Trifecta: Climate Tipping Points: Atmospheric/Ocean Circulation, Gary Null Podcast, Radio EcoShock Interview

Climate Tipping Points: Atmospheric and Ocean Circulation // Nov 1st, 2018

Presently, global average temperature is rising 0.25C per decade. However nonlinear, tipping points can greatly increase this rate of warming. Atmospheric circulation (jetstreams) and ocean circulation (currents like the AMOC, or Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) can switch state behaviour and quickly rocket us up to a much different, chaotic world. In this video, the first of two parts, I chat about the risks of these tipping points being triggered.
———- ———-

Global Circulation Tipping Points in the Atmosphere and Oceans // Oct 30, 2018

In this second video, I continue to chat about the risks of these tipping points being triggered.
———- ———-

A review of the IPCC report and updates on the status of global climate change, The Gary Null Show – 10.17.18.  Replay at link, or Podbean download here.  While the entire episode is 59:13 long, Paul’s segment starts at the 41:10 mark.

Key segment at 56:10:  Paul talks about impact, four to ten years out of BOE, ‘blue ocean event’, shift of center of gravity of extreme cold to Greenland, global food shortages, and urgency of declaring then acting on our global climate emergency.

Dr. Null’s patently conceived show introductions–where he outlines what to expect–are impeccably clear.  By all means, listen to the entire show, but those on short shift can zone in on the part framing Paul, by going to the 1:04 mark.

It was a great honor for Paul to be on Gary Null’s show again.  For those of you in Canada perchance unfamiliar, or in Europe who might not know him at all, Dr. Null has for decades helped listeners with diet and nutrition, in all aspects of holistic or clean, correct living.  His reputation is of the highest standard in the USA and has been heard probably by over 20M–or more–listeners, maybe 50M…

He is a sound voice of clear-eyed reason in all aspect of healing.  This must necessarily now include our home, planet earth.  To be clear:  how can it be that a widely regarded show focused on nutrition again hosts a climate system scientist?  Because ‘as it is above (outside), so it is below (inside, dk):

Paul ‘chats about the latest scientific developments on “faster than expected” climate change, and ineffectual human responses rather lack of responses’.
———- ———-

 

Big Trouble on a Small Planet, Alex Smith, Radio EcoShock, posted Wed 24 October, 2018.

Here is a link for the Lo-Fi version of the show (Paul is the whole show)

Welcome to a stormy world. Canadian climate scientist Paul Beckwith and I cover the breaking science news behind the big storms and strange times. It’s not just you: the record weather on the outside, with a climate shift behind it all. From a hot Arctic to the hurricanes we investigate the big picture, while Billionaires tell us to “get used to it”‘.

As Alex goes on to say:  ‘When we need the big picture on continuing extreme weather, I call Paul Beckwith. He’s got the cutting science behind the scenes. Next up on Radio Ecoshock we travel to the atmosphere with specialist scientists like John Lin from Utah and from the UK, Edward Hanna.

Famous American scientist Michael Mann is coming up – plus two interviews with lead scientists on that alarming news about way more heat in the ocean! Along the way, we discover why all the computing power behind Bit Coin can – all by itself – take us to the two degree C. danger zone. When scientists are on edge, they talk directly and fully to you on Radio Ecoshock‘.
———- ———-

———- ———-

Artifacts of a colder Canada, soon to only
appear in memories and museums.
———- ———-

Cornel West: on fighting fascism; Lee Gelernt: on child separation; Paul Beckwith: on climate emergency

Choices of links to show, here and here:  It is delightful to be on Dougie Hanson, The Abolitionist’s show, Voices of Dissent again:  ‘One Person, One Vote: anything less diminishes democracy‘.
———- ———

 

Above is image, not navigable video.

Clip from a few weeks ago:  CTV News Channel Interview:   Hurricane Michael.  ‘Recent weather events are certainly sounding the alarm on climate change. Climate system scientist, Paul Beckwith, joins us for his insight’.
———- ———-

Abandoned car on an island connected with a bridge
to the mainland; bridge was removed in 1950s…

———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

https://twitter.com/PeterGleick/status/1057716183934222337

———- ———-

Posted in a Global Warming, a New Video, a Rapid Climate Change, a Science, a Weather, Analysis, Engagements, Interviews, Podcasts, Response, Warnings, zz Videos | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Freakishly Slow Sea Ice Regrowth, Interviewed by Kevin Hester on NBL

    

Freakishly Slow Sea Ice Regrowth: 1 of 2 // Oct 26, 2018

Arctic sea ice regrowth in October is freakishly slow. We are at record low ice extent for late October; even lower than the 2012 minimum. In this video, and the next, I chat about:

  • Beaufort Gyre stalling and reversal,
  • atmospheric and ocean circulation changes,
  • sea-surface and water column temperatures,
  • salinities,
  • heat transport, and much more.

————————-

Freakishly Slow Sea Ice Regrowth: 2 of 2 // Oct 26, 2018

Second video continues as before.  And since formation in 2015, there have been two permanent hot spots in the oceans off Svalbard, with water temperatures at 78 degrees latitude North of 18.5 degrees Celsius in late October.

 
———- ———-

The Case for Declaring a Climate Emergency, Paul was a guest on Nature Bats Last three weeks ago, here.  He was interviewed by super activist, spokesperson for the earth, and good friend and supporter of Dr. Guy McPherson, Mr. Kevin Hester–himself quite a person in his own right!  Not to be missed!  57:25 long.


———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.  Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

https://twitter.com/TamaraWyndham/status/1055484168455553026

———- ———-

Posted in a Climate, a Climate Change, a Global Warming, a New Video, a Rapid Climate Change, a Science, a Weather, Analysis, Catastrophe, Collapse, Warnings, zz Videos | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Flaws in IPCC Report: Abrupt Cryospheric Tipping Elements in Climate System

Abrupt Cryospheric Tipping Elements in Climate System // Oct 18, 2018

Computer modelling simulations of climate change have a very difficult time accounting for abrupt, nonlinear state changes, also known as tipping points. Since IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) reports, including the sr15_ts (download PDF of sr15_ts here):

  • Rely too much on computer models,
  • They tend to understate the urgency and emergency state of ongoing abrupt climate change.

In this video I discuss the main broad-brush tipping points in the climate system, with a focus on the cryosphere (frozen regions).

Canada on October 17th

Ref:  Tipping Elements – the Achilles Heels of the Earth System, from the Potsdam Institute fro Climate Impact Research.
———- ———-

More On Abrupt Cryospheric Tipping Elements in Climate System // Oct 19, 2018

Continuation of Thursday’s video on how computer modelling simulations of climate change have a very difficult time accounting for abrupt, nonlinear state changes, also known as tipping point, relying too much on computer models, understating urgency of climate change.
———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.

      

I visited the Mosaica exhibit in Gatineau; huge plant displays; amazing art!!

Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

Ref: Hurricane Michael Reminded America Why Climate Change is a National Security Risk, For the Air Force, Climate Change Just Got Personal.

Posted in a Climate, a Climate Change, a Global Warming, a New Video, a Rapid Climate Change, a Science, a Weather, Catastrophe, Uncategorized, Warnings, zz Videos | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Abrupt Climate Change Will Rapidly Blow Past 1.5C and 2C

Abrupt Climate Change Will Rapidly Blow Past 1.5C and 2C // Oct 10, 2018

As I filmed today, yet another massive hurricane has just come ashore in Florida’s panhandle. Hurricane Michael, at 155 mph (1 mph shy of Cat. 5) appeared almost out of nowhere and strengthened rapidly in the way too-warm Gulf of Mexico.

This video is not just on this storm, but:

  • Primarily on the human/media/global storm that has arisen with the release of the IPCC 1.5C report on our present state of the climate system, and
  • Whether or not we can keep global temperature rise to 1.5C or even to 2C.

———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.

Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

Posted in a Climate, a Climate Change, a Global Warming, a New Video, a Rapid Climate Change, a Weather, Analysis, Basic Science, Catastrophe, Collapse, News, Oceanography, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Profound Climate Mayhem With NO Arctic Sea-Ice

 

Part 2: Profound Climate Mayhem With NO Arctic Sea-Ice // Oct 4, 2018

In a few years we face a world with NO Arctic sea-ice. Profound climate and weather changes will profoundly disrupt human societies, eg. severe global food shortages.

In previous videos I discussed timeframes and trajectories for a zero sea-ice state, and a shift of the center-of-cold by 17 degrees latitude.
———- ———-

———- ———-

Profound Climate Mayhem With NO Arctic Sea-Ice // Oct 3, 2018

Just as in the last video, I delve into heat capacity changes with spiking Arctic warming, magnified ocean waves bringing heat from depth, destabilizing Greenland’s glaciers; also wind reversals, monsoon effects, and bubbling methane.


———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.

Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

https://twitter.com/StuartGaia/status/1047962174184775680

Posted in a Climate, a Climate Change, a Global Warming, a Rapid Climate Change, a Science, a Weather, Catastrophe, Uncategorized, Warnings | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Three More Videos On Tornadoes: Ottawa,

Nonlinear Tornado Damage With Rapid Climate Change / Sep 29, 2018

This video is the last of four on the science, dynamics, and consequences of tornado swarms that will become more frequent in northern states and Canada.  The first video ‘Our Changing World; A Tornado Outbreak in Canada‘ was shared Wednesday, here.

We can build new houses to withstand an EF2 tornado by spending an extra $150 to simply strap down the roof with horizontal nails attaching ties between walls and roof beams. So simple and cheap. Wind drag force on a house scales to wind velocity squared; wind power scales to velocity cubed. Thus, below a certain wind speed there is almost no damage; slightly above that threshold there is catastrophic damage. Highly nonlinear process.
———- ———-

Will Tornado Alley Shift Northward Into Canada? / Sep 28, 2018

Third of four videos discusses dynamics of tornadoes and how they impact people and communities: 

Supercells are huge collections of storm clouds bunched together, with rotation. They often generate tornados, as happened recently in Ottawa, and a few days later, in Detroit. As rapid climate change proceeds, and the speed, waviness, location, and nature of jet streams changes, it is possible that “Tornado Alley” in the US will shift northward, and impact northern states and Canada greatly.

This video
———- ———-

What Happened Inside the EF3 Tornado Hitting Ottawa? / Sep 27, 2018

This is the second video in this series.  An EF3 tornado razed the town of Dunrobin and moved into Ottawa crossing the river hitting Gatineau; it had winds up to 265 km/h (1 km/h faster is EF4).

  • The forward speed of the cold front generating Supercell clusters and tornados was 80 km/h, thus rotation speed of the tornado was 185 km/h (for CCW rotation, the right front quadrant was 185+80=265 km/h while the left front quadrant was 185-80=105 km/h).
  • Air pressure inside funnels drops as much as 60%; a 1 km wide funnel moving forward at 80 km/h crosses a point on the ground in 45 seconds.

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.

Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

https://twitter.com/Earthities/status/1045698433216995328

Posted in a Climate, a Geography, a Global Warming, a Rapid Climate Change, a Science, a Weather, Analysis, Catastrophe, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Our Changing World; A Tornado Outbreak in Canada

Our Changing World; A Tornado Outbreak in Canada //  Sep 26, 2018

After an outbreak of 6 tornadoes in Ontario and Quebec on Friday September 21, 2018 there have been many questions. In Ontario, there was an EF1 near Calabogie, an EF3 that destroyed much of Dunrobin, then tracked through Ottawa and went across the Ottawa River to damage Gatineau in Quebec, and an EF2 in the southern part of Ottawa. There were 3 additional tornadoes in northern regions of Quebec. Is this a freak of nature or part of a worrying new trend?

This video is the first of four where I discuss the science, properties, and changing nature of tornadoes in our rapidly warming world.

Parliament Buildings in Canada, Friday September 21st, with storm carrying tornado behind. Just to left and right of tower (Peace Tower) you can see rotation of Supercell.
———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.

Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

https://twitter.com/hausfath/status/1044961656093065216

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , | 1 Comment

The Arctic Blue-Ocean-Event (BOE). When? Then What?

The Arctic Blue-Ocean-Event (BOE). When? Then What? // Sep 20, 2018

We are hurtling towards the Blue Ocean Event (BOE) in the Arctic. Nobody knows for sure when it will happen.

From my analysis, which I discuss in this video, my best guess is that the BOE will happen in 2022. There will be essentially NO sea ice in the Arctic Ocean for a few weeks to a month in September, 2022.

After this BOE happens, then what will follow in subsequent years? I think that by BOE+2 years the Arctic Ocean will be ice free for August, September, and October. By BOE+4 years it will be ice free for 5 months, and by BOE+10 years the Arctic Ocean will be free of sea ice year round.

   

During this decade of gut-wrenching transition, our climate and weather patterns will be profoundly disrupted, chaotic, and unstable, for example presenting enormous risks to our global food supply.

I am not paid by anybody for my work analyzing and producing these videos. Please consider donating at Please Donate to Paul, to support my efforts at educating the public on the risks that we collectively face.
———- ———-

Jet Stream Center-of-Rotation to Shift 17 degrees Southward from North Pole to Greenland with Arctic // Sep 9, 2018

When all the sea-ice in the Arctic has vanished from melt and transport, what will happen? This so-called Blue-Ocean-Event (BOE) in the Arctic will mean that the last bastion of ice and coldness in the Arctic will be Greenland.

Thus, instead of the Center-of-Coldness or Centroid (I name it ColdTroid) being near the North Pole, as it has been in human history it will be centred over the middle of Greenland, and thus be at about 73 degrees N latitude.

  • Thus, to first-order simplicity, one can expect the jet streams to shift their center of rotation 17 degrees from the North Pole where they are now towards Greenland.
  • This jet stream shift, causing a decoupling from Earth’s axis of rotation, obviously has profound consequences for our global weather patterns and climate system and human civilization, and plants and animals, and, for example our ability to grow food.

But hey; humans will at least be able to drill and mine the Arctic, at least those of us that are left.
———- ———-

 

Stuart Scott, Charles Gregoire,
Heidi Brault, and Paul Beckwith, L to R.

Tonight it was a great delight to attend a FREE Public Policy Meeting at the Sandy Hill Community Center in Ottawa, on:

Climate Change, Collapsing Ecosystems & Unsustainable Global Policies, by friend and acclaimed public speaker Stuart Scott Executive Director of Scientist Warning to Humanity and Climate Matters TV.  His main channel is here.

This was wonderfully promoted and hosted by Charles Gregoire and Heidi Brault (organizers).
———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.

Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

 

Posted in a Climate, a Climate Change, a Global Warming, a New Video, a Rapid Climate Change, a Science, a Weather, Catastrophe, Uncategorized, Warnings, zz Videos | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Typhoon 台风 Mangkhut hits Philippines, Hong Kong on way to 中国 China

Typhoon 台风 Mangkhut hits Philippines, Hong Kong on way to 中国 China, One // Sep 16, 2018

By all measures, Typhoon 台风 Mangkhut is a monster storm. While the eyes of the West have been preoccupied with Hurricane Florence, a much larger and more powerful storm razed the northern Philippines, is causing large damage now in Hong Kong, and is heading to 中国 China. In my last two videos I examined, in great detail, the latest science on Super Storms, and here I show you specifically how Typhoon 台风 Mangkhut is further evidence that abrupt 气候变化 climate change has made our planet a very dangerous place.

As bad as these storms have been, the consequences to cities could have been much worse. Last year, if Hurricane Irma had not veered at the last minute, it would have razed Miami and the east coast of Florida, causing a trillion dollars of damage. If Florence was a bit further north it would be dumping its multi-trillion gallons of water on the major cities of the eastern USA like Washington, Boston, Philadelphia.

We need politicians who understand the reality of climate change consequences.
———- ———–

Typhoon 台风 Mangkhut hits Philippines, Hong Kong on way to 中国 China, Two // Sep 16, 2018

Typhoon 台风 Mangkhat. Buildings were rolled over onto other buildings. Massive trees were uprooted. Construction cranes were toppled over. Seawater surged into the city streets, and the storm surge broke into the lobby’s of buildings. Skyscrapers lost their external panels, and swayed for several hours.

As catastrophic as this typhoon 台风 damage was to Hong Kong and southern 中国 China and the Philippines, the western media was focused instead on Hurricane Florence dumping trillions of gallons of water on North Carolina, and refusing to leave. These massive Superstorms, simultaneously striking heavily populated regions on opposite sides of the planet are not freaks of nature. They are children of abrupt 气候变化 Climate Change, and those children are growing and getting stronger all the time. Watch out.

  • Denying 气候变化 climate change is criminal, in my opinion, as abrupt changes accelerate around our planet.
  • We cannot trust our lives to rich old white men who dominate the corridors of power.

——————–

These statistics show the power of Super Typhoon Mangkhut, CNN, Updated 2:37 AM ET, Sat September 15, 2018

Here are some statistics that show Mangkhut’s power:

  • Mangkhut was the strongest storm anywhere on the planet in 2018, with wind speeds at one stage of 285 kph (180 mph).
  • Mangkhut made landfall of 165 mph (270 kph), 75 mph (120 kph) stronger than Hurricane Florence that hit North Carolina on the same day.
  • Typhoon-force winds stretched for 270 kilometers (168 miles), the distance between Paris and Brussels.
  • It is the strongest storm to make landfall in the Philippines since Super Typhoon Haiyan in 2013, and the strongest to make landfall on the Philippines’ northern island of Luzon since Super Typhoon Megi in 2010.
  • On Luzon, more than 30 million people were expected to face tropical storm-force winds.

———- ———-

———- ———-

Please consider donating to support my work.  I put a lot of time and effort into researching, studying and producing my videos so that you can learn how quickly our world is changing.

Donating does not need a PayPal account, but simply a credit card. Please click here.
———- ———-

Posted in a Climate, a Climate Change, a Global Warming, a New Video, a Rapid Climate Change, a Science, a Weather, Catastrophe, Collapse, Warnings, zz Videos | Tagged | Leave a comment