Fossil Fuel Use is Rising Like There is NO Tomorrow

Fossil Fuel Use is Rising Like There is NO Tomorrow // Published on Jul 26, 2017

If YOU think that 25+ years of global climate change policy meetings (IPCCs & COPs), and  today’s much discussed growth in clean energy and efficiency are reducing global fossil fuel usage and thus greenhouse gas emissions then YOU are sadly mistaken.

No sugar-coating. The cold hard data, displayed in charts for you and discussed in this video is brutal, but you need to see it for yourself. Fossil fuel growth is backed by enormous government subsidies and the emissions are climbing like there is no tomorrow. No tomorrow, not just for your grandkids but for your kids, and even for YOU.


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Best 15 Ways to Drawdown Greenhouse Gases

Best 15 Ways to Drawdown Greenhouse Gases / Published on Jul 24, 2017

I discuss 15 of the most important ways that humanity can significantly reduce fossil fuel emissions. The ultimate goal is removal of carbon from the atmosphere/oceans, as outlined in the book Drawdown and website drawdown.org; We do this, or we perish…

Of course, wind turbines and solar panels are important and on the list, but they are NOT at the top. Ditto for food and trees. Guess what all 15 are, and then rank them. Then watch my video and be very surprised. I was..

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Fending Off Scientist’s Attacks on “The Uninhabitable Earth”: Five Videos, Parts A to E

Fending Off Scientist’s Attacks on “The Uninhabitable Earth”. Part A / Published on Jul 17, 2017

The controversy over the accuracy of the New York Magazine article “The Uninhabited Earth” expands and deepens. Sixteen scientists examined and commented on the article, and gave it a low rating for “scientific accuracy” on the website climatefeedback.org; normally I agree with ratings from this great website, but NOT in this case.
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Fending Off Scientist’s Attacks on “The Uninhabitable Earth”. Part B / Published on Jul 17, 2017


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Fending Off Scientist’s Attacks on “The Uninhabitable Earth”. Part C / Published on Jul 17, 2017


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Fending Off Scientist’s Attacks on “The Uninhabitable Earth”. Part D / Published on Jul 17, 2017


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Fending Off Scientist’s Attacks on “The Uninhabitable Earth”. Part E/ Published on Jul 17, 2017


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Abrupt Climate Mayhem Now, in Spite of Main-Stream-Climatologist Posturing

Abrupt Climate Mayhem Now, in Spite of Main-Stream-Climatologist Posturing // Published on Jul 13, 2017

Quite frankly, I am sick and tired of people, especially main-stream-talking-head-scientists, downplaying the huge unprecedented threats that are accumulating daily and will soon take down our civilizations. Our world is one that is full of specialists, with no ability to join-the-dots and recognize that humanities existence, and that of our entire ecosystems of plants and animals is degrading rapidly. Even exponentially.

From my chair, I categorically state that anybody who downplays the significance and importance of our planets peril is part of the problem, and needs to get with the program or step aside so that the rest of us can do what is needed. The public needs the truth, no matter how bad it is to have any hope of changing course. And the truth is truly awful, at present.
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Main-Stream-Scientists Screw Up Communicating Abrupt Climate Change // Published on Jul 13, 2017

I continue on my last video’s chat about the widely viewed New York Magazine article by David Wallace-Well’s on The Uninhabitable Earth, Famine, economic collapse, a sun that cooks us: What climate change could wreak — sooner than you think.

Everyone agrees that this article hit a nerve with Main-Stream-(Media: MSM; Scientists: MSS) and the public.

We all hear over and over, from Main-Stream-Scientists), that climate change is occurring “faster than expected“. Think about what this means. It means that what is expected is completely wrong.  What will, and is happening is way worse that what MSS are saying, and what MSM is reporting. The public needs the truth, and not some sugarcoated MSM/MSS bullshit.
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Main-Stream-Media Awakens to Perils of Abrupt Climate Change? // Published on Jul 11, 2017

A lot can happen in a day. Things can turn on a dime. Has this just happened? David Wallace-Wells wrote a great article in nymag.com recently on “The Uninhabitable Earth”. Media around the world carried parts of it, and a number of scientists chimed in. Many people said the article is too apocalyptic. I say that the article is spot on. Civilization, more correctly humanity is going down big time, on our current path. Abrupt climate change all but guarantees that. Unless we collectively change course by:

1) Declare a global climate emergency.

2) Deploy technologies to remove carbon from the atmosphere &/or oceans.

3) Deploy technologies to cool the Arctic.


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Me, on ice… Iceberg Straight Ahead:  2:26 clip from CTV News Videos.


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Spending a few hours in Kingston Penitentiary… great education for my three boys… closed in 2013.

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Please consider donating to Paul’s work.  He works tirelessly, to get the information that you need, do not get in other places, or if you do get it, not nearly so cogently, in an easy to find place.

Does not require a PayPal account, but simply a credit card.  Just click Donate, here.  gdfihirthihihu      paypal-donation-button

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Profound Changes in Our Jet Streams

Profound Changes in our Jet Streams // Published on Jul 11, 2017

All of us alive today are either privileged or cursed to bear witness to profound changes in our planetary climate system.

Join me here as I brainstorm on how our fractured, wavier, slower jet streams no longer just circumvent the planet as they have for eons but instead essentially fill the geographical space in the Arctic region with whirling vortices, acting as an enormous feedback to equalize heat between the Arctic and mid-latitudes. Huge temperature rises, with concurrent water vapour rises in the far north are spreading any normalcy in our global weather patterns.


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Jet Stream Shift South Can Take Out Larsen C // Published on Jul 10, 2017

Following up on my previous jet stream video, I now discuss how a slight southward shift of the Southern Hemisphere jet stream can nudge the 10% section of the Larsen C ice shelf that is poised to break off, seaward, and essentially rip it off the main ice shelf.

Do we really want to risk everything on our planet by allowing abrupt climate change to proceed unchecked? NOT ME. We cannot roll over and succumb, like we are doing. We must declare a global climate emergency, as the first step to concerted action for climate restoration.


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Our Jet Streams: Loopy, Streaky, Weary & Broken Down. SAD. // Published on Jul 7, 2017

Global Weirding. Global Wilding. Have you had a visit to the Climate Casino, or rather, has it visited you yet? Perhaps flooded out your house from torrential rains, like the 772 mm (30.4″) of rain that fell in 9 hours in Japan a few days ago, simply a result of a small white blotch associated with the jet stream carrying huge amounts of water. Climate Mayhem

Instead of circling the Arctic region like they used to, the broken and weary jet streams, with streaks & spirals & loops & crazy meanderings are filling up the entire Arctic region. Just wait until there is no sea ice in a few years.
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Main-Stream-Media Awakens to Perils of Abrupt Climate Change? // Published on Jul 11, 2017

A lot can happen in a day. Things can turn on a dime. Has this just happened? David Wallace-Wells wrote a great article in nymag.com recently on “The Uninhabitable Earth”. Media around the world carried parts of it, and a number of scientists chimed in. Many people said the article is too apocalyptic. I say that the article is spot on. Civilization, more correctly humanity is going down big time, on our current path. Abrupt climate change all but guarantees that. Unless we collectively change course by:

1) Declare a global climate emergency.

2) Deploy technologies to remove carbon from the atmosphere &/or oceans.

3) Deploy technologies to cool the Arctic.

The Uninhabitable Earth, Famine, economic collapse, a sun that cooks us: What climate change could wreak — sooner than you think, By David Wallace-Wells
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AMEG (Arctic Methane Emergency Group) Plea to G20 Leaders

2017-07-05 Version 3
To the G20, at their summit, July 2017
Warning of climate change emergency

Dear world leaders,

You will have received an increasing number of warnings from scientists about the seriousness of climate change and therefore how important it is to reduce CO2 emissions.   We take the logic further, using the latest scientific evidence about the current situation and observed trends.  Our conclusion is that interventions must be taken immediately to reduce the forcing agents that are driving climate change, especially in the Arctic.  At minimum, CO2 must be taken out of the atmosphere and the Arctic cooled.

  1. Climate change is already serious

This is evidenced by the persistence of droughts and severity of floods in many parts of the Northern Hemisphere, with a growth in such weather extremes and damage therefrom over the past thirty years.  Unrest and civil strife, particularly in Egypt and the Middle East, has been enflamed by crop failures and hunger.   A relationship between riots and the food price index has been established.

  1. Reducing CO2 emissions has limited immediate effect

Anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is mainly driven by the excess of CO2 in the atmosphere.  CO2 has a long lifetime, so any reduction in emissions will only have a gradual effect on the level of CO2 in the atmosphere; global warming from the remaining “legacy” CO2 in the atmosphere will continue for decades if not centuries.

  1. Limiting AGW to 2°C this century (let alone 1.5°C) requires intervention

Average global surface temperature has risen between 1.1°C and 1.3°C since pre-industrial times (the baseline for AGW).  The current underlying rate of AGW is at least 0.2°C per decade and greenhouse gas levels are rising.  Recent modelling suggests that 2°C warming will be reached by around 2040, even on the most optimistic IPCC scenario of CO2 emissions reduction.  Thus keeping to 2°C this century requires a slowing of the warming rate to a fraction of its current rate well before 2040 – for example a reduction to 0.1°C per decade by 2030.  This will require a reduction in net climate forcing, through a reduction in forcing agents (CO2 and methane in the atmosphere and albedo loss in the Arctic) and/or through application of specific global cooling methods.

  1. Removing excess CO2 from the atmosphere

The CO2 level probably needs to be reduced from the current level of over 400 ppm down to 240 ppm or less by 2030 in order to reduce both AGW and ocean acidification to acceptable levels.

  1. Cooling the Arctic and saving the sea ice

The Arctic is warming rapidly, driven by albedo positive feedback.  Observations suggest that the sea ice is in a death spiral.  By 2030 the ocean could be virtually free of sea ice for several months of the year.  This state could herald an abrupt change in atmospheric circulation and hence climate regime for the Northern Hemisphere.  (Currently climate change is driven by a combination of global warming and a reduced temperature gradient between Arctic and lower latitudes.)   To avoid the catastrophic consequences of such climate regime change, there is extreme urgency for the Arctic to be cooled and sea ice preserved.

  1. Preventing Greenland Ice Sheet disintegration

Reducing the temperature in the Arctic would have the further effect of halting ice mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet, which otherwise threatens to disintegrate and produce sudden sea level rise.  This would flood small islands and devastate low-lying areas around the world where there are cities, nuclear power stations, infrastructure, and farm land.  With the added possibility of mega-tsunamis as huge chunks of ice slide into the sea, cooling the Arctic should seem even more urgent.

  1. Suppressing methane

The suppression of methane emissions may be vital to prevent global warming getting out of hand.  Fugitive emissions should be kept down to around 1% production – in some wells and in fracking they amount to as much as 10% of production.  Natural emission of methane from wetlands has been growing but could be suppressed using diatom and nutrient treatment.  Emissions of methane from subsea permafrost have been growing alarmingly, threatening to reach the gigaton level which would approximately double the rate of global warming.  Means of avoiding such an outburst need to be found and rapidly implemented.

Conclusions

Stephen Hawking has suggested that only a relatively small increase in CO2 emissions, e.g. from US, could launch the planet towards runaway global warming and Venus-like temperatures, hot enough to boil away the oceans.  While we do not think it likely that our planet will get so hot, there is now overwhelming evidence that the Earth’s climate has already passed a “point of no return”, accelerating inexorably towards unsurvivable conditions unless it is promptly restrained by human intervention.  On current trends AGW could reach 3°C by 2050 with mean sea level rising up to a metre.  This alone would present an existential threat to civilisation.  With tipping points being passed in the Arctic, intervention becomes even more extremely urgent.

We suggest that the G20 should initiate an international project, with the Manhattan project’s focus and intensity, in order to determine and implement the optimum strategy for keeping the planet safe for future generations.  Committing to CO2 reductions is not enough.  An international collaboration, demonstrably in the interests of all humanity, could be a binding force for all nations to come together in peace and common purpose.

John Nissen
Chair AMEG on behalf of AMEG

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Press release: For immediate release
Press & Media
5 July 2017

STATE OF EMERGENCY

  1. We, the undersigned, call on the leaders of the G20 to recognize and declare a State of Global Emergency.
  2. The threat is not to one country, to one political system or to one ideology. At stake is the future of humanity and life on earth.
  3. The public have been hearing about this threat for many years. Vested interests have spread doubt as a tactic to preserve profits, dividing public opinion. But you, the Leaders of the G20, know that the science is beyond question.
  4. The climatic stability on which civilization depends is collapsing. Without that stability a rapidly rising population of 7.5 billion can not possibly be sustained.
  5. Governments agreed in Paris that warming must be limited to 1.5˚C or ‘well below’ 2˚C. This limit was set in order to avoid crossing any climate tipping point which might lead to catastrophic climate change. If such a tipping point were crossed there would be no way back for humanity.
  6. It is recognized that the scientific models underestimate the risks because they are unable to model effectively all feedback effects and their interactions. Melt-rates from the Arctic (a crucial component of the Earth’s temperature and climate control system) suggest a disastrous tipping point has already been crossed.
  7. Meanwhile the IPCC and other international organisations project that we are heading for temperature rises of 4˚C warming this century with a risk of 7˚C warming. Such temperatures imply loss of life on an unimaginable scale and the collapse of civilisation.
  8. As leaders of the most powerful countries on Earth at this critical moment in our planet’s history, we urge you to recognize and acknowledge the heavy responsibility these circumstances place on you.
  9. For a short period of time, solutions remain at hand to halt global warming, ocean acidification and Arctic meltdown; but recognition of the State of Emergency is the pre-condition to their implementation. A radical programme of emissions reduction is urgently required, but even that would come too late to address the escalating crisis in the Arctic.  To avoid catastrophe, we need an additional programme of CO2 removal, Arctic cooling and sea ice restoration.
  10. We entreat you to show the leadership required to avoid suffering on an unimaginable scale and to preserve our extraordinary civilisation.

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Big Bangs & Pillars of Fire Create New Siberian Methane Crater // Published on Jul 2, 2017

No place on Earth is warming faster than the high Arctic, and Siberia is rapidly changing before our very eyes. Along with reports on Siberian locals having swimsuit skiing day, papers are headlining new crater formation from methane explosions.

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Methane Craters Created in Massive Explosions // Published on Jul 2, 2017

I tell the story of these blowholes, and what they mean in terms of methane release in the Arctic and rapid global climate change.

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Over the last few months, I have had the opportunity to have quite a few interviews with the Main-Stream Media (MSM, via radio, TV and articles). For most of these interviews I was contacted to get my thoughts on the causes of the record flooding in Ontario and Quebec, although a few interviews were to get my views on the Trump withdrawal from Paris.

Needless to say; I talked a lot about the changing weather patterns increasing the risk of severe floods, namely from increased frequency, severity and duration of extreme weather events like torrential rains. I talked about the slower and wavier and stuck jet streams being responsible, and how the enormous Arctic temperature rises were the root cause, and how the Arctic warming was due to loss of sea ice and spring snow cover, resulting in a darker Arctic that absorbs more sunlight.

Below are links to some of these interviews (the ones I could find). To find even more, Google Paul Beckwith climate change and have a look:)
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How climate change is making storms more intense
TVO, Tim Alamenciak, April 21, 2017

Gatineau flooding ‘tip of the iceberg,’ climate scientist warns
CBC Radio’s Ottawa Morning, CBC News, May 4,2017

Sending in the troops
Rachel Brown, May 5th, 2017

Rapid spring snowmelt and rains cause major floods in Quebec and southern B.C.
Georgia Straight, Straight Talk, Charlie Smith, May 7th, 2017

Here are the climate science benchmarks of the Quebec floods
National Observer, Carl Meyer, May 8th, 2017

Video: The science behind the Ottawa River flooding
OttawaStart Staff, May 8th, 2017

Historic flooding in Quebec probably linked to climate change: experts
Montreal Gazette, Michelle Lalonde, May 9th, 2017

Climate Facts: Sharing science and hope
Paws for Reaction, May 9th, 2017

Fallis: Flooding at the farmhouse – and what it says about climate change
Ottawa Citizen, Jay Fallis, May 10, 2017

Conservation Authority may review parts of Ottawa’s 100-year flood map after recent flooding
Metro (Ottawa), Alex Abdelwahab, May 10th, 2017

Flooding surpasses predictions
Metro Canada (Ottawa), Alex Abdelwahab, May 11, 2017

Rapid Climate Change & Impacts: From Global-to-Local (Manitoba)
Evidence for CEC MMTP hearings 2017; Report; Paul Henry Beckwith; June 1st, 2017

Presentation: Paul H. Beckwith; June 1st, 2017

Climate accord needs to be much stronger: University of Ottawa professor
Business News Network (Toronto), BNN live
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Arctic Sea Ice Going Down With the Blues

Zero Arctic Sea Ice Very Likely By 2020 // Published on Jun 30, 2017

There is a very high probability that the Arctic sea ice will essentially vanish by the end of summer melt in 2020 or earlier. The ice-free duration would likely be less than one-month in September for this first “blue-ocean” event.

I discuss the stories in the observations leading me to this conclusion. If the ice goes, it will affect every human, plant and animal living on our planet.
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After First Arctic Blue-Ocean Event; then WHAT? // Published on Jun 30, 2017

Let’s say the Arctic Ocean Sea Ice completely vanishes by 2020 (or sooner) for the month of September.

What happens afterwards to the ice? Does it vanish for longer and longer durations until it is gone year round? Do we reach a state with 6 months of ice in winter and open water all summer? Does something else happen?
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Is a Year Round Ice Free Arctic Ocean in the cards? // Published on Jun 30, 2017

Two videos ago I built the scientific case that Arctic sea ice would vanish in the first “blue-ocean” event by 2020. Last video I argued that it would be gone year round within a decade of that first disappearance.

Will it vanish year round, or only for 6 months a year in summers? I examine some recent journal articles that touch on this question.
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