Methane: Consequence and Accelerant for Abrupt Climate Change

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Methane: Consequence and Accelerant for Abrupt Climate Change // Jul 15, 2018

Abrupt climate change, specifically Arctic Temperature Amplification is rapidly taking us on a collision course to an ice-free Arctic, and is threatening to turn vast stores of carbon in thawing permafrost and sea-floor sediments into methane and carbon dioxide, further increasing warming in a vicious cascade of feedback loops.

In this ongoing series on methane, I discuss details of methane release on land, under the oceans, and chat about how it changes climate. Natural sources are emitting more methane with warming.
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Questions Galore on Arctic Methane // Jul 14, 2018

How much methane is being produced in the Arctic?

  • What exact regions are producing it? Where are we measuring it, and how?
  • How does the concentration change on an hourly basis? Daily? Weekly, monthly, seasonally and yearly?
  • How much climate warming is it causing, locally, regionally and globally?
  • What are the ways that methane is removed from the atmosphere? Can we increase these, and how do they vary with latitude?

We have many more important questions, and not so many answers.

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Arctic Methane and Abrupt Climate Change // July 12, 2018

As Abrupt Climate Change continues it’s accelerating nonlinearity, feedbacks cascade into more feedbacks. A huge wildcard continues to be methane release from the Arctic as we approach and pass beyond a “blue Arctic” event with zero sea-ice.

When there is no ice in the Arctic Ocean to keep temperatures near the freezing point, latent heat processes cease and temperatures of the sea and air skyrocket upward exposing huge methane risks. We really need to understand what will happen with an Arctic barren of sea-ice.
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Japan Crushed by Godzilla-Like Deluge, Floods, and Landslides

Japan Crushed by Godzilla-Like Deluge, Floods, and Landslides // Jul 10, 2018

Abrupt Climate Change wreaks havoc many different ways in different places. A cacophony of adverse conditions is occurring in Japan.  Very hot sea-surface temperatures create high air humidity; winds directed by a stuck jet stream bring this moisture over Japan; it rises up over mountainous terrain, condenses into storm clouds, with long-duration torrential rains for days, saturating and lubricating the soils, making them much heavier so they move downhill in massive landslides, inundating and levelling villages causing mass fatalities.
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I was again on the show, Dougie Hanson, Voices Of Dissent, on Saturday July 7, 2018 from about about 6:45 to 7:00 pm.  Link for replay, is here, VOD HR2 7-7-18.MP3.
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Can You Try to Guess Which One is Me?
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Hotter Than HOT Heatwaves: Mortalities, Ozone, Less Sex, Lazy Sperm, Lighter Babies

Massive Deadly Heatwaves: A Consequence of Abrupt Climate Change // Jul 6, 2018

Many people around the planet have had to endure extensive, long duration heatwaves in early July; some people have not been successful.  Most places are woefully unprepared for heatwaves, and it takes significant spikes upward in death rates before politicians actually start doing anything.

In Canada, the province of Quebec keeps better records for heatwave mortalities, and has reported many deaths; in other provinces like Ontario it will take many weeks for authorities to obtain and analyze data from morgues.
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Climate Change ImpactsAn Interview with Paul Beckwith, by James Cox // May 22, 2018

As he said:  ‘I was able to connect with Paul Beckwith first on March 20th, 2016 and more recently on May 18, 2018. We discussed the current state of Climate Change and what it means for global economic prospects.  Professor Beckwith is a noted expert on Abrupt Climate Change. He is a professor at the University of Ottawa’.  As Paul says:

I think the warming of the Arctic is destabilizing the climate system. The disruption of the temperature gradient between the Arctic and the temperate regions is what sets up weather patterns like the Jetstream.

“The Jetstream has basically broken down at this stage. The Whole arctic region is getting much darker due to sea ice loss, which leads to increased heat absorption, which then leads to accelerated glacial and ice melt.”

He continues, “One of the things that is very concerning is people are talking about making changes to behavior and policy for 20 years or a hundred years down the road, like with the Paris Accords. I don’t think we have that kind of time.

I agree with him. Climate change is accelerating — CO2 concentration and temperatures are rising at an increasing rate. As Tom Keene of Bloomberg [dk, recommends:  Tom Keene, Jon Ferro and Pimm Fox have the economy and the markets “under surveillance“] is famous for saying, “slope matters”.

Prof. Beckwith says, “People don’t have an understanding or appreciation of exponential growth means”.
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Major Earth Stressors: Methane and Overpopulation

On Increasing Risks From Arctic Methane / Jul 3, 2018

As climate change accelerates, it is crucial to understand risks from feedbacks like methane bursts from terrestrial permafrost (think Siberian blowholes) and marine sediment clathrates (think methane “gun”).   To understand these things, this video continues the Arctic Methane story.

Risks increase significantly as we near an Arctic “blue ocean” event (loss of all sea-ice), which will greatly accelerate Arctic warming, since ice keeps Arctic Ocean temperatures near zero Celsius.

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What YOU Need to Know About Methane / Jun 30, 2018

  • What are the major sources and sinks for methane gas?
  • Are they “natural” or human caused; does “natural” even exist in our world of abrupt climate change?  How does methane concentration change hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, seasonally and yearly?
  • How does it change with latitude, elevation, and even temperature? Why does any of this matter?

Believe me; if, or rather when, it comes up big time from a burst it will affect us all.  This info is very important.
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Overpopulation: A New City (270,000 People) Appears EVERY Day /Jul 1, 2018

The number of people increases by about 270,000 every single day, on average. That’s a new cities worth of people.  Obviously, this exponential acceleration in global population is not sustainable, and puts huge stresses on food, water, land, pollution, and all resources.

What can we do about this?  Ignoring it, and hoping it will go away, or sort out itself, is pretty dumb.  The way it would sort-out-itself would very likely be a massive global food shortage or plague, which is not a desirable outcome, but seems to be where we are headed.
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Human Overpopulation: Expose the Pink Elephant

Human Overpopulation: Expose the Pink Elephant // Jun 29, 2018

A cyclone wreaks death and destruction on delta, with death toll estimates of 15,000, then 2,000,000, settling on 500,000. We will never know for sure, since most bodies were washed out to sea.

We will blame the cyclone, ocean temperatures, jet streams, Arctic temperature amplification, or people for living in harms way.  But we never blame overpopulation. We rarely acknowledge exponential population growth stressing resources and crowding people into tiny regions prone to catastrophe. We must come to grips with overpopulation [1].
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[1] Link to World Meters, World Population, here.
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The Nuts and Bolts Of Arctic Methane

The Nuts and Bolts of Arctic Methane // Published on Jun 27, 2018

In this first of a series of videos on Arctic Methane, I get down to the nitty-gritty.  I discuss natural and human-caused sources of methane, and how humans are even changing these natural sources with abrupt climate change.

I highly recommend that you go to “AMAP Arctic Methane” here, and download the comprehensive report there–or if you prefer, readily aar2015-c1-Methane.pdf here–to follow along as you watch this video and the ones to follow.

The risk of huge burps of methane in the Arctic are ever increasing from Arctic Temperature Amplification and accelerating sea ice loss.
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Gut-Wrenching Arctic Changes Causing Climate Turmoil

Abrupt Loss of Arctic Sea-Ice // Published on Jun 13, 2018

Persistent cyclones churning up Arctic sea-ice are bad news. Maximum Arctic sea-ice savagery occurred in 2012 from a massive long-lived August cyclone leading to the outstanding record September sea-ice minimum. We just had a big one in early June.

There is almost no thicker multi-year ice left in the Arctic; what is left is thin, brittle, slushy, darker, and honeycombed with saline pockets like Swiss cheese. It won’t be around much longer; it is headed to oblivion. Russia and the USA seem happy with this. Little do they know.

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Climate System Tipping to Ice-Free Arctic // Published on Jun 13, 2018

Abrupt change always surprises people.  Why? With climate we expect it now. Change that always happens “faster than expected” can not be good for us.

We have stretched our climate to the limit; it is now broken. Like a twig or rubber band that has snapped. We have exceeded resilience limits of the system, and it is now undergoing accelerating, out-of-control change to a much warmer planet, with a warm Arctic and a drunken, meandering, weaker, almost psychotic jet stream.

Unguided storms wander around like a wrecking-ball on steroids, wreaking havoc on humans and their stuff…
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