Global Average Temperatures in 2020 Reached a RECORD HIGH of 1.55 C above PreIndustrial in 1750

Global Average Temperatures in 2020 Reached a RECORD HIGH of 1.55 C above PreIndustrial in 1750 //  Jan 16, 2021

The numbers are out, and they are not pretty. Global average temperature in 2020 was 1.25C above the turn-of-the-previous-century average (1880-1910), thus set a new record for the warmest year.

Relative to the year 1750, you need to add 0.3C for the baseline shift, so 2020 was actually 1.55C warmer than 1750, which is termed the real pre-industrial, and the Paris climate agreement in 2015 had numerous countries promise to strive to work together to keep this global average rise, relative to preindustrial (1750) below 2C, with aspirations to stay below 1.5C.

Thus, 2020 blew past the 1.5C number, hitting 1.55C.

What is amazing about this is that is happened in the year of the coronavirus industrial shutdowns, in which global greenhouse gas emissions from burning fossil fuels decreased by about 7%.

Also, 2020 was a weak La Niña year. The effect of this ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) La Niña depressed global temperatures by an estimated 0.1C (my estimate). This, if 2020 was ENSO neutral, the global average temperature would have hit 1.65C.

Even worse, if 2020 had been a strong El Niño year, add 0.2C to that temperature (by my estimate). This would have resulted in global average temperature hitting 1.85C higher than 2050, by my best estimate. This will happen, no doubt, in a few short years when we have another powerful El Niño similar to that in 2015-2016 which caused us to have the record setting temperature year that was just broken in 2020.

Climate warming is spiraling out of control. We urgently must deploy my so called three-legged barstool solution triage:

1) Slash fossil fuel emissions.
2) Remove CO2 and methane from the atmosphere/ocean system (CDR).
3) Deploy Solar Radiation Management (SRM) technologies to cool the Earth.
We could quickly do these emergency things by using the 700 to 900 billion $US military budget and defense industry scientists and engineers to work on these last ditch solutions to stabilize climate. Without this, our global food supply will be crushed like a bug within the next 5 to 10 years, causing global strife.

Ref:  2020 was Earth’s 2nd-hottest year, just behind 2016, January 14, 2021:
It’s official: 2020 ranks as the second-hottest year on record for the planet, knocking 2019 down to third hottest, according to an analysis by NOAA scientists.

———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work. I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing. Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

Posted in Climate, Climate Change, Global Warming, Outdoors, Rapid Climate Change, Winter Muse, z Paul's Walking Talks | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Halting Coronavirus In Public Spaces Using CO2 Detectors Measuring Ventilation

Halting Coronavirus Spread in Indoor Public Spaces using Cheap CO2 Detectors to Measure Ventilation // Dec 30, 2020

Apart from vaccine rollouts, I am 100% confident that the absolute best way to eliminate the coronavirus and future pandemics (perhaps even more deadly) is to properly ventilate indoor public spaces. Indoor air quality is generally poor, and we have a simple way to determine how poor and virus dangerous it is. All we need is widespread adoption indoors of digital CO2 monitors. When the real-time CO2 level indoors is close to that of the outdoor air (420 ppm), we are fine indoors; risk of virus transmission is low.

When the indoor CO2 level rises past a threshold level (I suggest 800 ppm) then we know for certain that the ventilation is poor, and we are at increased risk of catching the virus even when we are wearing a mask. In a stuffy room with poor air circulation, the CO2 level can quickly rise to 1000 ppm, 1500 ppm, and even over 2000 ppm, and any virus particles in the room can stay in the air for many hours. A person with Covid in the room in the morning can easily cause any person in the room to catch the virus in the late afternoon, even with all parties wearing masks.

How do we ventilate rooms? Apart from having an excellent building circulation filtering system, opening/cracking windows to get cross ventilation is the next best way. For buildings with windows that do not open, I would take a glass drill bit and put a tiny hole in all the windows to save lives. It really is that simple. Small holes, and/or slightly open windows will ventilate with a minimal heat loss penalty in the winter.
———- ———-


———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work. I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing. Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

Posted in z Paul's Walking Talks | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Yippee Ki-Yay MF (2020): Top Ten Weather and Climate Disruption Events of 2020

Dec 12, 2019 Madrid, Spain,
Stuart Scott, Peter Wadham’s, Paul Beckwith, Peter Fiekowsky

Top Ten Climate Disruption Events of 2020: You ain’t seen nothing yet: Part 1 of 4 // Dec 24, 2020

Where do I even begin? Abrupt climate change disruption accelerated rapidly this year, but was overshadowed in most people’s minds by the coronavirus. There were literally hundreds, thousands even, of extreme weather events and climate disruption events bashing at humanity and our stuff this year.

In this four part series of year-end videos I discuss the top ten weather and climate events of 2020 as picked by the Yale Climate Connections folks. They include:

  • 1) Hottest year on record (or 2nd or third).
  • 2) The Wild 2020 Atlantic hurricane season (30 storms).
  • 3) Record-high atmospheric carbon dioxide levels despite record emissions drop.
  • 4) An apocalyptic wildfire season.
  • 5) Super Typhoon Goni: the strongest landfall inch tropical cyclone on record.
  • 6) Hottest reliably measured temperature on ERth: 130 F (54.4 C) in Death Valley.
  • 7) Most expensive 2020 disaster: Flooding in China causes $32 billion in damage.
  • 8) Near-record low Arctic sea ice.
  • 9) U.S. withdrawal from Paris Accord and election of Joe Biden.
  • 10) A near-record number of global billion-dollar weather disasters.

As bad as this year’s weather and climate disruption has been, it will seem like a tame year in the rearview mirror in only a few short years.

Ref:  The top 10 weather and climate events of a record-setting year.

In an all-around bizarre and largely unpleasant calendar year, extreme weather and climate-related changes contributed to the woes of 2020:  ‘

Calendar year 2020 was an extreme and abnormal year, in so many ways. The global coronavirus pandemic altered people’s lives around the world, as did extreme weather and climate events. Let’s review the year’s top 10 such events’:

By Jeff Masters, PhD, and Dana Nuccitelli, Monday, December 21, 2020
———- ———-

Top Ten Weather and Climate Disruption Events in 2020: Wreaking Havoc on Humanity: Part 2 of 4
Top Ten Weather and Climate Disruption Events in 2020: Worsening Like a Bat Out of Hell: Part 3 of 4
Yippee Ki-Yay MF (2020): Top Ten Weather and Climate Disruption Events of 2020: Part 4 of 4.
———- ———-

Ref2:  A brief history of yippee-ki-yay, Angela Tung:

Twenty-five years ago this week, the action movie Die Hard opened and Bruce Willis uttered that famous line.  But where does the yippee-ki-yay part come from? (If you’re more interested in the origins of the second half of that saying, check out this article from Slate.) Let’s break it down.

‘The yip part of yippee is old. It originated in the 15th century and meant “to cheep, as a young bird,” according to the Oxford English Dictionary (OED). The more well-known meaning, to emit a high-pitched bark, came about around 1907, as per the OED, and gained the figurative meaning “to shout; to complain.”
———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work. I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing. Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

Posted in Climate Change, Weather, Year End | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

2020 Arctic Report Card Fail: End of Road for Cold Arctic, Highs, Lows

The End of the Road for a Cold Arctic: Arctic Report Card 2020 Highlights & Lowlights: Part 1 of 3 // Dec 12, 2020

Arctic Report Card 2020 (ARC2020):  Result: FAIL
Summary: Out with the Cold; in with the Hot
Consequences: Dire

1) Average annual land surface air temperature north of 60 degrees for October 2019 – September 2020 was the second highest on record since at least 1900.

2) Sea ice loss in Spring 2020 was particularly early in the east Siberian Sea and Laptev Sea regions; end of summer sea ice melt extent was second lowest behind 2012.

3) August mean sea surface temperatures in 2020 were 1 to 3 degrees C warmer than the 1982-2010 August mean over most of the Arctic Ocean, with exceptionally warm temperatures in the Laptev and Kara seas that coincided with the early loss of sea ice in this region.

4) During July and August 2020, regional ocean primary productivity in the Laptev Sea was 2 times higher for July and 6 times higher for August compared to their respective monthly averages.

5) Bowhead whale populations increased due to increased in ocean primary productivity.

6) Shifts in air temperatures, storminess, sea ice and ocean conditions have combined to increase coastal erosion rates circumventing the Arctic.

7) Exceptional warm Spring air temperatures across Siberia resulted in record low June snow cover extent across the Eurasian Arctic.

8) Extreme wildfires in 2020 in the Sakha Republic of northern Russia coincided with unparalleled warm air temperatures and record snow loss in the region.

9) Tundra greenness trends diverged strongly with a sharp decline in North America and rise above long-term average in Eurasia.

10) Greenland Ice Sheet experienced higher ice loss than 1981-2010 average, but substantially lower than record 2018/19 loss.

11) Glaciers and ice sheets outside of Greenland have continued a trend of significant ice loss, dominated largely by ice loss from Alaska and Arctic Canada.

Ref 1: About Arctic Report Card 2020:  ‘The Arctic Report Card (hereafter ‘ARC’) has been issued annually since 2006. It is a timely and peer-reviewed source for clear, reliable, and concise environmental information on the current state of different components of the Arctic environmental system relative to historical records. The ARC is intended for a wide audience, including scientists, teachers, students, decision-makers, policymakers, and the general public, interested in the Arctic environment and science.’

 

Ref 2:  ‘Global warming has profoundly transformed Arctic in just 15 years, report warns‘, Dec 8, 2020, by Andrew Freedman.

The Arctic as we once knew it, an inhospitable, barely accessible and icebound place, is gone. Climate change has transformed it into a region that can heat up to 100 degrees, is beset by ferocious wildfires, and is covered in permafrost that is no longer permanent. The sea ice cover that has long defined the Far North is fast disappearing. This is the picture from a new international scientific assessment released Tuesday.

.


———- ———-

The Arctic Heat Emergency Goes Global And That’s Bad News:  Posted on December 9, 2020, by Radio Ecoshock.

In 2020, the Arctic was hotter than ever (podcast, CD quality) changing weather and climate (Lo-Fi) around the world. We investigate breaking news; science with our friendly Canadian scientist Paul H. Beckwith. Paul is now the largest single source of climate videos on YouTube.
———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work. I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing. Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

Posted in Climate Change, Global Warming, Science, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Godzilla Dust Storm of 2020 From Low Sea Ice; Abrupt Climate Change Disrupting Food Supply

Huge & Intense “Godzilla” Dust Storm of 2020 Arose from Record Low Arctic Sea Ice: 1 of 2 // Dec 5, 2020

We all know that 2020 is a year for the record books, at least until we experience 2021, however most people are unaware of the record shattering “Godzilla” dust storm in the summer.

A new peer-reviewed paper (Ref 1 below) examines how this dust storm, covering the largest area in the satellite era, and with the largest sunlight blocking capacity (aerosol optical depth (2x thicker dust than ever before) was generated by the Sahara Desert in Africa and crossed thousands of km across the Atlantic Ocean to darken the skies in the Caribbean, Latin America, the Gulf of Mexico, into the southern USA.

I discuss how the Arctic Ocean sea ice was at a record low at the time, slowing and distorting the jet stream, creating a powerful ridge (high pressure) area just to the northwest of Africa, and a corresponding trough (low pressure) to the southwest of the ridge, and thus over Africa.

This bimodal pressure situation acted as meshed gears, driving dust thermally converted upwards from the Sahara desert, entraining it into the exceptionally powerful African Easterly Jet at about 6 km altitude. This dust was then carried thousands of km across the Atlantic to the USA, setting a new record for the area covered and also for the dust thickness (thus sunlight blocking capability).

Surprisingly, this dust did not suppress tropical storms enough to stop the record breaking tropical storm season (30 named storms, from Arthur to Iota). I think that the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the tropical Atlantic was so far above the threshold temperature for storm amplification (26.5 C) that the dust cooling of the SST was insufficient to suppress the 30 storms; who knows, without the dust maybe there would have been 35 storms?

Ref 1:  ‘The Atmospheric Drivers of the Major Saharan Dust Storm in June 2020‘, Francis, Fonseca, Nelli, Cuest, Weston,  Evan, Temimi. First published: 01 December 2020.  Link to Abstract and actual content, at AGU, here.

Dust is an important constituent of the Earth’s atmosphere, with a wide range of impacts ranging from human health to effects on climate. In June 2020, massive amounts of dust were lifted from the Sahara, the major dust source region in the world, and transported all the way into the Americas across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. This event was caused by the development of a subtropical high‐pressure system over northwest Africa which resulted in sustained strong northeasterlies over the Sahara generating continuous dust emissions for 4 days.

‘Due to the strong low‐level convergence along the intertropical discontinuity region, the dust was lifted to roughly 5‐6 km above the surface, and then transported westward by the stronger mid‐atmospheric winds (>20 m s‐1). At Cape Verde and over large swaths of the Atlantic Ocean, the amount of dust suspended in the atmosphere was associated with the largest aerosol optical depths on record.’
———- ———-

Part two here: ‘How Record Low Arctic Sea Ice Disrupted Jet Stream Causing Huge 2020 “Godzilla” Dust Storm: 2 of 2
———- ———-

The Ongoing Disruption to our Global Food Supply from Abrupt Climate System Change: Part 1 of 3 // Dec 3, 2020

Many people inexplicably think that global climate change is a future problem. In this first of a three video series, I explain clearly how our global food supply is presently being hammered by ongoing and accelerating climate system change.

While potentially opening up some new crop growing regions dependent on soil limitations, climate change is already directly impacting well established growing regions, in at least 10 direct, or primary ways and 10 indirect, or secondary ways:

Direct Impacts
1) Heat stress is reducing crop yields.
2) Heat stress toll on farmers (sometimes fatal).
3) Heat stress tolls on livestock (often fatal).
4) Altered precipitation: not enough rain; drought.
5) Altered precipitation: too much rain; flooding.
6) Weather whiplashing between drought and flooding (or heat and cold) ruining crops.
7) Extreme weather physically damaging crops: hail storms, late Spring frosts, early Fall frosts, early warmth confusing plants to bud prematurely, followed by killing frosts.
8) Wildfires physically destroying crops and livestock and polluting water supplies.
9) Smoke and other wildfire pollutants damage crops hundreds of km from the burn areas.
10) Extreme weather damaging food storage infrastructure, disrupting food transportation systems, breaking down “cold chain” systems.

All of these above effects are already cascading into a variety of secondary effects.

Secondary Impacts
1) Crop and farm failures, financing challenges, farmer migration and suicides, general strikes.
2) Loss of agricultural labour and resource conflicts.
3) Crop stress causes stress on seeds and seed viability damage, causing poor crop yields in subsequent years.
4) Drought and sea-level rise causes salinization contamination is soils and farmland, reducing crop yields for years.
5) Heat, drought, and overuse of pesticides wipes out good beetles, butterflies, bees, and other pollinators.
6) Changing precipitation patterns leads to increased breeding of locusts and other crop harming pests.
7) Drought dries out soils leading to wind blown soil loss and desertification.
8) Drought and decreases glacial water storage and groundwater infiltration, drying up rivers and amplifying water stress in subsequent years.
9) Torrential rain leading to flooding caused soil erosion, destroys crops and infrastructure, and carries over to subsequent growing seasons.
10) Crop losses impact feed prices and supply for the following year.

Hopefully, we do not have to take a “Soylent Green” approach to food on the near future. Remember to check the ingredients of those processed foods and cookies that you eat.
———- ———-

Second video, here. Third of three videos on same subject, here.

Ref 1:  ‘Canada could be a huge climate change winner when it comes to farmland‘, Emily Chung · CBC News · Posted: Feb 12, 2020 3:28 PM ET:

The study, published today in the journal PLOS ONE, predicts about 4.2 million square kilometres of Canada that are currently too cold for farming crops like wheat will be warm enough by 2080 if greenhouse gas emissions continue to climb.

“It may become our bread basket for the future. In that regard, it’s good for Canada,” said co-author Krishna Bahadur KC, an adjunct professor of geography at the University of Guelph.  Currently, only a million square kilometres in Canada are warm enough for growing crops like wheat, corn and potatoes, he said.

“It’s a big, huge difference.”  The research suggests that even much of the Northwest Territories and Yukon could get warm enough to grow wheat and potatoes, while corn and soy could be grown farther north than they are now.’
———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work. I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing. Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

f

Posted in Climate, Global Warming, Rapid Climate Change, Science, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Can we keep our Earth habitable? Abrupt Climate System Change

Given Abrupt Climate System Change, can we keep our Earth habitable? Part 1 of 2 // Nov 26, 2020

We risk an uninhabitable Earth if we allow abrupt climate change to continue unchecked, at its ever accelerating (even exponential) pace.

How do we stabilize our climate? Can we stabilize our planet, or are we too far gone, as more and more people think?

Years ago I brought up the concept of a three-legged barstool approach to stabilize climate. To recap, we need to:

1) Slash fossil-fueled Greenhouse Gas emissions to zero
2) Pull carbon out of the atmosphere/ocean system. This includes CH4 as well as CO2.
3) Deploy Solar Radiation Management methods to reduce surface heating to buy us time to do the first two steps.

There are all kinds of ideas for doing these three steps, and I will discuss them in detail in future videos. They include things like: cloud brightening; Iron Salt Aerosols (ISA) which simultaneously reduces CH4, increases cloud reflectivity, and seeds the ocean with iron stimulating carbon sucking phytoplankton; injecting sulphur dioxide in the stratosphere to block some sunlight; regrowing sea ice in the Arctic (using wind-turbine powered pumps to put sea water on top of the ice to accelerate freezing, distributing glass nano-beads onto the ice surface to reduce surface melt, increasing cloud reflectivity over the Arctic); etc.

I chat about a recent paper claiming that we have already passed the tipping point with thawing Arctic permafrost, and even with zeroed emissions in 2020 (obviously not feasible) we would get additional warming for centuries.
———- ———-

Given Abrupt Climate System Change, can we keep our Earth habitable? Part 2 of 2 // Nov 26, 2020

Second of two videos.

Ref:  ‘An earth system model shows self-sustained melting of permafrost even if all man-made GHG emissions stop in 2020‘, Published: 12 November 2020.  Jorgen Randers & Ulrich Goluke.  Abstract:

llll

The risk of points-of-no-return, which, once surpassed lock the world into new dynamics, have been discussed for decades. Recently, there have been warnings that some of these tipping points are coming closer and are too dangerous to be disregarded. In this paper we report that in the ESCIMO climate model the world is already past a point-of-no-return for global warming. In ESCIMO we observe self-sustained melting of the permafrost for hundreds of years, even if global society stops all emissions of man-made GHGs immediately. We encourage other model builders to explore our discovery in their (bigger) models, and report on their findings…continues, at link here.
———- ———-

Paul on Chess:  ‘When I was growing up a few years ago (some would argue that it hasn’t happened yet) board games like chess, checkers, backgammon, Blitzkrieg, etc. were always part of my family life. Chess became my passion, and I attained a ranking of 40th or so in Canada, with a master rating (2321), and at some point or other managed to beat most of the top players in Canada, and I even drew with Zsuza Polgar, who went on to be the Woman’s World Champion.

The Netflix series “Queen’s Gambit” is an extremely accurate portrayal of the chess world at the highest levels. It also captures the sacrifices that top players must make to stay at the top of their game and try to eke out a living. I highly recommend it.

If I had been a chess consultant for the series, the only thing that I would have done differently would be to have had the top players being defeated by Beth Harmon actually be real world class Grandmasters; it would have been fantastic to see Kasparov himself in the series as the defeated Russian!! This would have added an extra twist to the show, that the chess world would have just loved:).
———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work. I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing. Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

Posted in Climate, Climate Change, Global Warming, Rapid Climate Change, Science, Uncategorized, Warnings | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Smorgasbord of Abrupt Climate Change Happenings

A Mishmash of Abrupt Climate Change Topics: Part 3 of 3 // Nov 6, 2020

My main focus is on the lack of Arctic sea ice regrowth in the Eastern Siberian Arctic Shelf region and the Laptev Sea region. These two regions faced extremely anomalous sea ice loss much earlier than normal in the Spring this year, and regrowth this Fall was much delayed.

Meanwhile, ice regrowth over the past week has set near record levels; basically unnoticed due to the US election distractions. The problem with the much longer ice free duration over these two Siberian shelves is that the water is over 5 C throughout the water column to the bottom, and thus the warmed sediments are thawing the enclosed methane hydrates, leaving large pock marks on the ocean floor, releasing methane that saturates the water column, and venting large amounts of methane into the atmosphere. Not a pretty picture.

Video part two, here. Video part one, here.

Ref 1:  Our Final Warning: Six Degrees of Climate Emergency, by Mark Lynas.

Ref 2:  On Writing: A Memoir Of The Craft, by Stephen King

Ref 3:  Video, ‘‘‘Twas the Night before US Elections when all through the Lands, Many People were Stirring…‘:

Donald Trump had a grimace he held tight in his teeth,
And the anger and tension encircled his head like a wreath;
He had an orange face and a enormous round belly,
That shook, when he ranted like a bowlful of smellies.’
———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work. I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing. Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

k

Posted in Basic Science, Climate, Climate Change, Global Warming | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

‘‘Twas the Night before US Elections when all through the Lands, Many People were Stirring…

‘‘Twas the Night before US Elections when all through
the Lands, Many People were Stirring
… // Nov 2, 2020

Twas the night before US elections, when all through the lands,
Many people were stirring, some with shaking hands;
The ballots were put in the boxes with care,
In hopes that Joe Biden soon would be here;

The children were nestled all snug in their beds,
While visions of a safe future danced in their heads;
And mamma in her ‘kerchief, and I in my cap,
Had just settled down from a long ordeal’s nap,

When out on the lawn there arose such a clatter,
I sprang from the bed to see what was the matter.
Away to the window I flew like a flash,
Tore open the shutters and threw up the sash.

The moon on the breast of the hopeful land,
Gave the lustre of mid-day to objects below,
When, what to my wondering eyes should appear,
But a jolly Joe Biden, and wonderful cheers.

With a strong wise statesman, so lively and quick,
I knew in a moment it must be Joe Biden.
More rapid than eagles his coursers they came,
And he whistled, and shouted, and called them by name;

“Now, DECENCY! now, HONESTY! now, GOODNESS and WISDOM!
On, JOBS! on SUCCESS ! on CLIMATE PLAN! and HEALTHCARE!
To the top of the porch! to the top of the wall!
Now dash away! dash away! dash away all!”

As dry leaves that before the wild hurricane fly,
When they meet with an obstacle, mount to the sky,
So up to the house-top the coursers they flew,
With the team full of Policies, and Joe Biden too.

And then, in a twinkling, I heard on the roof
The prancing and pawing of each Joe vote.
As I drew in my hand, and was turning around,
Down the victory platform Joe Biden came with a bound.

He was dressed all in smiles, from his head to his foot,
And his clothes were all tarnished with true grit and hard work;
A bundle of good policies he had flung on his back,
And he looked like a saviour just opening his pack.

Joe’s eyes — how they twinkled! his dimples how merry!
His cheeks were like roses, his nose like a cherry!
His knowing smile was drawn up like a bow,
And the stubble on his chin was as proud as the snow;

Donald Trump had a grimace he held tight in his teeth,
And the anger and tension encircled his head like a wreath;
He had an orange face and a enormous round belly,
That shook, when he ranted like a bowlful of smellies.

He was chubby and plump, a right lying old con,
And I cringed when I saw him, in spite of myself;
An evil look in his eye and a twist of his head,
Soon gave me to know I had everything to dread;

He spoke many words, not one of them true,
And blustered and raved; then turned like a jerk,
And laying his finger into obscene gestures,
And giving a snarl, to the golf course he fled;

He sprang to his limo, to his proud boys gave a whistle,
And away they all flew like the down of a thistle.
But I heard him exclaim, ere he drove out of sight,
DAMN YOU AMERICA, FOR VOTING ME OUT.
———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work. I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing. Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

Posted in Policy, Politics, Rapid Climate Change, Stories, Winter Muse, z Paul's Walking Talks | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

US Election 2020 Chaos and Existential Climate Chaos

On the Existential Risks of Abrupt Climate Change and a chat on Chomsky Election Thoughts // Oct 31, 2020

Hello Everybody, I agree completely with Chomsky on the following statements, and have said these things for years:

Definitely the worst one I can think of in history, Adolf Hitler was pretty hideous – [but] he wasn’t trying to destroy organized human society on earth,” — Chomsky

The facts are pretty straight; there is almost universal consensus among serious scientists that we are racing towards the cataclysm, if current tendencies persist,” — Chomsky

By the end of this century, you might have reached the level three, maybe four degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. And every analysis concludes that’s a total cataclysm. Organised human societies – nothing survives.” — Chomsky

Repeated for emphasis:  “Definitely the worst one I can think of in history, Adolf Hitler was pretty hideous – [but] he wasn’t trying to destroy organized human society on earth,” — Chomsky

Challenged on this, with the fact that the Nazi Holocaust killed at least six million Jewish people, Chomsky, whose parents were Jewish, says Hitler also killed “30 million Slavs, but not human civilization”.

Here is the article link; please read it and think about it carefully:
Trump’s denial of climate change represents worse threat to humanity than Hitler, says activist Noam Chomsky, Andrew Buncombe in Seattle, Oct 30, 2020.

I agree with Chomsky, and have been saying these exact things for many years; it’s why I study climate change and have done so for many years. Presently, we are only 1.1 C above the 1880-1910 average (1.4 C above 1750) and we already experience weather extremes, loss of the Arctic ice and cold, mega-wildfires, and looming global food shortages.

We face civilization collapse. Global food shortages. Frequent pandemics due to loss of global biodiversity. Collapsing political systems. Fascism and lies.

Climate destabilization is the fundamental root cause of all this accelerating chaos.

Please use our easy to operate, Donate feature.  Does not require a PayPal account.. I have hundreds of videos on all aspects of climate change science produced over many years.

Thanks for watching, and for your support.

Sincerely, Paul

Ref:  Our Final Warning: Six Degrees of Climate Emergency, by Mark Lynas:  ‘This book must not be ignored. It really is our final warning.  Mark Lynas delivers a vital account of the future of our earth, and our civilization, if current rates of global warming persist. And it’s only looking worse.

We are living in a climate emergency. But how much worse could it get? Will civilisation collapse? Are we already past the point of no return? What kind of future can our children expect? Rigorously cataloguing the very latest climate science, Mark Lynas explores the course we have set for Earth over the next century and beyond. Degree by terrifying degree, he charts the likely consequences of global heating and the ensuing climate catastrophe‘.
———- ———-

Super-typhoon Goni Strikes Philippines with 195 mph winds; likely strongest storm landfall on Earth // Oct 31, 2020

While the eyes of the USA and much of the sane world are focused intently on the elections, the world is blissfully ignorant of the massive Superstorm Goni that has just hit the Philippines.

Goni has maximum sustained winds estimated at 195 mph (170 knots, 315 km/hr) with gusts exceeding 235 mph (295 knots, 380 km/hr).

The minimum central pressure in the eye reached a staggeringly low 876 mbar. Normal atmospheric pressure at the surface is 1013 mbar, so this enormous drop gives rise to a very large pressure gradient which drives the high winds.

Philippine Sea temperatures are in the 31 to 32 C range, representing an anomaly of 2 to 3 C warmer than normal for this time of year, and Ocean Heat Content above 150 means that not only is the surface sauna-like but the heat extends downward into the depths. Basically, rocket fuel like ocean conditions to feed the storm. Driven inexorably worse by climate change.

Also, wind changes in direction with altitude, known as wind shear was minimal, so there was no hope of shear induced chopping off for the storm tops.

Essentially, conditions were ideal for rapid storm intensification over 48 hours from 35 knots to 155 knots.

Damage in the Philippines, including the capital Manila will be extremely severe. The storm had a direct hit on a western Philippine island with a population of 250,000 people, and that will have unbelievable catastrophic damage.

One of Strongest Storms EVER, Super-Typhoon Goni Strikes Philippines with 195 mph Winds: Part 2 of 2 // Oct 31, 2020


———- ———-

A Halloween Treat: The “Dance with Emily” Troupe in the Glebe, Ottawa blocks traffic! // Oct 31, 2020

A Halloween treat: The students of my local community centers “Dance with Emily” troupe blocking a street in the Glebe neighborhood of Ottawa to bust some moves, and shake some tunes.

How could I not stop and film a video. Happy Halloween. It’s pretty much cancelled in Ottawa due to our most estimate city council.
——— ———-

——— ———-

Notice name of Street: 
Beckwith Rd.
———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work. I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing. Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

———-

———-

This study of 1.6 million chess moves found the age we hit our cognitive peak, Victoria Masterson:

More than 24,000 chess games played in professional tournaments over 125 years have been analyzed by scientists to measure how age affects cognitive ability.

They conclude that humans reach their cognitive peak around the age of 35 and begin to decline after the age of 45. And our cognitive abilities today exceed those of our ancestors.

Posted in Basic Science, Catastrophe, Climate, Climate Change, Collapse, Global Warming, Rapid Climate Change, Science, Social Comment, Social Critique, Warnings | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment