Geoengineering Deployment Near Ottawa // Published on Dec 30, 2017
Thirty minutes north of Ottawa at this top-secret Geoengineering installation, I discuss ongoing albedo experiments and terraforming. Solar Radiation Management (SRM) techniques are generating clouds, and whitening the ground in front of me. Machines increase the albedo (of the air and ground) thereby reducing terrestrial solar absorption, thus causing a localized surface cooling. We can quickly deploy enormous numbers of machines like this in the Arctic over the darkening sea ice and land permafrost to reflect away sunlight to achieve cooling to help restore sea-ice.
Blackjack, Earthquakes, Wild Weather and Risk: AGU Wickedness // Published on Dec 30, 2017
In the 1960s Ed Thorp figured out the best bet size based on odds and his edge in Blackjack to clean house (until he was barred from casinos). Applied to stocks, then earthquakes, and now to extreme weather events, helps out risk management folk facing wicked problems, to increase societal resilience. Assessment of NZ quake risk, Bangladesh cyclone/quake risks, Katrina wind versus flood damage (insurance and litigation), Pittsburgh Flood Vulnerability Index, and a Harvey pluvial flooding machine learning study are discussed.
[Beat The Dealer, Kelly Criterion For Betting, 10,000 Hours With Claude Shannon: How A Genius Thinks, Works, and Lives, Artemis.bm – Catastrophe Bonds, A Richter Scale for Markets, Vix, aka as The Volatility Index, Miller Value Partners–earthquakes related to financial markets, Driven nonlinear threshold systems–John Rundle, cyclones in Bangladesh.]
Polar Sea-Ice Ponds and Bridges; Wicked Problems // Published on Dec 28, 2017
Simple rules govern sea-ice melt ponds at both poles. Ponding different years (number of ponds each size, connectivity, depth) shows remarkable similarity, modified by snow cover and depth. Microwave satellite detection lets us see snow melt under the surface. Sea ice bridge formation dependence on dynamics and ice granularity is very cool:) I also discuss crop yields and wicked (versus tame) problems.
My birthday dinner, with my family and relatives.
My favourite Christmas gift.
My birthday walk on Bronte Pier; pancake ice and sunset.
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