is taking out cities (Calgary + Toronto floods), states like Colorado and countries like the UK. Cause is wavier jet streams from huge Arctic warming die to collapsing sea ice and snow cover. This video is for Earth Day 2014. Do your own 2 minute or so clip and post to theclimatemessage.com
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4
El Niño 2014 will be huge? // Published on Jun 20, 2014
I explain what is happening in the Pacific Ocean basin near the equator between Australia/Indonesia and South America. Atmospheric circulation, temperature, water vapour, and clouds are examined; as well as ocean temperature anomalies, currents, and behaviour are discussed. Conclusion: 2014/15 El Niño is likely to rival 1997/98 and 1982/83 events, which were the largest in the last 140 years or so.
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5
Can climate change cause human extinction? // Published on Apr 15, 2014
No sane person can expect indefinite exponential growth on a finite planet. Are we close to a breaking point? Can we slam on the brakes? Is NTHE (near-term human extinction) possible? How long is near-term anyway? Decades, centuries, or millennia? That depends on who you ask…
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6
Climate change deep freeze // Published on Jan 27, 2014
I discuss the severity and extent of the North American deep freeze and how it results from fractured jet streams due to climate change. Also discussed is extreme stress on infrastructure (roads, rail, pipelines,…) from rapid 40 degree C temperature swings.
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7
Arctic sea ice thickness + motion June 10 2013 // Published on Jun 10, 2013
Left pane shows Arctic sea ice thickness; right pane shows sea ice motion (direction and speed).
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8
Abrupt climate change Part A // Published on Feb 1, 2014
Our abruptly changing climate system: where we are and where we are going.
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9
Abrupt climate change Part B // Published on Feb 1, 2014
What is next for climate and extreme weather? Where are we heading and how long will it take to get there?
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Several older videos, but still of value and quite representative:
Consequence of Climate Change // May 15, 2013
‘On May 9th, 2013 the atmospheric CO2 level reached 400 parts per million, the first time since 800,000 years ago. Paul Beckwith, PhD candidate in Climate Science at University of Ottawa, talked about the wide range impact of climate change, December 2012.’
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Paul Beckwith: Rapid climate change in the Arctic and global implications (Eschaton 2012) // Aug 28, 2013
In 2012 I was invited to be a guest speaker at the Ottawa Skeptics Society Eschaton, 2012 Conference. The skeptics society has nothing to do with climate change denial. It is skeptical about religion, and is a group of mostly technical, scientifically minded people. Of course I said yes.
About a year later (I must admit, I was very skeptical that it would ever appear), the video of my talk appeared on the internet. Here it is!
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Paul Beckwith: Climate Change Science Since 2007, Sierra Club Canada // Uploaded on Jan 15, 2010
‘Climate Change Science since 2007. An update on the science since publication of the Fourth Assessment Report (FAR) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2007. Report by Paul Beckwith, Sierra Club Canada’
My first volunteering for Sierra Club Canada
In late 2009, I volunteered at Sierra Club Canada in Ottawa to read the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 4th assessment report that had been released in 2007, from cover to cover. Then I examined the latest and greatest science at that time, and wrote a report comparing the latest science with the science in the assessment report.
My report identified that the IPCC report was greatly underestimating the rates of change of sea level rise, Greenland and Antarctic Ice melt rates, Arctic temperature amplification levels and completely ignored increased levels of Arctic methane emissions.
I was filmed discussing my report findings on the IPCC report. Side note: the CEO of Sierra Club Canada sent my report to John M.R. Stone, a key author for the Nobel Prize winning IPCC report to see if I was accurate. I passed with flying colors!
**
[edit, link to ‘summary for Sierra club Canada on the us national climate assessment report’, Dec 7, 2009. dk]
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[Some additional videos below. dk Wed_25-Nov-2015]
Abrupt climate change rant // Published on Mar 24, 2014
Kkkk
Extreme weather is taking out cities (Calgary + Toronto floods), states like Colorado and countries like the UK. Cause is wavier jet streams from huge Arctic warming die to collapsing sea ice and snow cover. This video is for Earth Day 2014. Do your own 2 minute or so clip and post to theclimatemessage.com
———- ———-
El Niño 2014 will be huge? // Published on Jun 20, 2014
I explain what is happening in the Pacific Ocean basin near the equator between Australia/Indonesia and South America. Atmospheric circulation, temperature, water vapour, and clouds are examined; as well as ocean temperature anomalies, currents, and behaviour are discussed. Conclusion: 2014/15 El Niño is likely to rival 1997/98 and 1982/83 events, which were the largest in the last 140 years or so.
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Can climate change cause human extinction? // Published on Apr 15, 2014
No sane person can expect indefinite exponential growth on a finite planet. Are we close to a breaking point? Can we slam on the brakes? Is NTHE (near-term human extinction) possible? How long is near-term anyway? Decades, centuries, or millennia? That depends on who you ask…
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Climate change deep freeze // Published on Jan 27, 2014
I discuss the severity and extent of the North American deep freeze and how it results from fractured jet streams due to climate change. Also discussed is extreme stress on infrastructure (roads, rail, pipelines,…) from rapid 40 degree C temperature swings.
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Arctic sea ice thickness + motion June 10 2013 // Published on Jun 10, 2013
Left pane shows Arctic sea ice thickness; right pane shows sea ice motion (direction and speed).
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Paul Beckwith, Climate System Scientist 