Rap Guide to Climate Chaos

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I first met Baba Brinkman in Lima, Peru at the COP20.  In Paris, at COP21 we reconnected and I arranged to have him be part of one of my press conferences, in which he did the Laudato Si rap, which was awesome–loyal and/or long time followers will definitely remember it:  ‘Rap Music and Moral Obligation On Climate Matters.

His new album is set to be released September 30th, and he making a pre-release page with four preview tracks available for public streaming at, The Rap Guide to Climate Chaos, by Baba Brinkman (dk:  Really, really outstanding.  Just REALLY good).

His ‘latest album is now finished, after a marathon seven-month recording and revising process … the results are as epic as the subject’ which ‘the album explores…The Rap Guide to Climate Chaos takes you on an auditory journey through the science, politics, and economics of global warming, looking at it through the eyes of researchers, climate deniers, activists, the Pope, and many perspectives in between’  His ‘goal with this album’ was ‘to alert people to the scale and urgency of the challenge, and also to create a sense of optimism around what we can still do to remedy things’.
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I am again on Extinction Radio in their second of their newly reinstated series, included with today’s episode featuring Derrick Jensen.  My interview resumes with Mike Ferrigan in my sustained roles as a ‘Regular Contributor‘ and thus promises to continue.  ‘Conversation with Paul Beckwith’, starts at 1:42:26 mark (102:26), by clicking here.  About 14:09 long.

BTW, our very good friend Peter Melton is also amply featured at the 47:35 mark (about 27:33 long).
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My latest video, ‘Abruptly Shifting Sands of Climate Change’ // Published on Aug 23, 2016

As I trudged across the massive sand dunes in Jockey’s Ridge Park in the Outer Banks, North Carolina, just south of famous Kitty Hawk (location of the first flight) at Kill Devils Hill I thought that I may as well rant on abrupt climate change.

If my verbal tirade is somewhat disjointed and incoherent,then please forgive me. Perhaps it can be attributed to overexposure to sun, wind, heat and sandblasting?
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Putting the SUN to bed just south of Avon in The Outer Banks, South Carolina. It was too hot to hold in one hand, so I tried a basketball hold and it got away from me. A special thanks goes to my brilliantly talented photographer Edward…

Along side, another angle on the spectacular sunset.

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On the day before WWII ended, a German U-Boat was sunk just off The Outer Banks, North Carolina. This photo shows the salvaged hatch from the sunken sub.

Time to recharge, reflect on the massive shifting sands of time.

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Confession. I took this (last) sunset photo exactly one year ago.  All others quite recent.

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One Day, My Son, This Will All Be Underwater

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One Day, My Son, This Will All Be Underwater // Published on Aug 23, 2016

The last time the Earth was this warm, global sea levels were 6 to 9 meters (20 to 30 feet) higher.

In Earth history, sea level has varied from about 120 meters (400 feet) lower to about 70 meters (240 feet) higher.

If Greenland and Antarctica ice cap melt rates continue to double every 7 years or so (exponentially) then I calculate that we will see 7 meters (24 feet) of rise by 2070.

Surely, we must not less this happen. We must apply the three-legged stool to prevent this, and stabilize our climate.

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Can Greenland Ice Caps Collapse?

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Can Greenland Ice Caps Collapse? Part 1 of 2 // Published on Aug 16, 2016

Is it possible that vast portions of Greenland’s ice cap could calve/slide off the continent, causing spikes in global sea level rise? As we lose Arctic sea-ice and snow cover and get much warmer northern temperatures, how much would this destabilize Greenland ice?

I look at ice melt evidence/behaviour from 21,000 years ago to the onset of the Holocene to try and assess present day risks from Greenland, using slides from my friend Veli Albert Kallio of the Sea Research Society.

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Can Greenland Ice Caps Collapse? Part 2 of 2 // Published on Aug 16, 2016

‘In 1995, ten argentine soldiers witnessed a cataclysm that no other humans have even seen, one that has since altered our understanding of climate change’.
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Please consider making a Donation, as this work is not self funded.   Every small amount helps and adds up.  Thank you!

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What Happens in the Arctic Doesn’t Stay in the Arctic–Not Like Vegas

Demise of Arctic Sea-Ice: Part 1 of 2 // Published on Aug 16, 2016

There is very little Arctic sea-ice left this year. The trend is a rapid decline to essentially nothing (- 1 million square km); the “blue-ocean event” as I call it (should have trademarked this).

If the ongoing massive cyclones continue to shred the ice over the next 4 or 5 weeks of this summers melt season, then “nothing left” could be this year; otherwise before 2020 is an excellent wager.

The devil is in the details; I teach you how to find the details that you need to do your own assessment (Google here, for recent images of arctic sea ice graphs.  Neven’s Arctic Sea Ice Blog).  Below graph, compliments, Robert Scribbler’s ‘July was the Hottest Month Ever Recorded; 2016 Set to Make 1998 Look Cold by Comparison‘.  Links to both Climate Reanalyzer and Earth Null School.

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Demise of Arctic Sea-Ice: Part 2 of 2 // Published on Aug 16, 2016

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The Interview with Paul Beckwith, from The NATO Association of Canada, August 19th, 2016, by Lira Loloci, who is currently the Editor of the Global Horizons Program at the NATO Association of Canada.

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On behalf of NATO Association of Canada, I had the privilege to interview Paul Beckwith, climate system scientist and part-time professor in Climatology at University of Ottawa, working on his PhD in abrupt climate change. Mr. Beckwith discusses the main challenges that we are facing when it comes to climate policy, biggest environmental concerns to Canada, and geoengineering as an alternative to tackling climate change.

Please tell us a bit about your educational background and any current undertakings that you are working on.

I’m a part-time professor at the university of Ottawa, where I teach Climatology and Meteorology. I have a B.Eng. Engineering Physics degree and M.Sc. Physics degree in laser optics, a field in which I worked for many years. I’ve always been concerned with climate change and decided to formalize my knowledge by coming back to university to study and teach climate change. My research topic is abrupt climate change, which deals with how quickly the climate system is changing now, how quickly it has changed over the past, and from that information we can hopefully determine how fast it will be changing in the future.

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National Snow and Ice Data Center, 18 hours ago (about 7:50 am Friday)

In the context of abrupt climate change, what would you say is the biggest security threat that Canadians are facing?

I think Canadians and just about anybody else in the world is facing similar threats. I like to call it “death by a thousand cuts”. We have a fairly resilient society, cities and what we are seeing is that extreme weather events are rapidly rising and affecting our society negatively. Toronto had a big flooding in the summer of 2013, a few weeks after Calgary had one. Around the same time, Colorado had a flooding two months after. Currently, we are seeing vast portions of Louisiana under water. We also have had droughts, which threaten food security. So I see food security as being one of the main problematic issues as a result of abrupt climate change events.

It can all be related to the Arctic warming, which is quickly losing sea ice in the summer and snow cover in the spring. As a result, the Arctic is getting a lot darker, absorbing a lot more solar radiation, meaning that it’s heating up much faster that the equator. All of these things are causing more extreme weather events, and as a result because it is warmer, there is about 7% more water vapour in the atmosphere than there was in the pre-industrial levels. This is causing our resources to be used up, major damages in infrastructure and damages to people’s health.

You attended the COP 21 conference in Paris, which for the first time reached an agreement requiring all nations to pledge action on climate change. However, given that there is no actual binding mechanism in international agreements, how would you rate the success of the COP 21 conference?

Paris was important and it did achieve more than previous conferences had done, but I didn’t get a sense of urgency from policy-makers …. Full interview, continues here.
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Its nice to have Extinction Radio back.  My interview with Michael Ferrigan here:  ‘Conversation with Paul Beckwith: Jet Stream and POTUS Election‘, starts at 1:24:09 mark (84:09), by clicking here.  About 24:26 long.  Thank you Mike.  A lot of hard work was done previously by Gene, Peter, and Ivy.  And now Mike, Susan, and Oliva similarly continue this labor of love.  Thank you for the inclusion.  I am always glad to return, and support their getting the message out.  Speaking of message:
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Easy to use Please Donate feature, simply click here.  More to come… Where will we be in a year?  This site started eleven months ago, and went live in November.  Every bit helps.  Thank you!  Each of you who help, make this all be able to continue as it is.  Thank you twice.

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Nil carborundum pro illigitimi

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Madness writ large in image.  But Paul has not quit on the earth or interventions… ‘Illegitimi non carborundum is a mock-Latin aphorism meaning “Don’t let the bastards grind you down”, ‘ or 不要讓那些混蛋碾你失望.

Inhabitat had a kick a_s interview with Paul (dk).  It is amazing.  One of the best episodes or bits of content ever done with him or by him.  Do not miss this!

INTERVIEW: Paul Beckwith on the jet stream crossing and global climate emergency. linked here.


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Think Critically. Reject Conspiracies // Published on Aug 16, 2016

Our fossil fuel emissions of greenhouse gases have changed the properties of our atmosphere and oceans. Earths heat balance from the poles to the equator is rapidly changing, greatly increasing extreme weather events and climate.

Many websites/groups invoke other reasons:
a) spraying, chemtrails, geoengineering
b) Planet X (Niburu)
c) Magnetic field changes on Earth
d) Motion of Earth, sun, solar system
e) Biblical beliefs, Revelations

Nope. None of these make sense. It is us, and our fossil fuel emissions.
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Ref:  ‘Nevin’s blog’, Arctic Sea Ice Blog.

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Case for Declaration of Global Climate Emergency

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Case for Declaration of Global Climate Emergency (Part 1 of 2) // Published on Aug 14, 2016

Part 1 of 2 videos: Our planet and its life support systems have been very resilient for eons. Not any more.

We are now suffering “death by one thousand cuts”, as our biosphere is taking continuous hits. Our planets stability is spiralling out of control as we transition through highly nonlinear abrupt climate change.

Wake up and smell the roses, while they still exist.
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Case for Declaration of Global Climate Emergency (Part 2 of 2) // Published on Aug 14, 2016

Part 2 of 2 videos: Our planet and its life support systems have been very resilient for eons. Not any more.
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paypal-donation-button  Please consider, the easy to use Donate feature here.  Any amount helps.  Allows me to continue to do this work, at the level I do.

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Epic Interview: Paul 5.0

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So Paul does not seem too vain (dk here)–and he is not–FYI the title was not chosen by him, but rather by his faithful servant, David Korn, Special Projects who has been with him from here day one, from eleven months ago.  This is a major peace of work.  I asked Paul:  “Do you know the meaning of epic?”  And he took a flier, being a serious movie buff as he is.  If you think being 41st in all of Canada for chess is a joke, try beating 300 people and winning a hefty movie ticket raffle for best answers in current cinema trivia.  But it was not to be.  He missed.  Instead:  “Paul, epic is often a term in alpine mountaineering, when maybe you are not roped in near a summit, but you climb all day, up and up and up, then, when you get there and look out as far as the eye can see, you know you did something which you might not do for another ten years, if ever again” (Paul will).

Without further ado, here the transcription of his his Epic Interview with Leehi Yona,of Dartmouth University [1].  Not only did she do a great job, but Paul bested by editing for correctness, additions, and making minor clarifications, and it REALLY shows.  He also took great care in adding images.  You will love this.  The more we look at it, the more impressed we are at his reach, depth, and power.  Gassho sir Paul!  Previously his big step was ‘Paul 4.0‘.  Now we have Paul 5.0:
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For full interview, click:  Interview with Leehi Yona.  Click 5052_LY_Interview Thirty-One_Paul Beckwith_02_23_16 edited final, and here for cloud version.  13,324 words, 26 pages in 12 pnt.  Here is a clip: 

Interview with Leehi Yona:

Interviewer (INT): Leehi Yona (Dartmouth University)
Responder (R): Paul Beckwith (University of Ottawa)
Date: February 23, 2016.  Transcribed by Leehi Yona, Light edits by Paul Beckwith for grammar, spelling, clarifications, readability (no significant content edits).  Images added by Paul Beckwith and David Korn for blog.
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INT:  So if you could please start just by telling me your name and what you do.

R:  Paul Beckwith. I’m a part-time professor at the University of Ottawa in the Department of Geography, Laboratory for Interactive Research on Environmental Change and Public Policy (previously Laboratory for Paleoclimatology and Climatology). I’ve taught six courses, mostly introductory climatology and meteorology (3 times), and designed and taught an oceanography course. The climatology courses are second year courses, the oceanography is a third year. I also teach a third year course called Geographical Approaches to Environmental Issues and I’m teaching that at the moment (February, 2016) and have taught it in the past. So I design and teach lots of courses.

I’m also a Ph.D. student myself at the university. My research area is abrupt climate system change in the past and present. My background: I’ve come back to school, since I’m very concerned about climate change. I studied Engineering Physics before and got an engineering degree years ago, and also studied laser physics/optics and did a Master’s degree (M.Sc.) in the science faculty years ago. I do lots of videos on climate change. I have a website at http://paulbeckwith.net. I think I’ve done well over 100 videos and lots of blogs and interviews and things and I’m very active on social media (YouTube, Facebook, Twitter, etc.) to educate people on the risks of climate change, more specifically on abrupt climate change.

INT:  What brought you into this work?

R:  I’ve always been interested and concerned about what’s happening to our climate and weather patterns and decided that I may as well go back to school and learn it in a formal setting and study it intensely, to become an expert on what’s happening with our climate change system.

INT:  So in your work on climate change, have you seen changes in public awareness on the issue?

R:  For the most part, the overall public is not aware of the great risks that we face present day and in the near term, like in the next few years, say five years. I think too many of the public thought that climate change was a year 2100 problem and now they’re slowly realizing that it’s not. So I have seen a shift. I’ve seen a shift from denial and not knowing too much about it, and not caring about it, and not thinking it would be a part of their lives, to realizing that it’s happening now, but the understanding of the risks are still not there now.

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I think that very soon, we will lose the Arctic sea ice. We’ll have a “blue ocean event” (what I call it) and then the global extreme weather events that we see now, which are a manifestation of the latitudinal warming gradient, the greatly warming Arctic, will increase in severity, frequency and duration. They’re going to hit people’s wallets and security, and entire lives — well, they can hit the food supply for one thing, but it will also have a big impact on — I mean, it’s already having a big impact on the bottom line, the dollar, with the damage to infrastructure, flooding of cities, torrential rain events, the weather weirding and whiplashing, around weather variability and statistics in general.

So I think people will go from this state of thinking it was a long-term problem they didn’t have to worry about to thinking: “Hey, it’s happening now” to being utterly terrified about what’s happening and where we’re at. I think we’ll get an abrupt tipping point in human understanding of the problem.

INT:  And you think that the human understanding is then just tied directly to the weather events that people are noticing, right?

R:  I think the actual extreme weather events that are occurring today are sort of taking people by surprise. People tend to have a lot of linear thinking. They think that slow changes are happening and will continue to happen over time, but they don’t recognize the instability; the inherent instability in the climate system and we’ve been fortunate to be in a stable state for a long period of time. People just assume that’s going to continue, and yet, we’re crossing tipping points, especially in the Arctic. So I think people are going to get a number of progressively worse wake up calls, and I think that’s going to come very soon, when we have no ice in the Arctic. No ice and snow in the Arctic…

Complete Interview with Leehi Yona continues here (above is pages one and two of full 26 pages).
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[1] ‘Yona is doing her senior fellowship project on Arctic climate policy, and traveled to Alaska with funding from a’ Stamps Leadership Scholar Award.

 

 

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