Mishmash on Abrupt Climate Change

Mishmash on Abrupt Climate Change Status: Prognosis Grim // May 24, 2019

This video is the 1st of 6 where I chat about the most significant recent developments in our ongoing abrupt climate change system. I am simply joining the dots:

  • delving deeply into what is happening on the ground,
  • in the atmosphere,
  • and in the oceans,
  • and profound existential consequences that are affecting each of us in this time of gut-wrenching disruption.

I strive to take the latest science and tell a coherent story that is easily understandable to the most novice layperson, using the best, most clearly illustrated gifs that I have come across in social media over several months.
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A Mishmash on our FUBAR’d Climate: Dooohhhhh…Take off, aye (to another planet) // May 24, 2019

This video is the 2nd of 6 where I tell you all about the story of our weather patterns and how climate is going to hell in a hand-basket.

  • Temperatures in the Arctic are way higher than they should be,
  • while temperatures in parts of North America
  • and Europe are much lower than they should be.

At the risk of sounding like a broken record, this results from a completely FUBAR-ed jet stream. I show you all sorts of neat video clips and gifs to give you teaching aids so that you can keep your climate denying and Trump thumper friends in a state of cognitive dissonance.
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Rampaging Climate Crushes Humans Like Bugs, and Just Getting Warmed Up // May 24, 2019

This video is the 3rd of 6 in my swarm of videos to parallel the tornadoes swarm that continues to wreak cascading havoc on the U.S.A., along with the hydro-attack that is decimating planting schedules and risking global price spikes on grains, soy, etc.; making a mockery of the so called “useful” idiot climate denier who is being enabled by the God-Owful-Party in power.

I’m one to talk; Ontario lost its senses in voting in neomort Doug Ford, while Alberta went nutters voting in Jason Kenney who is set up a “war-room” to attack opponents of his iron rod pipeline of doom.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Hunkering Down For the Deluge and Flood in the Climate Casino

Hunkering Down For the Deluge and Flood in the Climate Casino // May 16, 2019

Many places are experiencing torrential rain deluges with epic flooding. This includes my city; almost all of North America, and many other places. Here I chat on practical ways you can reduce risks of your place flooding.

Near a river you have little choice:

  • Jack your place up one story;
  • build a dirt and grass berm around your property;
  • or move while your place still has value.

Away from rivers; overland flooding is a big risk.

  • Slope land away from your house,
  • point downspouts well away;
  • have a sump pump, and
  • install back-flow valves on your basement drainage.

In Canada, very accurate Digital Elevation Maps (DEMs) will be released soon, to determine your places flood exposure risks, and will greatly influence property desirability and thus your house price.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Fire Triggered Thunderstorms: Climate MAYHEM New Reality

 

Pyro Storms (Fire-Triggered Thunderstorms): Climate Mayhem Part 1 of 2 // May 9, 2019

Firenados, fire whirls, megafires, and fire-triggered thunderstorms are a new, terrifying reality turning wildfires from local to globally significant events in our faster-than-expected, extremely rapid climate change world.

Fire-triggered thunderstorms are called:

  • Pyrocumulonimbus Clouds (pyroCbs) or PyroStorms, for short.
  • Tornado-like winds can occur, flaming embers can be cast across a 3 mile radius, volcanic levels of energy loft black smoke, carbon, gases, water up into the stratosphere, and
  • lightning from these fire-clouds can ignite more fires 22 miles away.
  • We get 25 pyroCBs a year now in North America.
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Fire Triggered Thunderstorms: A New Reality of Climate MAYHEM: Part 2 of 2 // May 9, 2019

Second video, continues where above video one left off.  ReferencePyro Storms: a New Danger in the Era of Wildfires, by Ed Struzik May 8, 2019.  This article originally appeared on Yale Environment 360:

Early in the evening of August 12, 2017, heat and smoke from an intense wildfire burning in the forests of British Columbia began mushrooming skyward, sucking up ash, blazing wood and vegetation, and water vapour from lakes and streams below.

Rick McRae, a researcher with Australia’s Capital Territory Emergency Services Agency, was on site helping with fire management. Sensing that this conflagration was going to erupt into something extraordinary, he texted a group of scientists from around the world who since 2013 have been collaboratively studying fire-triggered thunderstorms — technically known as pyrocumulonimbus clouds, or “pyroCbs…
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Rarity: Cyclone Fani Originated in Southern Hemisphere & Crossed EQUATOR

     

Rare Cyclone Fani Originated in Southern Hemisphere and Crossed the EQUATOR: Part 1 of 2 // May 3, 2019

Rare Cyclone Fani hit NE India today as a strong Category 4 storm, just a 2 mph under Category 5. It is very rare for a April cyclones to make landfall in India as most curve east. I was curious as to where and when the first noticeable low pressure center formed for Fani; I carefully examined surface winds and Mean Sea Level Pressure on Earth Nullschool and found that:

  • The first low pressure disturbance was discernible April 23rd 08:00 Local time in the Southern Hemisphere (2 degrees S latitude).
  • It crossed the Equator, the core changing from circular to elongated multiple times, and amplified with SSTs of 29-31 C.

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Rare Cyclone Fani Originated in the Southern Hemisphere and CROSSED the Equator: Part 2 of 2 // May 3, 2019

Second video, continues from first video above.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Water Woes. Windier and Wavier Oceans. Ottawa Flooding Emergency

Abrupt Climate System Risks from Hydrogen Sulphide Ocean Outgassing: Part 1 of 2 // Apr 22, 2019

Various ocean coastlines, off Africa, Gulf of Mexico, California, and India have periodic emissions of hydrogen sulphide gas. Concentrations less than 1 ppm smell like rotten eggs, while 500 ppm and higher levels are deadly.

  • Warming, stratifying oceans have more anoxic dead zones (lack oxygen, produce methane, H2S), threats to flora and fauna increases.
  • In the “granddaddy of extinctions” 252 million years ago with over 80% death-rates of many species, a so-called Canfield Ocean was the smoking gun.

 

I discuss present-day incidents/locations of H2S emissions, and discuss future risks.
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Abrupt Climate System Change Risks from Ocean Outgassing of Hydrogen Sulphide: Part 2 of 2 // Apr 22, 2019

Continues where previous video on Hydrogen Sulphide Ocean Outgassing, left off.
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More Bad Luck for Ottawa in the Climate Casino // Apr 26, 2019

Severe Climate Change Consequences affects places all around the planet, but disproportionately so. Now, it is Ottawa’s turn of bad luck in the Climate Casino (floods-tornadoes-more floods).

  • Yesterday, the mayor declared a flooding emergency;
  • today many soldiers from the army are deploying around the river for sandbagging.
  • The day before, Ottawa City Council declared a climate emergency joining many other cities around the globe.

I chat about ongoing flooding and my coffee bet projection for a peak flow rate of 12,000 cubic meters per second (cms) on May 5th (May 2017 peak was about 9,100 cms).
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Ocean Surface Winds and Waves are Growing: Part 1 of 2 // Apr 26, 2019

Often discussed is the fact that over 93% of global warming heat goes into oceans. Not discussed are profound changes ongoing in ocean dynamics, like increased wave heights, wave periods, and wave power.

  • Over the last 3 to 4 decades, winds at the ocean surface have increased by up to 1.5 meters/second (about 8% of 20 m/s).
  • Wave heights have increased by up to 30 cm (about 5% of 6 meters).
  • Increases are largest in southern oceans just north of Antarctica; also at high northern latitudes.
  • Wave Power (Energy per unit time) has increased globally; discussed in scientific paper that I discuss in detail.

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Why Winds and Waves are Increasing in the Oceans: Part 2 of 2 // Apr 26, 2019


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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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Arctic Emissions of Nitrous Oxide Worse Than Expected, Radio Ecoshock, Mention on CounterPunch

Duh. Arctic Emissions of Nitrous Oxide GHG a Dozen Times Worse Than Expected. OOPS. Part 1 of 2 // Apr 20, 2019

Surprise… Nitrous oxide emissions from our rapidly warming north are up to 12-times higher than we previously thought, since thawing Arctic permafrost is a huge source. The problem is:

  • 1) The top 3 meters of permafrost contains 73 billion tons of nitrogen;
  • 2) As it thaws microbial action releases bucket loads of N2O; and
  • 3) N2O is a very powerful Greenhouse Gas, with a Global Warming Potential about 300 times that of CO2 (lifetime in atmosphere of 114 years).

In this video I chat about what this all means.
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Oops. Arctic Emissions of Nitrous Oxide GHG a Dozen Times Worse Than Expected. Duh. Part 2 of 2 // Apr 20, 2019

In this second video, I show the science in plots and images from the paper:

Abstract:  The microbial by-product nitrous oxide (N2O), a potent greenhouse gas and ozone depleting substance, has conventionally been assumed to have minimal emissions in permafrost regions. This assumption has been questioned by recent in situ studies which have demonstrated that some geologic features in permafrost may, in fact, have elevated emissions comparable to those of tropical soils. However, these recent studies, along with every known in situ study focused on permafrost N2O fluxes, have used chambers to examine small areas (<50 m2).

Wilkerson, Dobosy, Sayres, Healy, Dumas, Baker, Anderson: Permafrost nitrous oxide emissions observed on a landscape scale using the airborne eddy-covariance method, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 4257-4268, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-4257-2019, 2019.

Introduction (small edits, to be concise):  ‘N2O is the third most influential anthropogenic greenhouse gas behind CO2 and CH4. Inert in the lowest atmospheric layer, N2O eventually rises into the stratosphere. There, photolysis and electronically excited oxygen atoms convert N2O to nitrogen oxides that catalytically deplete ozone. N2O is currently the dominant anthropogenically emitted ozone-depleting substance. It is expected to remain so throughout the entire 21st century. Due to increased industrial processes and agricultural practices that rely on heavy fertilization, N2O concentrations have been steadily rising in the atmosphere. With a global temperature-change potential over a 100-year timescale of 296, the climate system is more sensitive to changes in N2O concentrations than to changes in either of its carbon-based GHG counterparts.
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The Burning Question, Radio Ecoshock Interview with with favorite host, Alex Smith.  This is from Thursday, April 17, 2019.  As he says:

Canadian climate scientist Paul Beckwith joins me to thrash through scary new science: the limits before extinction, ocean drivers of our lives, and why weather has gone rogue.

‘In the month of March 2019, the Arctic was 20 degrees hotter than it should be. Under that massive heat, sea ice is at a record low. Unprecedented Arctic warming is distorting weather in the Northern Hemisphere where the majority of humans live. Extreme weather has brought unhappiness, vast damage, and death. In this new climate age, the idea of progress has been replaced by constant efforts to recover‘.
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The Blue Ocean Event and Collapsing Ecosystems, by Robert Hunziker, APRIL 19, 2019.  What happens when all of the sea ice is gone?  After quoting recent work or mentions of Dr. Peter Wadhams, Paul is also quoted:

According to the tenacious climate scientist Paul Beckwith, the “refrigerator effect” is lost in the Blue Ocean Event, meaning the “water temperature is not pegged close to the freezing point when there is no ice left to melt.” (Source: Paul Beckwith, climate system scientist, University of Ottawa)‘.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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alex

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Arctic Feedbacks Stopping Winter Sea-Ice Refreezing, Two Videos

arcticmap4-new    

Arctic Feedbacks Stopping Winter Sea-Ice Refreezing: Part 1 of 2 // Apr 18, 2019

I discuss the very latest cutting edge scientific understanding on a powerful Arctic feedback that keeps regions of open, ice-free Arctic from refreezing during the dead of winter–December 1st to February 28th:

 

  • Albedo feedbacks are NOT happening at this time since the Arctic is in total 24/7 darkness.
  • What IS happening: turbulent heat flux (sensible + latent) plus increased upwelling long-wave radiation brings heat from the ocean up into the lowest 1.5 km of the atmosphere;
  • More downwelling long-wave radiation prevents sea-ice formation.
  • This feedback increased 8.9% per year from 1979 to 2016.

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Arctic Feedbacks Stopping Sea-Ice Refreezing: Part 2 of 2 // Apr 18, 2019

Second video, of two.  Continues where first video, left off.

   

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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
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