Cascading Climate Consequences: US Report

This video continues from where last week’s post, Highs and Lows of US Climate Science Report, left off.

Cascading Climate Consequences: US Report // Published on Nov 17, 2017

I chat about startling facts/observations from the recent US Climate Report.

My view is that climate changes are much worse than presented in this report.

Soil moisture is dropping across all seasons; as is mountain range snow pack feeding rivers; number of large fires is rising. Tropical cyclones are moving northward; Cat. 4-5 are more frequent. Tornado outbreaks (-30 per day) are rising, atmospheric rivers are stronger, frost free/agricultural growing days are rising.


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FYI, if perchance you missed Guy, Paul, and Martin in our recent discussion, you can access the post here.


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A Conversation with Guy, Paul Beckwith, and Martin Halliwell

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A Conversation with Guy, Paul Beckwith, and Martin Halliwell // Published on Nov 13, 2017.

Professor Emeritus Dr. Guy McPherson and Paul met up with Martin Halliwell in Waterloo, Ontario for a friendly discussion. While Guy and Paul had previously shared some differences, they found plenty of common ground again, noted differences, and parted amicably.  It’s always nice to see people in person to chat, clear up differences, etc. after online interactions.

As film maker and producer Pauline said so well, ‘A warm welcome to Paul Beckwith. I’m very happy to announce the burying of the proverbial hatchet between he and Guy McPherson. May these two great minds continue to find common ground and common sense. Much love to you Paul. Good to see you in Toronto (sic Kitchener-Waterloo).

Guy’s message hardly needs an introduction from any of us. You can read more, at Nature Bat’s Last, and Pauline is available for special film projects at Wood Thrush Productions.  You can find her new wordpress effort at Pauline Schneider Media, here.

Martin is CEO of HCM (Engineering) of Ayr, Ontario and Calgary, Alberta.  He is a Professional Engineer and as well as an MBA.

He also started a non-profit charity called CANSEAT (Climate and Nature Society, Engineers and Technicians) dedicated to educating engineers and technicians on our huge climate change risks, and work towards solutions for the Earth.

Martin very generously helped to support Guy and Pauline Panagiotou Schneider for this trip, as well as helped Paul attend. This was much appreciated.

Video compliments of Nature Bats Last.  Additional information can be found at guymcpherson.com and onlyloveremains.org.

Website strategy and production, furnished continuously here and as arranged for Paul since September 2015, by David Korn, Special Projects near Seattle.  He is NOT a website designer, but rather, a professional knowledge manager and generalist with ample professional coordination, finance, strategic, sales, communication, and visual qualifications.  His wide ranging business multitool skills are also available for special remote work in business for enterprise, projects, HR needs, or events.  He can work on projects which are complex, fast, difficult, or confidential.

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Highs and Lows of US Climate Science Report

Highs and Lows of US Climate Science Report // Published on Nov 11, 2017

In this video I chat on highlights and lowlights of the recent US Climate Science Report.

gkghkghqeikghkhhkhbkh  Recent discussion by Paul, here, “Yet Another Climate Report“, from last Saturday, November 4th.

The only way to explain Earth’s rapid temperature rise is human emissions, as anybody can see after examining solar changes, volcanic effects and natural variability (El Niño, …).

I also discuss model results from the report, and emphasize that policy makers relying on IPCC reports that are based solely on models are doomed to be vastly underestimating the speed and risks from abrupt climate change.


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Yet Another Climate Report ~Pesticides, Insects, Agriculture

Yet Another Climate Report // Published on Nov 4, 2017

A new and extensive “Climate Science Special Report” NCA4 (National Climate Assessment 4) was released in the US; a product of multiple agencies.

I discuss the contents of this report, by examining the figures/illustrations within.

In general, the report is done fairly well, and is along the lines of IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) reports.  However, I think that it severely underestimates the “emergency” nature and extreme urgency of our abrupt climate change situation.


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This continues Paul’s major work, recently at his post, People Manage To Kill Three-Quarters Of Flying Insects In Only 27 Years, linked here from October 24, 2017.

The Scourge of Pesticides: Part E // Published on Nov 2, 2017

Some of the hardiest, most resilient species of life on our planet are insects, having persisted for hundreds of millions of years. Not any longer. They are no match for our pesticides, that seem to be the primary reason for the loss of 76% of insect biomass (total insect mass) in a mere 27 years in a protected nature reserve in Germany.  When pesticides were first used in much lower quantities they increased crop yields, but now they decrease crop yields since they wipe out the pollinators.
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Decline of the Insects: Part D // Published on Oct 27, 2017

Many people know about the decline of bees, butterflies, and moths. Alarmingly, the decline was 76% across ALL flying insect species over 27 years in protected wildlife areas in Germany.

What caused this decline? Factors examined include changes in temperature, precipitation, frost days, herbs, grasses, trees, forests, light, water, etc.  None of these factors seemed to cause the decline, making the primary culprit farming practices (pesticides, fertilizers, tillage) outside the protected area.  I suspect abrupt climate change is involved as well.
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Industrial Agriculture Crushing Bugs: Part C // Published on Oct 26, 2017

Continuing our discussion on the collapse of the flying insect population by 76% in only 27 years, I talk about industrial agriculture that is literally sucking the life out of soils and ecosystems. A UN study concluded that based on soil degradation, we only have 60 years of crops left, while a UK study concluded only 100 harvests are left.

Clearly, agribusiness practices of monoculture, pesticides and herbicides, livestock grazing, etc. in conjunction with abrupt climate change are destroying our ecosystems. Business as usual is destroying our life support systems on the planet.

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Arctic Sea-Ice is much THINNER Than we Thought

Arctic Sea-Ice is much THINNER Than we Thought // Published on Oct 27, 2017

The thickness, and thus volume of remaining Arctic sea-ice is much less than we think. In late winter, what we thought was 3 ft thick ice is actually only about 2.8 ft thick; 2 ft thick ice is really only about 1.5 ft thick.

      

Ice volumes are lower by 11% to 25% depending on the overall thickness patterns.  Terribly significant news, since sea-ice loss means broken persistent jet streams and many more, severe, longer duration extreme weather events.

      
For reference:

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Arctic on THIN(NER) Ice: Brainstorming // Published on Oct 27, 2017

In my previous video I explained that seasonal (first year) Arctic sea ice that we thought (last week) was about 3 feet (or 2 feet) thick is really only about 2.7 feet (or 1.5 feet) thick this week. This is huge, with enormous implications. In this video, I brainstorm on how this error affects volume, how it varies over the melt season, and how it affects ice regrowth in the fall. Bottom line: Complete loss of Arctic sea ice is even sooner than we thought.
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People Manage To Kill Three-Quarters Of Flying Insects In Only 27 Years

People Manage To Kill Three-Quarters Of Flying Insects In Only 27 Years: Part A //
Oct 23, 2017

Humans have always excelled at killing things.  No species does it better than us. Technological advancement is fastest in development of more sophisticated and powerful weapons to kill off our enemies.

Corporate propaganda says that to have higher and higher yields of crops to feed exponential population growth we must develop more powerful pesticides to kill off more and more insects.  We’ve succeeded in killing off 76% of flying insects in only 27 years. Oops. We need insects to pollinate our crops so that we can grow food. Doh… Not so smart…
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Insectageddon: farming is more catastrophic than climate breakdown, by George Monbiot: The shocking collapse of insect populations hints at a global ecological meltdown.  Guardian link article from Friday 20 October here.

    

What the Luck?: The Surprising Role of Chance in Our Everyday Lives, by Garry Smith.  Regression to the mean, Wiki article here.  Link to Wiki article on Biomass (Ecology), here.
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It’s a Bugs Death, for Three out of Four: Part B // Oct 25, 2017

In many apocalyptic dystopian movies, we see scenes where civilization has collapsed, nobody is around, and there are cockroaches scurrying throughout derelict ruins of buildings.

Thanks to incredible scientific advances on development and deployment of super-pesticides, these movies have it all wrong. There won’t be any cockroaches, or any other bugs around. In fact we are presently killing insects so efficiently now, their absence may in fact accelerate our collapse, and we will have to rewrite these dystopian movie scripts.
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Tweets of the Week: Paul’s Picks Oct 16-22

In this Guardian article, Monbiot argues that pesticide use in industrial scale farming is the root cause of crashing insect populations, and is a worse problem, along with industrial fishing, than climate change. Of course, abrupt climate change has its tentacles all over this ecosystem crash as well, and is a huge threat to global food supplies.

Response to–aboveStefan Rahmsdorf’s Tweet–above:

For the past five years, global September temperature was more than 1°C warmer than the 1880-1910 baseline.  This has never happened before.

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Many articles on climate change refer to a “new normal”, in terms of extreme weather events (torrential rains with flooding, droughts with megafires, warmer oceans with Superstorm hurricanes, etc).  There is NO “new normal”; as abrupt climate change accelerates these extremes will continue to get worse and worse.

I have argued for many years:  2 videos, revisit and original (2015, 2014):  “Can sea level rise 7 meters by 2070?” that scientific consensus on sea level rise is way too conservative. In the past, seas have risen 50 mm (5 cm or two inches) per year for 5 decade periods; that’s 2.5 meters (100 inches; or over 8 feet) in 50 years. This coral study adds support to this view.

Logic 101 dictates that when Puerto Rico, an island of 3.6 million people, lacks electricity, fresh water, food, medicines since the hurricane strike over a month ago, the number of deaths will be much higher than reported.

Global markets and financial systems are completely and irrationally separated from the reality of our collapsing planetary ecosystems. Markets will collapse; it is just a matter of time. And not as much time as you may think.

Superstorm Hurricanes are behaving very differently than before, in our turbocharged climate.  Harvey: lingered over Houston, Texas for many days due to slow jet streams. Irma & Maria:  huge size, Category 5 storms caused enormous destruction; ocean water much warmer than normal.

Nate: strengthened very fast, barrelled across very warm waters of Gulf of Mexico.

Ophelia: Formed very far east and went very far northward, setting many new records and reaching Ireland.
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.

Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.

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