Crossover of Military Attempts to “Predict the Future” on Climate Predictions; Perspective on Earth’s Energy Imbalance

Jul 10, 2022

Within the Pentagon and US Department of Defence Agencies, there is an ongoing quest to automate conflict, militarize data, and predict the future.

A new book (2022) called “War Virtually” by Anthropologist Roberto J. Gonzalez delves into this mostly secretive quest.

I was wondering whether the “predict the future” part examined abrupt climate system change as the core for these predictions, and was very surprised to find out that climate was hardly considered, if at all.

I discuss the details of what is actually considered, and really wonder what is going on and why climate change is hardly even mentioned.

As you probably already know, I always have multiple books on the go. As well as War Virtually, I highly recommend the fiction by Clive Cussler called “Arctic Drift” published in 2008; it is chock full of Arctic and Canadian settings, and covers Arctic sea ice and science quite well. I also recommend Erik Larson’s 2020 non-fiction called “The Splendid and the Vile” covering Sir Winston Churchill WWII leadership and the darkest days for Britain in 1939 and 1940 as they stood alone and withstood the German Blitzkrieg and Luftwaffe military might. Another great read, and great insights into the true leadership of Churchill. Very sad that we have no compatible leadership in any country on tackling abrupt climate system change.
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Jul 11, 2022

To get a better handle on understanding abrupt climate system change, and how it makes out lives much more unpredictable, within the climate casino, understanding the overall Earth Energy budget and Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) is vital.

In fact, 93% of the EEI is going into the oceans and heating them. Only about 3% of EEI is melting ice in glaciers on mountains and Greenland and Antarctica. Meanwhile about 4% is heating the land and melting the permafrost, and less than 1% is going into the atmosphere. This means that less than 1% is casing the in-your-face global warming that most of us human landlubbers are experiencing.

We have all seen the graphs of increases in GMST (Global Mean Surface Temperature) and discuss the 1.5 C and 2 C numbers that are debated as-nauseous at yearly climate conferences. Yet, this consequence is only due to less than 1% of the EEI.

Clearly, we need to understand the overall energy flows, energy reservoirs, and changes in the overall Earth System in order to figure out what is really happening, and evaluate properly measures to mitigate the problem.

In this video I focus mostly on a brand new peer reviewed paper published one week ago called “A perspective on climate change from Earth’s Energy Imbalance”.

Please donate at to support my research and videos as I connect the dots on abrupt climate system change.
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Please donate here to support my research and videos as I join the dots on abrupt climate system change, and teach you what I know about the latest science in easily understood lay-person language. I truly believe that much joy in life comes from continuous learning and teaching, and I am sure that I learn as much from researching, studying, and filming these videos as you may learn from watching them.
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About paulbeckwith

Well known climate science educator; Part-time Geography professor (climatology, oceanography, environmental issues), University of Ottawa. Physicist. Engineer. Master's Degree in Science in Laser Optics, Bachelors of Engineering, in Engineering Physics. Won Association of Professional Engineers of Ontario gold medal. Also interested in investment and start-ups in climate solutions, renewable energy and energy efficiency. Avid chess player, and likes restoring old homes. Married with children.
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