Climate Changed Contrails DEBUNK Chemtrails

Posted on April 15, 2016 by paulbeckwith

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Published on Apr 13, 2016
Chemtrails do NOT exist. Nobody is spraying chemicals from aircraft for geoengineering, or for any other reason. I explain the science here.

Climate change has changed the physical properties of the lower and upper atmosphere differently. Jet aircraft contrails are thus brighter, easier to form and last for much longer than before. This has confused many people, and not been explained at all by scientists.


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dk / When the clock strikes twelve, or more to the point, when Google runs its massive batch count on its gargantuan video library database (not by the hour, but late night, varies by the hour or sometimes half day, sometimes an entire day lag, but rarely), Paul will have ATTAINED 300,000 views to his videos [1].  On the fly:

Since he was at 200,239 on Feb 3rd, 71 days ago, this means he is annualizing 1,401 per day, which is 664,000 by year end, but his readership and subscribers continues to grow. This is because, repeat, because folks thirst to know what to think. And if they cannot KNOW what to do or what to think of this mess we are in, our beloved planet in a precarious state, worse each month, verily, each week, they want to know the elements of this earth language, which Paul very, very clearly excels at explicating supremely.

I would be surprised, unless some large object is not met by an equal and opposite force, if he were not at 1M view by end of March next spring, in 0.9 years.  This is quite an attainment.  Many support his efforts and Paul asks me to deeply thank each of you.
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[1] For the record:  YouTube views:  301,234 for end of day 15-Apr-2016, 16-Apr data.  Thus Feb data was for Feb 2nd.  Subscribers 2,485.  Website views 61,880 at 1 pm EST Sat_16-Apr-2016, dk.  Lastly, more exact:  301,234 – 200,239 = 100,995/72 = 1,402.71 * (365 – 72 =) 293 = 410,994 +301,234 = 712,228 by end 2016 makes 1M by end of Mar reasonable:  1M less 712k is 288/90 days Jan to Mar 2017, is 3.2k views per day, accounting for ongoing growth.

Ok, call it end of April or early May in 1.1 years.  He will hit million and can use this platform to reach large numbers in social media, as a vivid social influencer.  Since we are in real serious trouble now:

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Source of above graph, Sam Carana’s Arctic News blog.  Exact citation, unknown, but many similar, here at March temperature.

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Guest Post, Miracle or Terror?

Posted on April 12, 2016 by paulbeckwith

Paul has never posted a comment as a separate page, to his webpage (dk). He thought this one by Greg had particular merit, so we appropriately create a section for it, so it can be shared in full, unedited or truncated.  I phoned the author, to do due diligence, and found a real person, with a good heart and a clear, nimble mind who gets it.  The article in full continues here:

The Miracle of The Moment/The Terror of The Now, By Greg Robie, in reply to E. Gadsby’s comment, here.

About the author: Greg Robie has learned enough from a generation worth of failures to effect social change to author this guest post and write this lament, Poet’s Lament.  He currently monitors abrupt climate change–and pursues a distracting homeostasis–by attempting brook trout aquaculture on a seasonally dry hillside in the Hudson River Valley.

This is the start of his fourth year of beating the odds. Due to El Niño’s lingering effect this year, and even with some of the trout breeding last fall, it may also be his first failure with this inane experiment.  He tends to be a realist…i.e. a glass-half-empty guy. In part this is because he is a guy and, as a guy, predilected to be addicted to fixing impossible problems…which, therefore, need to be made visible! He’s assembled a website of questions, insights, and efforts, at Open To Info.
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‘The purpose of this guest post is to share a metaphor that may help in thinking about what abrupt climate change constitutes. It also intends to offer a framework for evaluating strategic thinking regarding abrupt climate change.. I feel that fully grasping abrupt climate change requires an unflinching view of the nature of the social construct that has us, referencing lyrics from a song by The Who, hypnotized; unable to grasp the lie; fooled again and fools.

All human civilizations have collapsed. To assume this one won’t is to not learn from history…but, rather, repeat it. Historically, civilizations have been perceived as geo-political. By that definition, what is currently flash-frozen in its collapse, because it is global in nature, is more than a civilization. Waking up to this difference, and defining what it is that has effected the Anthropocene and abrupt climate change, is integral to avoiding pursuing ‘solutions’ that are really just doing the same thing–again–while expecting the results to be different; being fooled and fools. So, if you’ve the inclination, and yet possess an attention span for wading through ~3000 words and these links, some facts and the metaphor‘.  Continues at link, in elaboration.

Your donations of any size allow this work to continue, with your support.  donate-with-paypal
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60,200 views to the webpage since about November (5,700 for less than half of this month), and Paul’s YouTube Channel of now 115+ videos will hit 300,000 views by the end of this week. That was 163k in September, so that’s 137k realized in six and-one-half months. Headed to million jubilee by next spring, dk.

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H-Bombs Can Halt Abrupt Climate Change

Posted on April 9, 2016 by paulbeckwith

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1. My EcoShock Radio interview on Wednesday 06-April-2016:  Climate: IS REVOLUTION JUSTIFIED?  My segment starts at 23;55 here.


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2. Become a Climate Scientist in 15 minutes (1/2) // Published on Apr 7, 2016

Google Earth Nullschool and learn how to become a climate scientist in 15 minutes. I exaggerate slightly since there is a second video (2/2) to finish up your training. Our climate system is in turmoil as abrupt climate change proceeds and I will teach you here how you can watch this climate unravelling happening day to day, or even every 3 hours. Buckle up tightly and enjoy the ride to a much different planet.
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3. Become a Climate Scientist in 15 minutes (2/2) // Published on Apr 7, 2016

Google Earth Nullschool and learn how to become a climate scientist in 15 minutes ; actually in 26 minutes. Watch video (1/2) first and then this second video (2/2) to finish up your training. Our climate system is in turmoil as abrupt climate change proceeds and I will teach you here how you can watch this climate unravelling happening day to day, or even every 3 hours. Buckle up tightly and enjoy the ride to a much different planet.
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4. H-Bombs Can Halt Abrupt Climate Change // Published on Apr 7, 2016

The physics says yes. Controlled H-Bomb detonations [1] under the desert sands every year or two would hurl dust into the stratosphere and cool the planet, arresting abrupt warming.

We have waited forever to do nothing on climate change, and it has now gone exponential and is spiralling out of control.  We do have last ditch, back to the wall options, which need to be in our toolbox to save our hides.

Wouldn’t it be the ultimate irony that the most powerful weapons ever devised could save us [2] [3]!
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5. Continuation of above vidoes one and two above. Become a Climate Scientist in 15 minutes (3/3) // Published on Apr 8, 2016

]

I teach people how easy it is to use “Climate Reanalyzer” to see what the weather/climate is doing around the globe, now, in the past, and forecasted out a week or so. In two previous videos I examined “Earth NullSchool”.

Play around with both of these websites and see how abrupt climate change is rapidly changing our planet, and use them to educate others.

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6.Yesterday I created a social media firestorm with my video “H-bomb can halt abrupt climate change”. I elaborate in this video on the science.

Last Ditch Halting of Abrupt Climate Change // Published on Apr 8, 2016

On social media many people wondered if I had gone to the dark side, lost my marbles, or worse. As far as I know, none of these things happened. Life is good.

A) we are in a global climate emergency
B) the largest ecosystem on the planet (Great Barrier Reef) is on deathwatch
C) GHGs, temperatures, biosphere loss spiking
D) could we bend curves downward, if nothing else works?
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7. Today, Friday April 8th, 2015 Relief Analysis has a new podcast, its fifth in a now go to series in the subtle zone between climate and society. You can mark your calendar, where every three to five weeks, Nick can be counted on to dependably put out one more gem. Never miss [4].

Maritime search and rescue: the maritime emergency:

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[1] SMIC Report, 1971:  ‘Inadvertent Climate Modification. Report of the Study of Man’s Impact on Climate (SMIC). M. I. T. Press, Cambridge, Mass., 1971’.  Other citation at Amazon, here.

[2] ‘Will capitalism survive the robot revolution?‘

[3] ‘Nuclear weapon yield‘.

[4] International Organization for Migration

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My Condolences to Australia’s Great Barrier Reef

Posted on April 3, 2016 by paulbeckwith

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‘We have a crisis today on the largest ecological system on earth.  The Great Barrier Reef is under extreme stress, from very, very warm water, which has bleached vast areas of the coral.  First, by way of background, the size, in terms of area, of the Great Barrier Reef of Australia, is about that of the countries of Germany, or Japan, or Italy.  There’s over 3,000 reefs, 6,000 islands comprising the region, 1,625 types of fish, 133 types of sharks and rays, and 600 types of corals…‘

My Condolences to Australia’s Great Barrier Reef // Published on Apr 2, 2016

The Great Barrier Reef along the NE coastline of Australia is (soon to be was) the largest living ecosystem on Earth. It is dying, and it’s loss will be devastating for planet Earth, not to mention Australia. Not only was the 2300 km long reef teeming with life (biological hotspot), it protects coastlines from storms and is a World Heritage tourist magnet. Of 520 reefs aerially surveyed, 516 were white (bleached) and of these at least 50% will die. Loss to biodiversity is incalculable.
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My easy to use Donate Button, is here.  Small amounts welcome.  They add up.  Support my videos and my research, which is NOT funded by my small, single class teachers salary.

[
dk:  Not that long ago, Paul was at 200k views, now at 284k, so he is headed to 800,000 by year end with reasonable projections for growth through new viewers/subscribers and continued appreciations by current viewers and readers.  He might not hit 1M views by year end, but its possible.  Quite an accomplishment, in messaging the earth as an engineering and scientific seer  with a good dose of educational chops.

84,000 viewers in two months after 163k for four years is impact.  Much of value to hear and be said.  This is not all about popularity or spin or ambition, but a sign the earth begs for the message.  IMHO.

Website, 1,652 views from 52 countries in last 27 hours.  Folks hunger to know and be informed.  You can see why.  Folks know things are not right, and are looking for someone or something, somewhere to tell them what to do, what to think, where to go, or why going anywhere might not help.

1,506 view in the top 23 countries, leaves 146 views of next 29 countries (top part: USA, Canada, UK, Australia, Germany, New Zealand, Finland, Norway, France, Brazil, Belgium, India, Ireland, Trinadad and Tobago, Mexico, Switzerland, Neterlands, Spain, Greece, Argentina, Russia, Austria, and Sweden).

Wish to call this map of aggregated awareness, but better, ‘Map of those who can AFFORD awareness’, ‘at this time’!
]
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[
dk:  This is a truly important post.  Thanks for super blogger, Robin Westenra’s SeeMoreRocks blog, for picking up on this fast, here.  He is as you know, a tireless worker for the earth and all of those, like Paul or Guy McPherson who watch or speak on the issues.  He and Kevin Hester are the alpha and omega for New Zealand NTHE and Rapid Climate Change information promulgation, education, and awareness.  Thank you Robin!
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dk2:  Hearty appreciation to Extinction Radio, which is on hiatus till after the elections.  We expect to see them back.  Rumors are, they are lining up deep, to be on the next show.  Fact. Typically, we share the show when Paul is presented or included but we make an unusual exception, tonight. They’ve done right by both he and Guy alike repeatedly.

Assuredly, group life is not perfect (loyalty, hearsay, blame, forgiveness, remedy), but the trend is decidedly up by way of quality, broad, consistent messaging and deserve a break in context.  The job gets done, as far as content and form:


]

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Chat on our ABRUPT Climate Change EMERGENCY

Posted on March 26, 2016 by paulbeckwith

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Chat on our ABRUPT Climate Change EMERGENCY // Published on Mar 26, 2016

Humanity is NOW, TODAY in an abrupt climate change EMERGENCY. This is what science tells us. When the public, policy makers and politicians around the planet recognize this reality, the mood will flip from indifference and ignorance to utter TERROR. Just watch.

[Paul also explicates his fabulous Hansen series, shown here.  dk]

You disagree? Google “climate change” and “faster than expected”, “unprecedented”, etc. and you get gazillions of science articles. Google “climate change” and “slower than expected”, etc. and you get squat.

Please donate,  Easily done here.  See my 100+ videos on YouTube, here.

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Extinction radio-new

Here I am, on Extinction Radio, Episode 53, from Saturday 26 March, 2016.

You are encouraged, by all means, to listen to and share the entire episode, but for folks on the go who need the segment fast, I am here at the 90:08 mark.  Its about 21:29 long.
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Angry Earth Causing Record CO2 Level Rise? // Published on Mar 26, 2016, 3:32 long.

Feb, 2016 the atmospheric CO2 level was 404.16 ppm, or 4 ppm larger than just a year ago. Mar 25, 2016 hit 405.81 ppm, almost 5 ppm larger than only one year ago. Average levels rose a record 3.09 ppm in 2015, slightly less in 2014 and a record (then) 2.90 in 2013.

Yet global emissions from humans have been reported to have levelled off the last few years.

What gives? Could be BAD. Could mean Earth sinks are maxed out and/or sources are rising.

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Consequences Of Catastrophic Climate Change

Posted on March 17, 2016 by paulbeckwith

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“Suppose that your mom is sick. None of her brothers, sisters or children have taken her complaints seriously. Everybody has carried on with their own busy lives, thinking that mom was imagining things, and assuming that she was fine.
And then she took a turn for the worse. Everybody close suddenly realized that she was very frail and ill, depleted of her energy and resources. She was no longer the ageless, sacred source of life that nurtures all living beings.
Now, suppose that she is everyone’s mother. She is Mother Earth.
And her illness is abrupt climate change…” Paul Beckwith
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Something that I put together March 12th in reply to interview questions with Will Fox at FutureTimeline.net.  Please forward, etc. Use as you want..

‘1) Hi Paul. Thanks for agreeing to do this interview. First of all, could you tell us a bit about your background, how long you’ve been involved in climate science, and what areas of climatology you specialise in?

‘Hello Will. Thank you. It is my pleasure to have this interview with you.

‘I am an Engineer with a Bachelor of Engineering Degree in Engineering Physics (often called Engineering Science) from McMaster University in Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. I finished at the top of my class and received many …’ [Click here, to go to the fully elaborated text, continues.]
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Consequences Of Catastrophic Climate Change // Published on Mar 14, 2016

Never before in human history have we faced such a global-reaching upheaval like that underway today from early stages of abrupt climate system change. Will humanity continue its haphazard and disconcerted feeble attempts to address the gut-wrenching disruption and pretend that everything will work out fine as we spiral into civilization collapse? Or will we finally do what is required and treat the system turmoil as a global emergency far larger than we have ever faced before, and throw all our resources into surviving it?
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Three-Legged BarStool For Surviving Climate Change // Published on Mar 14, 2016

Society desperately needs a multi-pronged approach to survive ongoing abrupt climate system change:
Leg 1: zeroing fossil fuel emissions
Leg 2: halting extreme Arctic temperature rise
Leg 3: removing CO2 from atmosphere/ocean
Without 3 legs society topples, like the barstool. A harsh reality…
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Methane Warming At Least 34x Higher than CO2 // Published on Mar 14, 2016

My Methane Pet Peeve. Almost all reports (blogs, articles, newspapers, mainstream or not) incorrectly state that methane is 25x, or 24x or 22x stronger for warming than carbon dioxide. WRONG. Did I say WRONG. Over 100 years, the correct number from IPCC AR5 (2013) is 34x. It is 86x over 20 years, and up to 200x over a year or two. Methane lifetime is about 11 years in the atmosphere, but varies with latitude. The risk of large methane burps, especially in the Arctic is HUGE and growing.
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Why WE MUST a) cool the Arctic, b) lower CO2 levels // Published on Mar 14, 2016

We have run OUT of time on climate change. All heck is breaking badly. We must zero fossil fuel emissions, but this is not enough to restore climate stability. I discuss why and how we will cool the Arctic, and why and how we will remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and/or oceans. There is no other option. If you are against this then DO NOT understand how severe abrupt climate change is, and what it will cost us. Basically, everything…
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Whew… No Carbon Monoxide or California Quake.

Posted on March 7, 2016 by paulbeckwith

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Whew… No Carbon Monoxide or California Quake // Published on Mar 6, 2016

Starting on Feb 25th, it seemed from NASA satellite data that the gases CO, CO2 and SO2 were at very high levels in the air over California. By Feb 29th, with no message from NASA, many people in the public were concerned and I produced two videos looking at the data. Thankfully, it turned out that the satellite data and thus the assimilation model were wrong. In this video I discuss the glitch timeline. Hopefully, everybody can learn something from this experience, like I have.

Posted in a New Video | Tagged | 8 Comments

California Dreaming, Instrumentation Error Seems illogical

Posted on March 1, 2016 by paulbeckwith

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I took the day off to break ice, shop, get my hair cut, and see friends. What a day to take off:).  I stand by both of my videos released on February 29th on the California gas emissions on the major fault lines.

In my opinion NASA’s explanation below makes no sense whatsoever. I am actually amazed that this was claimed, since to me it is not consistent with the images.  Obviously, I will generate more videos to support my views.  For starters:

1) They only mention CO, and say nothing about CO2 and SO2.
2) The emissions are spatially located over the fault-lines; how could fires aggregate in these regions?
3) There was an Earthquake in New Zealand around Feb 29th that showed CO release.
4) They are trying to say the error was just over California. Really? Was the data wrong over the whole globe?
5) I discussed the idea of “instrumentation error” in my second video yesterday. In my opinion, the explanation from NASA does not address any of the points in my video, which I stand by 100%.

If NASA had said that there was a gamed simulation that got into the data set that would have seemed more realistic to me–still implausible, in my opinion, but harder to prove wrong.  Facebook friends and others, please help me out by doing the following:

A) Go to the USGS site and pick an Earthquake that occurred within the last few months, say over 5 and anywhere in the world.
B) Go to Earth NullSchool and look at the CO, CO2 and SO2 data for a few weeks before and after the quake.
C) Share your findings, positive or negative below this post and throughout social media.
D) Do it quickly, in case the Earth NullSchool site is potentially compromised.

Thanks. The fact that NASA is claiming “instrumentation” makes me think even more that my videos are correct. Remember that I am not claiming that a quake will occur. See the conclusion of my second video yesterday to hear my thoughts.
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Why was nothing said at all for five days?  By NASA, scientists, satellite engineers, climatologist?  Why was nothing said at all?
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[Addendum, update by Paul, 12:44 am Wed, dk:]

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Europe satellite shows high CO in California as well. Beckwith 1: NASA 0.

Link to Euro satellite:

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@mtflis @aHEM_again @ClimateOfGavin @SJvatn Is your instrument also wrong over Beijing??? #climate #climatechange

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Beijing is above image… These emissions from Beijing must be real, no…

[Addendum, 3:14 am Wed, highlight helpful comment:  ‘Just a quick tip:  Scrolling day by day, one at a time, on earth.nullschool.net is tedious, and self-defeating.  Data from earth.nullschool has been saved almost every day since at least 2014 on the Wayback Machine (archive.org).  So, go here:  Internet Archive, Wayback Machine for Earth NullSchool.  and find the date you are researching (or a date close to it) and it will bring you to that specific day’s data/map…‘ // dk.  Thanks Triquetra331!]

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Precursor to The Big One in California?

Posted on February 29, 2016 by paulbeckwith

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Have you heard of the precautionary principle…

The gas emissions from the major fault-lines in California started on February 25 between 16:00 and 19:00 local time. It is now 5:20 pm PST on February 29th, almost a full 4 days later. Why has nothing appeared in the Main Stream Media, the USGS, the emergency services, etc. etc.

Nine years ago, a large 7.4 Earthquake occurred in India that had been preceded a week earlier by CO emissions from that fault-line.

…
By the precautionary principle I argue that it is irresponsible for NASA, NOAA, scientists, governments and everyone else that the public be given this information. Hopefully nothing happens. We cannot predict Earthquakes.

How can it be an instrumentation problem, for 3 different gas measurements, sampled every 3 hours for multiple days. The gas appears quickly in the space of 3 hours, intensifies over a day and then dissipates. It also has spatial structure, appearing in lines over existing fault-lines…

Instrumentation error my arse. Wildfire smoke. Pollution from China. Come on, get a grip. Even Gavin Schmidt, head of GISS is peddling this. Where is James Hansen when we need him…

Watch and decide for yourself…
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California Faultlines Rupture Releasing CO, CO2 and SO2 // Published on Feb 29, 2016

On February 25 between 16:00 and 19:00 there appeared to be a rupture of the major faultlines on the West Coast of the US. The gases CO, CO2 and SO2 were measured to skyrocket, stay very high (indicating ongoing emissions) for at least 18 hours and then slowly dissipate. The spatial pattern of the emissions followed the “tuning fork” pattern of the major faultlines.
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Extensive Fault Fracture in California is REAL // Published on Feb 29, 2016

On February 25 between 16:00 and 19:00 local time there was a large emission of gases on the west coast of California. Satellite data for CO, CO2 and SO2 every 3 hours clearly show continued emissions for a day then a decline and spreading of gases.

This is not instrument error. The images clearly show the gases emitted in the spatial pattern of major California fault-lines, including the San Andreas. What does this mean? Not sure, BUT 9 years ago CO emitted in India preceded a 7.4 earthquake by one week. Today is Feb 29, and not a peep from USGS, govt., NASA, scientists…Why NOT??
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‘The researchers discovered the connection between CO emission and earthquake by analyzing satellite remote sensing data collected around the time when a 7.6 magnitude earthquake shook Gujarat in western India nine years ago killing about 20,000 people and rendering thousands homeless.

Singh said that CO levels were taken by an instrument onboard NASA’s Terra satellite — launched in 2009 — circling the earth in a polar orbit at a height of 705 km. The instrument measures CO concentrations at different heights and also computes the total amount of the gas in a vertical column of air above the earth surface.

Analysis of the satellite data showed a large peak in CO concentrations during January 19 and 20 — a week before the main earthquake event. On January 19, the total CO in the vertical column was also higher than usual. After the 26 January earthquake the concentration of the gas dropped.

According to the scientists, CO gas is forced out of the earth due to the build up of stress prior to the earthquake “influencing the hydrological regime around the epicenter.”
Singh said an anomalous increase in land surface temperature a few days prior to Gujarat earthquake — as inferred from the data of NASA’s other satellite MODIS — is also related to the CO emission. “The increase of column CO and concentrations of CO may have enhanced the land surface temperature,” he said.

“The anomalous changes in CO concentrations prior to the main earthquake event and enhancement of temperature of the earth surface observed from MODIS satellite data give an indication of coupling between land and atmosphere,” the scientists report. Singh said observation by other researchers of a sudden increase in water vapour in the atmosphere and changes in the ionosphere a few days prior to the Gujarat earthquake all seem to be connected.’
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By the way, I got 17 out of 24 right for my Oscar picks, which was enough to tie for first at the 300+ participating at the movie theatre at the Mayfair in Ottawa.  And that scored me twelve free movies and drinks and popcorn–keep me going for awhile.

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