Unprecedented Collapse of the Arctic Beaufort Gyre

Unprecedented Collapse of the Arctic Beaufort Gyre // Published on Dec 13, 2017

As I walk through the seemingly endless hallways filled with poster displays of scientific observations and analysis on geophysical Earth topics (climatology, oceanography, natural hazards, hydrology, soils, rocks, etc.), I discuss highlights on the Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice talks that I attended all morning.

     

Most significantly, the Arctic’s Beaufort Gyre collapsed. This unprecedented event in late 2016/early 2017 occurred with rapidly declining sea-ice, letting ever increasing numbers of stronger storms from the Atlantic to enter the Arctic, bringing moisture and more warming. A vicious cycle of cascading feedbacks
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Tweets ala Mann et al:

And what is a big climate science conference, without Baba Brinkman?

Whoaaa (editor, dk)!


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Talk, Talk, Talk, Talking Up a Storm in New Orleans: AGU Rant

Talking up a Storm in New Orleans: AGU Rant // Published on Dec 12, 2017

I give a video update (more accurately, a semi-incoherent rant) on the American Geophysical Union (AGU) conference in New Orleans, as I perform a random walk to B. B. King’s Blues Bar for an all-scientist geologist band performance (members met only 2 days previous).

Scientists here, at least those that I have met out of the 25,000 here know that climate change is serious, but are far too specialized (and busy) to realize it is a global EMERGENCY.
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Paul’s New BBC interview: Climate Mayhem Worsens California Wildfires; Hypocrisy of COP23 and AGU Climate Conferences

I was interviewed live on BBC Radio 5 on Tuesday December 5th at 8:30 pm EST (Wednesday December 6th at 1:30 am London time):  ‘Rhod Sharp presents news, interviews and stories from around the world’.  Runs from 35:44 to 43:25.

In the 8 minute long interview, I discussed how the California wildfires are getting hotter and larger, burning faster and more frequently, and are much harder to contain and extinguish.  Climate change is the root cause, extending the duration of extreme heat waves and drought, and increasing the frequency and strength of the so-called Santa Ana winds that blow from the mountains to the coastlines, reaching hurricane wind speeds in the valleys.

Climate change has messed up the jet stream winds, resulting in exceptional rainfall in California in the spring, which greatly increased vegetation growth; that dried out in exceptional summer drought and heat and is fueling these mega-fires this winter.  Wildfires will continue to worsen as we lose Arctic sea-ice and snow cover, worsening jet stream behaviour.
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Climate Conference Hypocrisy a Cruel Joke // Published on Dec 8, 2017

You’ll never guess which countries had the MOST official delegates at COP23 in Bonn. Five African countries occupied 1 to 5 with a combined 15.5% of the total, while the half of the planet with all the emissions (China, India, US, Russia) had a combined 2.2% of the total. Hypocrites ALL.

Check out abstracts of 24,000 scientists going to the AGU 2017 Fall Meeting and suggest talks; I’ll meet many big names and try to wake them up; help out the Canadian stirring-the-pot, with easy to use Donate button, here.  Information about Paul’s trip, here on Monday December 4th: Abrupt Air Circulation Changes: Equatorial Atmospheric Super-Rotation; AGU Science Conference (half way down page).

Paul very kindly helped the webmaster/editor, dk, find or produce link to all the detailed information on attendees, events.  Knew this was very, very worth the time for everyone to have.  Needless to say, getting ready to leave for a long trip, P had very little time, but managed to help us.  Thanks:

Link here, to ‘Welcome to the Online Program for the 2017 AGU Fall Meeting in New Orleans, Louisiana!‘  From immediately below ‘Home page‘ on upper left, hit Search and voila:

           

Gets you to Search, here.  Really great stuff.  Link to match Paul’s example here

       

Example Abstract:  ‘A42B-04: A Warm Arctic and Extreme Winter Weather in Northern Hemisphere Mid-Latitudes’.

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Why Huge Climate Policy and Science Conferences Fail // Published on Dec 7, 2017

Every year we have many massive conferences around the world on science, policy, and negotiations to deal with climate change.  How can we still have no effective and cohesive global action to save our butts?

Policy gigs like COP23 in Bonn had almost 23,000 attendees, Paris 40,000.  Huge science conferences like AGU that I will soon attend has 20,000+ scientists; EGU has 15,000. Yet abrupt climate change marches on, crushing humans and ecosystems like bugs. What gives???
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Abrupt Air Circulation Changes: Equatorial Atmospheric Super-Rotation; AGU Science Conference

Climate Risks from Equatorial Atmospheric Super-Rotation // Published on Dec 4, 2017

If we continue on the current path of high greenhouse gas emissions, we risk triggering an abrupt change in our atmospheric circulation.

    

As the band around the equator warms, intense convection adds energy to the winds aloft, which can speed up and become faster than the Earth’s rotation. This super-rotation state can confine water vapour within this band, thus reducing cloud cover at higher latitudes and causing a DOUBLING of climate sensitivity.
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On Sunday December 3rd I had an interview with CTV television at 4:20 pm EST on this years brutal hurricane season. I emphasized the root cause being disruption of climate causing very hot ocean water and wavy/stalled jet streams. Climate disruption is primarily from the greatly warming Arctic due to human emissions and feedback effects.

This year’s deadly Atlantic hurricane season officially ended on Thursday. According to Accuweather, 2017 ranks among the 7 most intense seasons ever recorded. We saw 17 storms including Maria, Harvey, Irma and Ophelia rip through the Caribbean and North America’s east coast causing flooding and mass devastation. For more on this we’re joined by Paul Beckwith, climate system scientist at Ottawa University’.

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My live interview with the Environmental Coffee House with Sandy Schoelles from Thursday November 30th (Editor:  REALLY great intro by Sandy Schoelles.  And even the best have ranges from highly lucid to lucid to average, depending on the day.  Paul is super lucid here):

ECH welcomes back Paul Beckwith, Abrupt Climate Educator.  Paul has a popular website, You Tube and FB page where you can follow him and see his informative videos . Tonight we discussed climate change and what to do about it, exploring many topics of interest‘.

For reference, Earth Null School here.
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I will be attending the AGU (American Geophysical Union) science conference in New Orleans. The conference runs from Dec. 11th through 15th. Each day I will upload at least two videos to my YouTube channel on what I deem are the most significant climate change science presented that day. I am paying out of pocket for this conference, so please consider a donation on my PayPal to help offset my costs. You won’t be disappointed!!!  (Editor, does not require account).
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I wish to sincerely thank everybody who has supported my work with donations, or by just watching and sharing my climate change videos and blogs to get the word out to the public on how serious abrupt climate change is.  I cannot thank you enough. Recently, I emailed all my supporters to thank them and gather their suggestions on content that you wish to see in upcoming videos.  I am committed to getting the word out, with ever increasing viewership, so please share, email, blog, post, like our future depended on it. Because it does!
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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.

Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.

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Earth Tipping Elements: New Kid on the Block

Earth Tipping Elements: New Kid on the Block // Published on Nov 27, 2017

An amazing thing about the recently release US Climate Report (more discussion, last post) is the open acknowledgement in Chapter 15 that huge risks exist for our Earth systems to tip into new states. Not mentioned is that these states will severely stress civilization and life on our planet.

In addition to the “usual suspects” for tipping: Arctic, rainforests, etc. there is a new kid on the block; namely Equatorial Atmospheric Super-rotation, which would completely rewire our global atmospheric circulation.
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No New Normal as Climate Mayhem Spikes Up //Published on Nov 25, 2017

There is no such thing as a “new normal” in climate. You ain’t seen nothing yet.
Our Earth System is highly nonlinear, with multiple accelerating feedbacks taking us closer to crossing irreversible tipping points that will completely change the dynamics of atmospheric and ocean circulation, the cryosphere and our biosphere.  Essentially changing everything on our planet.


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Climate Tipping Points from Cascading Feedbacks, Voices of Dissent Interview, Extinction Radio

Climate Tipping Points from Cascading Feedbacks // Published on Nov 23, 2017

From my chair, it looks like we can kiss our stable nurturing climate goodby.

Humans have poked and prodded and perturbed our Earth systems to the breaking point, and these systems are now breaking.  Business as usual guarantees an unstable climate and gut-wrenching consequences for all life on this planet.

Source of feature image, Tipping Elements – the Achilles Heels of the Earth System, from The Potsdam Institute, For Climate Impact Research:

Tipping elements are components of the Earth system of supra-regional scale which – in terms of background climate – are characterized by a threshold behavior. Once operating near a threshold, these components can be tipped into a qualitatively different state by small external perturbations.

‘Comparing with the human body, tipping elements could be described as organs which drastically alter or stop their usual function if certain requirements, such as the administration of oxygen, are not given in a sufficient manner‘.

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And for reference, ‘Chapter 15: Potential Surprises: Compound Extremes and Tipping Elements‘.  Key findings:  ‘The physical and socioeconomic impacts of compound extreme events (such as simultaneous heat and drought, wildfires associated with hot and dry conditions, or flooding associated with high precipitation on top of snow or waterlogged ground) can be greater than the sum of the parts (very high confidence). Few analyses consider the spatial or temporal correlation between extreme events‘.
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Paul is feature by Dougie Hanson, The Abolitionist, on the Voices of Dissent.org AM radio show.

Voices of Dissent Interview, from Nov 18,2017.  Link is to audio file, first of two hour long segments.  For those so inclined, link to second hour, continues here.  Episode proper after several minute introduction, gets going around 8 minute mark, then leads with contextual information with Amy Goodman of Democracy Now, then gets into specifics at 13:00 mark.  Paul’s segment starts around 42:00 mark to the end of ‘Hour One’–about 20 minutes long.
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Extinction Radio Episode 80, 22nd October 2017, ‘Mike Sliwa, Derrick Jensen, Paul Beckwith, Vanessa Blackeslee and Hambone Littletail‘.  Paul’s hour plug long segment segment starts at:  1:07:17- 2:10:30, In Conversation – Paul Beckwith and Mike Ferrigan.
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Cascading Climate Consequences: US Report

This video continues from where last week’s post, Highs and Lows of US Climate Science Report, left off.

Cascading Climate Consequences: US Report // Published on Nov 17, 2017

I chat about startling facts/observations from the recent US Climate Report.

My view is that climate changes are much worse than presented in this report.

Soil moisture is dropping across all seasons; as is mountain range snow pack feeding rivers; number of large fires is rising. Tropical cyclones are moving northward; Cat. 4-5 are more frequent. Tornado outbreaks (-30 per day) are rising, atmospheric rivers are stronger, frost free/agricultural growing days are rising.


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FYI, if perchance you missed Guy, Paul, and Martin in our recent discussion, you can access the post here.


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Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.

Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.

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