Tweets of the Week: Paul’s Picks Oct 16-22

In this Guardian article, Monbiot argues that pesticide use in industrial scale farming is the root cause of crashing insect populations, and is a worse problem, along with industrial fishing, than climate change. Of course, abrupt climate change has its tentacles all over this ecosystem crash as well, and is a huge threat to global food supplies.

Response to–aboveStefan Rahmsdorf’s Tweet–above:

For the past five years, global September temperature was more than 1°C warmer than the 1880-1910 baseline.  This has never happened before.

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Many articles on climate change refer to a “new normal”, in terms of extreme weather events (torrential rains with flooding, droughts with megafires, warmer oceans with Superstorm hurricanes, etc).  There is NO “new normal”; as abrupt climate change accelerates these extremes will continue to get worse and worse.

I have argued for many years:  2 videos, revisit and original (2015, 2014):  “Can sea level rise 7 meters by 2070?” that scientific consensus on sea level rise is way too conservative. In the past, seas have risen 50 mm (5 cm or two inches) per year for 5 decade periods; that’s 2.5 meters (100 inches; or over 8 feet) in 50 years. This coral study adds support to this view.

Logic 101 dictates that when Puerto Rico, an island of 3.6 million people, lacks electricity, fresh water, food, medicines since the hurricane strike over a month ago, the number of deaths will be much higher than reported.

Global markets and financial systems are completely and irrationally separated from the reality of our collapsing planetary ecosystems. Markets will collapse; it is just a matter of time. And not as much time as you may think.

Superstorm Hurricanes are behaving very differently than before, in our turbocharged climate.  Harvey: lingered over Houston, Texas for many days due to slow jet streams. Irma & Maria:  huge size, Category 5 storms caused enormous destruction; ocean water much warmer than normal.

Nate: strengthened very fast, barrelled across very warm waters of Gulf of Mexico.

Ophelia: Formed very far east and went very far northward, setting many new records and reaching Ireland.
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Ophelia Will Severely Test “Luck of the Irish”

Ophelia Will Severely Test “Luck of the Irish”: 1 of 2 // Published on Oct 15, 2017

People usually focus on hurricane categories to get an idea as to how severe a storm will be.  This is dangerous thinking, including the case of Ophelia directly hitting Ireland.

Sure, it is possible (even likely) that Ophelia’s rotation speed may drop below Cat 1 (75 mph = 121 km/hr) at landfall, but Ireland is in the right-front-quadrant where speeds relative to the ground are much higher, since the rotation speed and forward speeds add up, and damage is proportional to wind speed to the power 2.7; not good.

Also, storm surge will funnel between Ireland and Great Britain and be greatly amplified.
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Ophelia Will Severely Test the “Luck of the Irish”: 2 of 2 //
Published on Oct 15, 2017


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Careful.  Real adult language.  Shared from Paul’s twitter, dk, editor.

https://twitter.com/ChangHung23/status/919797488847962112

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Hurricane Ophelia Makes a Beeline to Ireland

Hurricane Ophelia Makes a Beeline to Ireland / Published on Oct 13, 2017

Enormous consequences of abrupt climate change are coming home to roost. Here I discuss the latest strangeness in our Climate Casino, namely Hurricane Ophelia that is making a beeline towards Ireland and the UK.

Very high ocean temperatures are allowing hurricanes like Ophelia to move farther northward and maintain their strength.  Slower and wavier jet streams are stalling hurricanes (Harvey), and huge atmospheric energy release are causing very large and powerful superstorms (Irma, Maria). All because of abrupt climate change greatly warming the Arctic.
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Addendum, Sat 14 Oct 1:19 pm EST (time shown at twitter, webmaster, west coast):

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Withstanding Nature’s Onslaught // Oct 11, 2017

We all lead busy lives trying to earn a living to provide for our families; put food on the table & a shelter over our heads. It is easy for us to lose sight of how our world is changing around us.

Of course that can all change in an instant. We can be wrenched from order & routine into disorder & chaos. A massive hurricane can level or flood our city. Huge, fast moving wildfires can torch thousands of homes in a few hours. How can we become more resilient in the face of this onslaught from nature? Let me explain.
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Were The California Wildfires Deliberately Set?

      

Left image BEFORE: Particulates (PM10) in air at 2000 Local Time.
Right image AFTER: Particulates (PM10) in air at 2100 Local time. Note that the particulates have all appeared in multiple locations within the space of 1 hour. This seems suspicious to me, assuming that the data is correct [1].

Were The California Wildfires Deliberately Set? // Published on Oct 10, 2017

About a week before the California wildfires erupted, I wrote a post titled:  ‘Climate Change Magnified MegaFires‘ with a video  called Amplification of MegaFires from Climate Change‘.

In this video I discuss horrendous and ongoing California fires.  These wildfires have killed multiple people (100s are still missing) and destroyed thousands of buildings. In examining Earth Nullschool data on air particulates, it seems that the fires appeared in multiple locations within the space of one hour.  This seems suspicious, if the data is accurate.
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People walk past fallen transformer along Parker Hill Road in Santa Rosa, Calif. on Tuesday, Oct. 10, 2017. (Nhat V. Meyer/Bay Area News Group)

A few hours after the uploading of my video to YouTube and this blog post, this link ‘PG&E power lines linked to wine country fires’ (article in full, at link, a selection), to a possible fire cause was posted to my Facebook pages. Perhaps power lines were knocked over in multiple places igniting the fires?

As the first reports came in Sunday night of numerous fires that would grow into one of the most destructive wildfire disasters in California history, emergency dispatchers in Sonoma County received multiple calls of power lines falling down and electrical transformers exploding.

‘In all, according to a review of emergency radio traffic by the Bay Area News Group, Sonoma County dispatchers sent out fire crews to at least 10 different locations across the county over a 90-minute period starting at 9:22 pm to respond to 911 calls and other reports of sparking wires and problems with the county’s electrical system amid high winds‘.
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[1].  Please note: Earth Nullschool has the fire starting between 2017-10-09 20:00 and 2017-10-09 21:00. Published reports say the fire started Sunday night which would be 2017-10-08, so I think the Nullschool date is wrong (and is a day behind)?
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Hurricane Nate Takes US By Surprise

Hurricane Nate Takes US By Surprise // Published on Oct 6, 2017

Hurricane Nate seemed to pop-up out of nowhere, in contrast to Superstorm Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria that took their time chewing up the Caribbean and Southern USA.

Nate is not to be underestimated, as I explain. It has intensified much faster than expected, and poses a large risk to southern USA states. I give you the tools and know-how to track it for yourself. I will not be surprised if it is a major hurricane when it has landfall in the US.
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Arctic Sea Ice: Everything You Need To Know

Arctic Sea Ice: Everything You Need To Know // Published on Oct 5, 2017

Every summer now, there are many people anxiously monitoring the seasonal melt-back of the Sea Ice that covers the Arctic Ocean. One of these summers, likely within the next 5 years we will end up with no sea ice left at the end of the summer. This “blue-ocean” event will change our climate & lives, in numerous ways.

I give you the knowledge and links to see for yourself what is happening to the Arctic Sea Ice over the 2017 melt season, and discuss what happens next.
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Climate Change Magnified MegaFires


Amplification of MegaFires from Climate Change // Published on Oct 3, 2017

Wildfires are increasing in frequency of occurrence, severity, and duration around the globe.  There are more fires, they’re consuming larger areas, burning hotter and spreading much faster, burning for much longer times and fire seasons are longer by many months, and they are also occurring in places where they never did before, such as Greenland.

Climate change, with its extreme weather variability from torrential rains to extreme heat waves and droughts are smoking guns.


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Jet Stream Crossing North Pole, South Pole, and Equator // Published on Oct 2, 2017

Jet stream behaviour is vitally important to weather patterns and climate around the Earth.  Abrupt climate changed jet streams are doing very crazy things these days, including going directly across the North Pole, also crossing the South Pole, as well as crossing the Equator (as I have shown in previous videos).

I teach you how to use Earth Nullschool to examine examples for yourself for each of these bizarre jet stream behaviours over the last few months.
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After the Superstorm: Relief Efforts and Resilience

After the Superstorm: Relief Efforts & Resilience // Published on Sep 27, 2017

It seems like our planet is under siege by extreme weather events that have been increasing in frequency, severity and duration.  Superstorm Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, & Maria have shattered lives and savaged infrastructure in Texas (notably Houston), Florida (especially Key West) and the Caribbean (Puerto Rico, US & British Virgin Islands, Dominica, Barbuda), etc…

For many people, the aftermath (without food, water, medicine, power, communication,..) is far worse and much more dangerous than the actual storm.  We must do better with relief efforts.  And make resilience one of our top priorities as we move forward.
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Can Hurricanes Trigger Earthquakes?

Can Hurricanes Trigger Earthquakes? Part A // Published on Sep 22, 2017

On Sept. 8th, 2017 as Hurricane Irma chewed up the Caribbean a magnitude 8.1 earthquake rattled Mexico. On Sept. 19th it was Hurricane Maria’s turn, with a 7.1 quake AND a volcano near Mexico City.

In 2012 as Hurricane Sandy moved north off the east coast of the US a network of -400 seismic sensors lit up and there was a 7.8 quake off the west coast.  Sandy turned left, sensors lit up again, and there was a 6.3 quake near the 1st one.  As Sandy went ashore in NY sensors lit up again, and there was a 3rd quake of 6.2; connected or coincidental?
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Can Hurricanes Trigger Earthquakes? Part B // Published on Sep 22, 2017


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Can Hurricanes Trigger Earthquakes? Part C // Published on Sep 22, 2017


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Writing of Paul’s posted by Sam Carana at the famed Arctic News Blog in August of 2013:

Climate Change is happening today, big time!
The Social Tipping Point, By Sam Carana of Arctic News Blog:

Abrupt climate change. It is happening today, big time. The northern hemisphere atmospheric circulation system is doing its own thing, without the guidance of a stable jet stream. The jet stream is fractured into meandering and stuck streaked segments, which are hoovering up water vapor and directing it day after day to unlucky localized regions, depositing months or seasons worth of rain in only a few days, turning these locales into water worlds and trashing all infrastructure like houses, roads, train tracks and pipelines.

Creating massive sinkholes and catastrophic landslides. And climate change is only getting warmed up.  In the Arctic methane is coming out of the thawing permafrost. Both on land and under the ocean on the sea floor. The Yedoma permafrost in Siberia is now belching out methane at greatly accelerated rates due to intense warming.

The collapsing sea ice in the Arctic Ocean is exposing the open ocean to greatly increased solar absorption and turbulent mixing from wave action due to persistent cyclonic activity. Massive cyclonic activity will trash large portions of the sea ice if positioned to export broken ice via the Fram Strait’.  Professor Paul Beckwith
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Handing off the Planet, Like–click here for video, from writer Mike Primavera at twitter.

https://twitter.com/primawesome/status/910380439705149440
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