Cracks in the Big Picture, Radio Ecoshock Podcasts

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It is always a great honor, for Paul to be on Alex Smith’s Radio Ecoshock.  And equally ALWAYS has been a definite ‘favorite’ of Paul’s–dk. Here is the link to:

Cracks in The Big Picture‘, on Radio Ecoshock.  About 59:59 long.  Link to SoundCloud, for those who might prefer or can use, here.

Get ready. We’re going to visit the hot Arctic, where the winter sea ice is almost refusing to form. It’s at a record low for November. Climate scientist Paul Beckwith will tell us why sea ice around the world is in retreat, and what it means for our weather. Yes we get to Trump, the chances of hope, and the planetary climate emergency’.

As Alex says:  “Paul explains the science behind this so neatly and clearly. I highly recommend this interview.  Even though I’ve talked with a lot of scientists, and research this stuff daily – I still learned brand new things from Paul as we talked. It seems like a lot of loose threads come together to form a pattern we can all understand.”
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Many of you must have seen this three video series but, in case you missed them, here is the first:

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Climate Emergency in a New World Order with Paul Beckwith

Here is Paul’s interview with the ever astute and consummate Deb Ozarko, ‘warrior of truth, cultural revolutionary, status quo crusher, and passionate lover of life, here to welcome your bi-weekly dose of authentic expression‘, on The Unplugged Podcast 115.

Podcast is 1:40:36 long, is capital C for comprehensive (below image is NOT a navigable viewer and representational only.  Please click link, ‘Unplugged 115’, above).

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If he you have not already heard her, she recently interviewed Jennifer Hynes on October 12th, 2016 here, and was also recently a well featured guest on Extinction Radio, Wednesday 17th November, 2016, here (about 1:00:52 long, also with Jennifer).  Deb is the real deal.  You can bet on that (dk).

As she says:  ‘Abrupt anthropogenic climate change is here and has now taken on a life of its own. It’s no longer a question of if or when, it’s a question of how to cope in a rapidly collapsing world where the masses just don’t give a damn.

Despite increasing episodes of epic flooding, drought, wildfire, earthquakes, Arctic sea ice melt, and the frightening rise of methane and CO2 in our radically altered climate system, business-as-usual arrogantly plods along. Abrupt climate change is not to be taken lightly however. As it now stands, planet Earth may become totally uninhabitable in a matter of months or years (single digit) rather than decades or centuries. Many scientists are deeply alarmed by the accelerating changes that are becoming increasingly unpredictable. One of these scientists is Paul Beckwith.

Paul is a climatologist and part-time professor at the University of Ottawa in my hometown of Ottawa, Canada. After months of trying to connect for this podcast, Paul and I finally made it work only days after Donald Trump was crowned king of the USA. Needless to say, the conversation I originally planned to have with Paul was tossed out the window in favor of a spirited discussion about the beginning of a very dark new world order—including the very real possibility of expedited biosphere collapse.

[Deb has authored a book, called Unplug, shown here:

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Available at Amazon or her site, both in print and Kindle.]

Paul is well known for his comprehensive Youtube videos of sometimes daunting subjects, especially in relation to the climate, weather, oceanography and Earth Sciences. He has a knack for explaining complex issues in language that is easily understood.

Paul is a proponent of geoengineering, of which I’m not because I feel that we’ve already tampered with the Earth more than enough. Despite my beliefs however, Paul offers many nuggets of wisdom about the state of emergency we are now in with our climate, along with some interesting thoughts about the uncertain direction of the world with Donald Trump at the helm.

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This week, we chat about:

The uncertainty of Trumpism.
Why we should be concerned about record low levels of Arctic sea ice.
How the swing to the far right is a desperate attempt to revive the familiar in deeply troubling times.

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How the turn towards nationalism creates racism.
The twilight zone of climate change denial.
How Trump manipulated the media to destabilize the country.
How climate change is a threat multiplier.

How we are now living in a climate emergency.
The oceans are sick with acidity and warming.
What is a blue ocean event?
What is biomimicry and geoengineering?

The problem with human overpopulation.
With his extensive scientific knowledge and profound critical thinking skills, Paul Beckwith offers a sobering perspective that can no longer be denied: we are living in a climate emergency in deeply troubling times.’

Posted in Activism, Broadcast, Catastrophe, Climate, Climate Change, Collapse, Global Warming, Podcasts, Rapid Climate Change, Warnings, Weather | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Our Climate Change Emergency & Three-Legged Bar-Stool Survival, Three Videos

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I build a very strong scientific case showing that our climate system is spiraling out of control, threatening our very survival on Earth. I then discuss how government leaders around the planet must declare a climate change emergency. This would open up money and resources to deploy the three-legged-bar-stool survival strategies:

Leg 1: slash fossil fuel emissions;
Leg 2: deploy carbon dioxide removal tech;
Leg 3: cool the Arctic.

First video, below:


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Also, below the third video, be sure NOT to miss Arctic Methane Emergency Group’s John Nissen’s letter, produced as a proposal for COP22.  About AMEG, here.  Version 2 is approved for sharing here (at bottom of post).
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Video Two, below


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Here is a copy of the powerpoint slide presentation, called: ‘paul_climate_emergency_barstool_nov_18_2016-final‘.  Cloud version here for those of you who might not have or use Microsoft Office–has fifty images.

[dk:  the version from the last post had fifty-two images.  And similar as it might look to the one from three days ago–for those of you who use or look at such things, Paul tells us, they are not the same.]
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Video Three, below

Please consider supporting my work with a donation, through the PayPal donate link.  Very easy to use.
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“The era of procrastination, of half measures, of soothing and baffling expedience of delays, is coming to its close. In its place we are entering a period of consequences.”
“They go on in strange paradox, decided only to be undecided, resolved to be irresolute, adamant for drift, solid for fluidity, all-powerful to be impotent”¦ Owing to past neglect, in the face of the plainest warnings, we have entered upon a period of danger. The era of procrastination, of half measures, of soothing and baffling expedience of delays, is coming to its close. In its place we are entering a period of consequences”¦. We cannot avoid this period, we are in it now”, Sir  Winston Churchill.
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2016-11-13

For the attention of COP22

The climate community and consensus of scientists, represented by IPCC, had assumed that, by reducing net emissions of CO2 to zero, global warming could be halted. They had also assumed that such a reduction would halt Arctic warming, by the process which has kept Arctic warming proportional to global warming but amplified by a factor of around two.

Unfortunately evidence indicates that these assumptions are no longer valid. The Earth System is showing signs of moving ever faster away from the old norm of the past thousands of years: the Holocene period of remarkably stable temperature, climate and sea level, which allowed crops to be grown, trade to take place and civilisation to develop. The changes are happening most rapidly in the Arctic where there is acceleration in warming and melting, mainly due to the “albedo positive feedback” effect whereby, as snow and sea ice retreat, more heat is absorbed by exposed land and water.

There are four significant effects of this accelerated warming in the Arctic:
accelerated melt of the Greenland Ice Sheet with associated sea level rise;
accelerated discharge of methane from permafrost both under the seabed and under the land surface with associated greenhouse warming effect;
accelerated disruption of the jet stream with growing weather extremes in the Northern Hemisphere;
a growing contribution of radiative forcing to the planet’s energy budget, which will inevitably lead to additional warming of the rest of the planet.

Considering that the planet is already suffering from climate change and sea level rise, which both are liable to get worse with levels of greenhouse gases rising and accelerated warming in the Arctic:-

COP should adopt a new overall objective of restoring the planet to the safe conditions enjoyed for thousands of years of the Holocene. In this process:

(i) global temperature should be kept below 1.5C with respect to its pre-industrial level;
(ii) CO2 in the atmosphere should be reduced to its pre-industrial level, which involves a massive CDR effort coupled with drastic cuts in CO2 emissions;
(iii) emissions of other significant GHGs (especially methane) should be reduced to pre-industrial levels;
(iv) the Arctic should be quickly cooled as a precaution against further sea ice retreat, further escalation of sea level rise, further escalation of methane release from permafrost, and further disruption of the jet stream leading to further rise in Northern Hemisphere extreme weather events;
(v) the Arctic albedo should restored to the level of at least thirty years ago.

To make such a huge undertaking acceptable to world leaders, it is necessary to show that there is a good business case, with jobs and food security. And there has to be a means of funding which is equitable and allows businesses to optimise their profits without jeopardising the health of the planet.

Arguably there is one industry which is capable of funding the CDR and methane suppression, namely the fossil fuel industry. If world leaders can persuade the industry to pay for CDR and methane suppression by taking a levy on carbon taken out of the ground, then the industry can maximise profits while protecting the planet at the same time.

There needs to be a level playing field, so that all exploiters of fossil fuel pay a carbon levy, based on the greenhouse gas emissions it will cause. Thus CCS will effectively obtain a rebate. Exploiters of natural gas will have a levy based not only on CO2 emitted on consumption but also on fugitive methane.

Since it is not possible to determine in advance the costs of CDR and methane suppression, there will need to be an initial levy which is ramped up over time according to the effectiveness in removing CO2 and suppressing methane. The fossil fuel industry will have a financial incentive to make these processes efficient and avoid undue increases in the levy which would hit their bottom line.

There needs to be some regulation, since it is desirable that the CDR and methane suppression is done in ways which have benefits for housing, food production, water management, job security, biodiversity, etc. This is where the UN has a key role: in setting the regulation mechanisms and the means of policing them.

There are many techniques for CDR and methane suppression which have such benefits in forestry, agriculture and aquaculture.

Forest management can ensure that carbon is captured for the long term, with the benefits of providing wood for buildings and increasing biodiversity. Agricultural practice can increase carbon in soil through the development of crops with longer roots.

Crop residues can be heated pyrolytically to produce a combination of biofuel and biochar, the latter being returned to the soil for improvement of crop yields and water management, also reducing the requirements for artificial fertiliser which is carbon intensive in its production.

Methane suppression using diatoms can likewise improve crop production, e.g. in paddy fields. It can purify local water supplies for the benefits of crops and human consumption. Dispersal of diatoms with appropriate nutrients over wetlands, lakes and oceans can reduce methane, while oxygenating water and stimulating the food chain. Thus fish stocks and other marine food sources are increased, providing food for human consumption as well as increasing sustainable biomass for the planet as a whole.

Another CDR technique with great potential involves the crushing of olivine rock and its accelerated weathering to remove CO2 and create carbon-retaining substances. This technique has a major direct benefit of increasing ocean alkalinity, e.g. when the crushed rock is spread on beaches where wave action can accelerate its weathering.

If such techniques are insufficient, or cannot be brought up to speed quickly enough, then direct air capture has to be considered. At present it is extremely expensive compared to other techniques. But this cost may come down to make it competitive, so intensive research and development effort is recommended.

The cooling of the Arctic and restoration of albedo has obvious benefits for the wild life and indigenous peoples of the Arctic, e.g. polar bears which rely on sea ice for their hunting. There is also potential for capturing methane as a fuel; methane is bubbling up from the ocean seabed in vast quantities, and might be captured under the sea ice or deliberately created “ice shields”.

This is an example of an opportunity for methane suppression to be combined with albedo enhancement. Another example is the floating of mats containing diatoms and nutrients, which can enhance albedo while helping to remove CO2, reduce acidification, oxygenate the water and promote methanotrophs which digest methane dissolved in the water. In this case there is an added benefit of promoting the marine food chain for the benefit of marine life and fishing.

To get the process started, COP22 should consider:

• a new initiative combining aggressive CDR, methane
suppression and CO2 emissions reduction, such that global
warming can be halted at 1.5C or less within a few decades;

• a new initiative to cool the Arctic and
restore albedo to the level thirty years ago;

• an overall plan to restore the Earth System to
such conditions as allowed civilisation to flourish
over the past thousands of years known as the Holocene;

• an initiative of public education in the
understanding of this plan;

• seed funding for promising new technical
developments in CDR, methane suppression
and albedo enhancement;

• a conference bringing together representatives
of governments and the fossil fuel industry to
present the business case for funding large-scale
interventions
out of a carbon levy.

Posted in New Video, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 8 Comments

Rapid Climate Change and Impacts for Environmental Assessment, Six Videos

In this series of 6 videos I discuss how climate change has worsened greatly in 2016, and what we can expect in the next few years. I try to bring the wrenching global changes to the local level and give individual viewers tools to examine how their own regions, cities, and livelihoods may be impacted.

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Whatever we do, in our work and leisure and in all aspects of our lives, and wherever we live, and whatever we build, we will need to consider and deal with the effects of rapid climate changes. And deploy a three legged barstool solution set to give ourselves a fighting chance for a future.

Rapid Climate Change & Impacts for Environmental Assessment:  Part 1 of 6 // Published on Nov 16, 2016

For convenient viewing, you can view the 52 slide presentation at google docs, here.  Or if you prefer, simply download the Powerpoint file ‘paul_rapid_climate_ea_nov_15_2016-final (long version)‘ here.

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And before you moving on to my five other videos in this series, please consider supporting my videos with a donation with the easy to use PayPal feature, here.   Every little bit helps, however small.  This work is NOT funded by humble assistant professor wages, the University or public domain, but ONLY from generous user support.  One brick at a time… Thank you to each of you who have already contributed or donated.

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Video Two:


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Video Three”


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Video Four:


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Video Five:


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Video Six:


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Posted in Catastrophe, Climate Change, New Video, Rapid Climate Change, Warnings | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Arctic Sea Ice Regrowth Is Eff’d This Year, Parts 1 and 2

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Arctic sea ice regrowth is eff’d this year; in fact is truly horrible. As the ice extent, defined as regions with at least 15% ice tries to expand via sea water freezing; it is melted out by extremely high sea surface temperatures.

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Then the cooled surface water mixes via wave action with warmer water down to as much as 200 meters and the warm mixtures at the surface continue the process of sea ice melting. Without strong ice regrowth, we will reach the state we are heading to. Namely, zero sea ice.

We must break this vicious cycle, by declaring a global climate emergency, and implementing the three-legged-stool solution set.

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Arctic sea ice regrowth is unprecedentedly eff’d: Part 1/2


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Arctic sea ice regrowth is unprecedentedly eff’d this year: Part 2/2


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Donations much appreciated, as this work is NOT funded by University or Professionally supported.  It is only able to occur with ongoing private donations, through very easy to use PayPal feature, here.  thank you. Every bit helps, no matter how large or small.
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Lastly, it is much suggested you take a look at Peter Wadhams new book, A Farewell to Ice. It is the best book ever on the reality of the Arctic, sea ice and snow cover collapse, methane emissions from sea floor and tundra, from a Cambridge scientist with over 300 peer reviewed scientific publications.

 

 

Posted in Climate Change, New Video, Rapid Climate Change, Videos, Warnings, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Completely Misinformed on Climate! For Mayhem, Pick One: Trump, Fox, HRC?

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Paul’s Podcast on Extinction Radio follows the Part One feature interview with esteemed Truthout.org writer Dahr Jamail for Extinction Radio Episode 58 2nd Nov 2016.

This is also follow by ‘Jennifer Hynes in Conversation with Mike Ferrigan’, which is also very good.  Her segment starts at 0:59:44 and goes to end of Part One segment at 1:47:34 (33:48 long).

Interview is in Part Two queue titled: Paul Beckwith – Climate Systems roundup follow.  Starts at 14:04 and goes to 58:54 about 44:50 long (summary shows 1:47:34 to 2:32:30).

 

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How Climate Change has Turbo-Charged Hurricane Matthew

Amazing video, from the weather channel, ‘Why Hurricane Categories Make a Difference‘, linked here.


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How Climate Change Amplified Hurricane Matthew // Published on Oct 6, 2016

I discuss how Hurricane Matthew is a much worse storm because of our rapid climate changed system.

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Higher sea-surface and sub-surface water temperatures, rapid sea-level rise along the east coast of North America, from hot water expansion, glacial melt and Gulf Stream slowing, and larger storm surges from more powerful and larger storms are all worsened by climate change.

Matthews path is worse case, apart from a Cat 5 on a similar path hitting Florida lower, to trash Miami as well.
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Remember when Hurricane Sandy did that incredibly crazy left turn and hit New York at the end of October, 2012. And now, in early October, 2016 Hurricane Matthew is buzz-sawing the Florida coastline.

Hmm…do 2012 and 2016 have something in common? Why yes. Mid-September of 2012 had record low Arctic sea ice, and this year it was second lowest.

No surprise to me. Rapidly darkening Arctic and temperature amplification is juicing up extremes of weather and climate around the planet.

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12:48 am                                                                 3:27 pm

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I show screen captures on my iPhone from the great app called RadarScope, as Hurricane Matthew approaches Florida and moves up the coastline on October 7, 2015. Times of image are on each image.

Posted in Climate, Climate Change | Tagged | 6 Comments